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Osasuna crestOsasuna
v
Getafe crestGetafe

La Liga | Mon 31 Aug, 18:30

Osasuna v Getafe Stats

Data last updated: Mon 21 Sep 2026, 15:54 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Osasuna face Getafe in La Liga on Mon 31 Aug, 18:30. Getafe lost nine away league matches last season and have started this campaign with two competitive away defeats, extending a weakness that Monday’s trip to El Sadar will test again. Osasuna’s unbeaten start contrasts with Getafe’s two away defeats this season.

BT4Y match pick

Osasuna to win

  • At 23/20, Osasuna to win implies roughly 47%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 46%.
  • Osasuna vs Getafe: Home Stability Meets Another Test of Getafe’s Away Record.
  • Osasuna have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Getafe.
  • Osasuna have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Osasuna to win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Osasuna sit 13 in the table, while Getafe sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 46% for Osasuna to win sits against roughly 47% implied by the current price. Osasuna have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Getafe. Osasuna vs Getafe: Home Stability Meets Another Test of Getafe’s Away Record.

Model chance vs price46% model chance against roughly 47% implied
Neutral
Osasuna have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points.Visible data support
Positive
Osasuna have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per.Visible data support
Positive
Osasuna vs Getafe: Home Stability Meets Another Test of.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Osasuna Win is the preferred angle because osasuna vs Getafe: Home Stability Meets Another Test of Getafe’s Away Record. Osasuna have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Getafe. A goalless opening draw with Levante was hardly spectacular, but it gave Osasuna a platform before Thursday’s 2-1 comeback at Celta Vigo.

Main risk

A goalless opening draw with Levante was hardly spectacular, but it gave Osasuna a platform before Thursday’s 2-1 comeback at Celta Vigo.

Key Data Signals

Osasuna to win evidence

Osasuna vs Getafe: Home Stability Meets Another Test of Getafe’s Away Record.

Osasuna have the stronger recent points return, taking 4 points from the sample compared with 3 for Getafe.

Osasuna have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.5 conceded per match, which helps the Osasuna Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Osasuna sit 13 in the table, while Getafe sit 11, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Osasuna to win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Osasuna6
    Avg corners for
    Getafe5.5
    Osasuna10.5
    Avg total corners
    Getafe11
    Osasuna1.5
    Avg yellow cards
    Getafe2
    Osasuna12.5
    Avg shots
    Getafe9
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 55% vs implied 40% · edge +15 pts
    2.5
    Check odds @ 2.5
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 63%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    Over 4.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    La Liga fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for Osasuna v Getafecorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Osasuna1
    Avg goals scored
    Getafe0.5
    Osasuna0.5
    Avg goals conceded
    Getafe1.5
    Osasuna50%
    BTTS rate
    Getafe0%
    Osasuna50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Getafe50%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 60% · edge +10.9 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 30%
    6.5
    Check odds @ 6.5
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 42%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickOsasuna to WinBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 46% · edge +0.3 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 63%
    1.9
    Check odds @ 1.9
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 42%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    Osasuna Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
    1.55
    Check odds @ 1.55
    Osasuna to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Osasuna

    WD
    Last 51W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 1D 0L
    27 Aug 2026A Celta Vigo2-1
    24 Aug 2026H Levante0-0

    Getafe

    WL
    Last 51W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 1L
    23 Aug 2026H Racing Santander1-0
    15 Aug 2026A Alaves0-3
    Market aligned with main pickOsasuna to WinBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 46% · edge +0.3 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Osasuna Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
    1.55
    Check odds @ 1.55
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2Osasuna wins
    2Draws
    6Getafe wins
    23 May 2026Getafe v Osasuna1-0
    03 Oct 2025Osasuna v Getafe2-1
    16 Mar 2025Osasuna v Getafe1-2
    05 Oct 2024Getafe v Osasuna1-1
    21 Jan 2024Osasuna v Getafe3-2
    17 Sep 2023Getafe v Osasuna3-2
    Market aligned with main pickOsasuna to WinBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 46% · edge +0.3 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%
    3.2
    Check odds @ 3.2
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 42%
    2.38
    Check odds @ 2.38
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Osasuna to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    La Liga

    Osasuna7
    Played
    Getafe7
    Osasuna0.9
    Avg goals for
    Getafe0.6
    Osasuna1.9
    Avg goals against
    Getafe1
    Osasuna2
    Clean sheets
    Getafe2
    Market aligned with main pickOsasuna to WinBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 46% · edge +0.3 pts
    2.2
    Check odds @ 2.2
    Load more odds for this section
    Osasuna Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 56%
    1.55
    Check odds @ 1.55
    Season data supports Osasuna to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    11Getafe87223-3
    13Osasuna87223-7
    Osasuna sit in position 13, while Getafe sit in position 11, so table pressure belongs in the Osasuna to win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    50%Osasuna Over 2.5
    50%Getafe Over 2.5
    2.7H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Osasuna sit at 50% and Getafe sit at 50% with the H2H average at 2.7 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

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    Betting context

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