Osasuna

Getafe

La Liga | Mon 31 Aug, 18:30

Osasuna v Getafe Stats

Data last updated: Sun 30 Aug 2026, 07:30 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Osasuna return to El Sadar with an unbeaten start under Luis Miguel Ramis, having secured four points from two matches, including a resilient 2-1 comeback win against Celta Vigo. This fixture offers a test of whether their early momentum can continue, especially against a Getafe side struggling on the road with two away defeats and minimal attacking threat, evidenced by just 0.24 expected goals in their opening away league match. Osasuna's defensive solidity and home platform contrast sharply with Getafe's difficulties in creating chances away, setting the stage for a home victory.

BT4Y best bet

Osasuna to Win

Osasuna are unbeaten with four points from two matches under new manager Luis Miguel Ramis.
Getafe have lost both away matches this season, scoring only 0.24 expected goals at Alaves.
Osasuna kept a clean sheet in their season opener and scored twice in their comeback win over Celta Vigo.
Recent head-to-head meetings are balanced, but Getafe’s current away struggles tip the scales towards Osasuna.
Osasuna’s attacking players like Ante Budimir and Kike Barja have shown strong goal threat and shot volume this season.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Osasuna to win with a 56% chance, reflecting their unbeaten start and home stability under Luis Miguel Ramis. Getafe’s poor away form and low attacking output, including just 0.24 expected goals in their opening away match, underpin the value in backing Osasuna. The 2.15 offer a positive of 9.5%, supported by Osasuna’s defensive resilience and ability to capitalize on limited chances. No data limitations affect , making this a solid selection based on form and tactical context.

Osasuna unbeaten start4 points from 2 matches

Strong positive

Getafe away attacking weakness0.24 expected goals at Alaves

Strong positive

Model chance vs odds56% chance vs 46.5% implied

Strong positive

Defensive solidityOsasuna kept clean sheet vs Levante

Positive

Recent head-to-head balance2 wins each in last 5 matches

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Osasuna’s unbeaten start and home platform under Luis Miguel Ramis provide a tactical and form advantage over a Getafe side struggling to generate attacking threat away from home. The visitors’ low expected goals and recent away defeats make Osasuna the clear choice to secure three points in this fixture.

Main risk

A goalless opening draw with Levante was hardly spectacular, but it gave Osasuna a platform before Thursday’s 2-1 comeback at Celta Vigo.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match result

“Osasuna’s defensive resilience combined with Getafe’s ongoing away difficulties creates a compelling case for a home win, especially given Osasuna’s ability to capitalize on limited chances and maintain control at El Sadar.”

Key Data Signals

Osasuna to Win evidence

Osasuna are unbeaten with four points from two matches under new manager Luis Miguel Ramis.

Getafe have lost both away matches this season, scoring only 0.24 expected goals at Alaves.

Osasuna kept a clean sheet in their season opener and scored twice in their comeback win over Celta Vigo.

Recent head-to-head meetings are balanced, but Getafe’s current away struggles tip the scales towards Osasuna.

What To Watch In The Data

Osasuna to Win notes

The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.7 goals, indicating moderately open games.
Both teams have a 50% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent matches, suggesting potential for goals but balanced by defensive solidity.
The trend points to a competitive match with goal-scoring opportunities, though not necessarily a high-scoring affair.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Osasuna6

Avg corners for

Getafe5.5

Osasuna10.5

Avg total corners

Getafe11

Osasuna1.5

Avg yellow cards

Getafe2

Osasuna12.5

Avg shots

Getafe9

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 53% · edge +10 pts

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

Osasuna average 12 shots and 9 corners per match, indicating sustained pressure and attacking territory at home. Getafe average fewer shots (9) and corners (5.5), highlighting their limited offensive threat. Both teams average 2 yellow cards per game, suggesting a balanced disciplinary profile without excessive fouling that could disrupt rhythm.

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Useful next reads

La Liga fixtures and predictions full betting preview for Osasuna v Getafe corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles stats dashboard football analysis hub prediction centre best bets research acca fixture filtering

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Osasuna1

Avg goals scored

Getafe0.5

Osasuna0.5

Avg goals conceded

Getafe1.5

Osasuna50%

BTTS rate

Getafe0%

Osasuna50%

Over 2.5 goals

Getafe50%

Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 60% · edge +10.9 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 30%

6.5

Check odds @ 6.5

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 62%

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 42%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%

1.36

Check odds @ 1.36

Both teams have shown moderate scoring but contrasting attacking profiles. Osasuna have scored in one of their two matches and kept a clean sheet in the other, while Getafe have struggled to score away, reflected in a 0% BTTS rate. The under 3.5 goals route is supported by both teams’ defensive solidity and low scoring frequency on the road for Getafe.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOsasuna to WinBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 46% · edge +10.5 pts

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 63%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

Osasuna Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%

1.52

Check odds @ 1.52

BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 42%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

The 2.15 for Osasuna to win reflect a positive value opportunity, with the model assigning a 56% chance compared to the 46.5% implied probability. This pricing aligns well with Osasuna’s unbeaten start and Getafe’s poor away form, making the market attractive without being overly short-priced.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Osasuna

Last 51W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 1D 0L

27 Aug 2026A Celta Vigo2-1

24 Aug 2026H Levante0-0

Getafe

Last 51W 0D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 101W 0D 1L

23 Aug 2026H Racing Santander1-0

15 Aug 2026A Alaves0-3

Market aligned with main pickOsasuna to WinBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 46% · edge +10.5 pts

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 82%

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

Osasuna Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%

1.52

Check odds @ 1.52

Osasuna’s four points from two matches under Ramis, including a comeback win, show growing and resilience. Getafe’s three points from two matches mask their two away defeats and low attacking output, indicating form challenges on the road. This contrast in recent form supports backing Osasuna to maintain their unbeaten home start.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Osasuna wins

2Draws

6Getafe wins

23 May 2026Getafe v Osasuna1-0

03 Oct 2025Osasuna v Getafe2-1

16 Mar 2025Osasuna v Getafe1-2

05 Oct 2024Getafe v Osasuna1-1

21 Jan 2024Osasuna v Getafe3-2

17 Sep 2023Getafe v Osasuna3-2

Market aligned with main pickOsasuna to WinBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 46% · edge +10.5 pts

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 46%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 42%

2.38

Check odds @ 2.38

The recent head-to-head record is balanced with two wins each and one draw in the last five meetings, showing no clear control. Getafe’s most recent 1-0 win contrasts with Osasuna’s 2-1 victory in the same fixture last season. This parity means current form and home advantage are more decisive than historical results.

Season team stats

La Liga

Osasuna2

Played

Getafe2

Osasuna1

Avg goals for

Getafe0.5

Osasuna0.5

Avg goals against

Getafe1.5

Osasuna1

Clean sheets

Getafe1

Market aligned with main pickOsasuna to WinBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 46% · edge +10.5 pts

2.2

Check odds @ 2.2

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Osasuna Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 65%

1.52

Check odds @ 1.52

Osasuna’s season stats reveal a balanced attack and solid defense, with a 50% over 2.5 goals rate and 50% BTTS rate, reflecting competitive matches. Getafe’s stats show a lower scoring rate and higher goals conceded away, reinforcing their vulnerability on the road. These season-long trends underpin Osasuna’s advantage in securing a home win.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
7	Osasuna	4	2	1	1	0	1
11	Getafe	3	2	1	0	1	-2

Osasuna sit 7th with 4 points, reflecting a positive start and momentum building under new management. Getafe are 11th with 3 points, highlighting a less stable start exacerbated by away struggles. While standings are early, the table context supports Osasuna’s stronger position and motivation to consolidate their place higher up.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Osasuna Over 2.5

50%Getafe Over 2.5

2.7H2H avg goals

The last 10 head-to-head matches average 2.7 goals, indicating moderately open games. Both teams have a 50% rate of over 2.5 goals in recent matches, suggesting potential for goals but balanced by defensive solidity. The trend points to a competitive match with goal-scoring opportunities, though not necessarily a high-scoring affair.

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Betting context

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Osasuna v Getafe Stats

Match Report

Osasuna to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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Osasuna v Getafe Stats

Match Report

Osasuna to Win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

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What To Watch In The Data

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