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OFI crestOFI
v
CSKA Sofia crestCSKA Sofia

UEFA Europa League | Thu 20 Aug, 19:00

OFI v CSKA Sofia Stats

Data last updated: Tue 06 Oct 2026, 01:44 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

OFI face CSKA Sofia in UEFA Europa League on Thu 20 Aug, 19:00. OFI come in with 0 recent points and - goals per match, while CSKA Sofia have 8 points and 1.2 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • At 2.1, Over 2.5 Goals implies roughly 48%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 63%.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 63% for Over 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 48% implied by the current price.

Model chance vs price63% model chance against roughly 48% implied
Strong positive
Price sensitivityEdge +15 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

OFI

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for OFI yet.

CSKA Sofia

LWDDW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 1L
13 Aug 2026H Maccabi Tel Aviv1-3
06 Aug 2026A Maccabi Tel Aviv3-0
30 Jul 2026H Qarabag0-0
23 Jul 2026A Qarabag0-0
16 Jul 2026A Derry City2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 67% · edge -0.7 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 62%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
CSKA Sofia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
CSKA Sofia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
OFI Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
OFI to WinBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

OFI-
Avg goals scored
CSKA Sofia1.2
OFI-
Avg goals conceded
CSKA Sofia0.8
OFI-
BTTS rate
CSKA Sofia40%
OFI-
Over 2.5 goals
CSKA Sofia60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 82%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7

Continue the research

Useful next reads

UEFA Europa League hubfull betting preview for OFI v CSKA Sofiafootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
CSKA Sofia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 38%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
CSKA Sofia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 48%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
OFI Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 47%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
OFI to WinBetfred guide price · model 34%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 28%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Over 2.5 Goals is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-OFI Over 2.5
60%CSKA Sofia Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals

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