OFI

CSKA Sofia

UEFA Europa League | Thu 20 Aug, 19:00

OFI v CSKA Sofia Stats

Data last updated: Wed 19 Aug 2026, 07:28 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

OFI host CSKA Sofia in a pivotal Europa League playoff first leg, where contrasting preparation and form set the stage. CSKA Sofia arrive with sharpness from 11 competitive matches this season, boasting a potent attack averaging 2.4 goals per game. OFI, fresh from just one competitive fixture, have shown resilience but face a stern test defensively, conceding 1.8 goals on average. The visitors' experience and offensive rhythm contrast with OFI's home motivation and defensive vulnerabilities, promising an open contest with multiple goal opportunities in Heraklion.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

CSKA Sofia average 2.4 goals and 16.9 attempts per game in recent matches.
OFI concede 1.8 goals per game and allow 5.4 shots on target, indicating defensive frailty.
CSKA's recent 5-0 league win highlights their attacking potency and finishing.
OFI's limited competitive action this season may affect defensive cohesion and match sharpness.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies clear value in Over 2.5 Goals given CSKA Sofia's high attacking output and OFI's defensive concessions. CSKA's average of 2.4 goals per game combined with OFI's 1.8 goals conceded per game creates a strong likelihood of a high-scoring match. The 63.5% exceeds the 50% implied probability of the , confirming a positive . The thinner data sample for OFI suggests some caution, but CSKA's consistent offensive pressure supports the expectation of multiple goals.

CSKA Sofia Goals per Game2.4

Strong positive

OFI Goals Conceded per Game1.8

Strong positive

Model Chance vs Implied Probability63.5% vs 50%

Strong positive

OFI Limited Data SampleTrue

Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively encounter with CSKA Sofia's attacking rhythm challenging OFI's defense. The visitors' match sharpness and goal-scoring form suggest multiple goals, while OFI's home motivation and resilience could add competitive tension. Over 2.5 Goals is a fitting selection reflecting the offensive strengths and defensive vulnerabilities on display.

Main risk

CSKA's multiple attacking threats and OFI's ability to score at home make this exact score plausible despite the inherent risk of variance.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Offensive volume and defensive vulnerability

“CSKA Sofia's sustained attacking volume against OFI's defensive concessions makes Over 2.5 Goals a compelling choice, as the visitors' match sharpness should unlock scoring opportunities in this Europa League tie.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

CSKA Sofia average 2.4 goals and 16.9 attempts per game in recent matches.

OFI concede 1.8 goals per game and allow 5.4 shots on target, indicating defensive frailty.

CSKA's recent 5-0 league win highlights their attacking potency and finishing.

OFI's limited competitive action this season may affect defensive cohesion and match sharpness.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

In the last ten matches involving CSKA Sofia, Over 2.5 Goals occurred in 60% of games, reflecting a trend toward high-scoring affairs.
The absence of head-to-head data means reliance on recent form and attacking tempo, which indicate a match likely to feature multiple goals through sustained offensive pressure and defensive gaps.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

OFI

Last 50W 0D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for OFI yet.

CSKA Sofia

LWDDW

Last 52W 2D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 103W 2D 1L

13 Aug 2026H Maccabi Tel Aviv1-3

06 Aug 2026A Maccabi Tel Aviv3-0

30 Jul 2026H Qarabag0-0

23 Jul 2026A Qarabag0-0

16 Jul 2026A Derry City2-1

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 82% vs implied 67% · edge +15 pts

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

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CSKA Sofia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

CSKA Sofia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 54%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

OFI Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%

1.5

Check odds @ 1.5

OFI to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

CSKA Sofia's recent form features eight points from five matches with a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, reflecting consistent offensive output. OFI's limited competitive data restricts form analysis, but their single match showed resilience. The visitors' momentum contrasts with OFI's freshness, suggesting the match is likely to produce multiple goals as CSKA's form drives attacking pressure.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

OFI-

Avg goals scored

CSKA Sofia1.2

OFI-

Avg goals conceded

CSKA Sofia0.8

OFI-

BTTS rate

CSKA Sofia40%

OFI-

Over 2.5 goals

CSKA Sofia60%

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +14.7 pts

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 82%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%

3.5

Check odds @ 3.5

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 57%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 47%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

CSKA Sofia's recent matches show a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate and 40% Both Teams To Score rate, highlighting their attacking consistency. OFI's defensive concessions suggest they may concede multiple goals, while their ability to score at home adds to the BTTS possibility. The goal-scoring dynamics favor a match with at least three goals, supported by both teams' offensive and defensive profiles.

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Useful next reads

UEFA Europa League hub full betting preview for OFI v CSKA Sofia football cards angles player stats betting angles stats dashboard football analysis hub prediction centre best bets research acca fixture filtering

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +14.7 pts

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

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CSKA Sofia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

CSKA Sofia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 54%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

OFI Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 47%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

OFI to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

The Over 2.5 Goals market is priced at even (2.0) with an implied 50% chance, while the model estimates a 63.5% probability, indicating clear value. This price sensitivity reflects in a high-scoring game due to CSKA Sofia's offensive efficiency and OFI's defensive record. The market correctly prices the likelihood of multiple goals but offers a positive edge for bettors.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0OFI wins

0Draws

0CSKA Sofia wins

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +14.7 pts

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

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CSKA Sofia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 54%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 47%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

OFI to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 18%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

No previous meetings exist between OFI and CSKA Sofia, limiting direct historical insights. Therefore, current form, tactical approaches, and recent attacking and defensive statistics provide the primary basis for expectations in this fixture.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

OFI-

Avg corners for

CSKA Sofia0.5

OFI-

Avg total corners

CSKA Sofia1.25

OFI-

Avg yellow cards

CSKA Sofia4

OFI-

Avg shots

CSKA Sofia0

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 50% · edge -21 pts

Check odds @ 2

CSKA Sofia's attacking style generates sustained pressure, reflected in their average 0.5 corners and 4 yellow cards per game, indicating physical and territorial control. OFI's defensive vulnerabilities suggest they may concede set-piece opportunities and face frequent fouls. The combination of shots, corners, and cards points to an open, contested match with active attacking phases and defensive challenges.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Europa League

OFI0

Played

CSKA Sofia6

OFI0

Avg goals for

CSKA Sofia1.7

OFI0

Avg goals against

CSKA Sofia1

OFI0

Clean sheets

CSKA Sofia3

Best odds for this sectionCSKA Sofia Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 53% · edge +15 pts

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

Load more odds for this section

CSKA Sofia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 54%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

OFI Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%

1.9

Check odds @ 1.9

OFI to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

Season-long data shows CSKA Sofia averaging 2.4 goals per game and maintaining four clean sheets in ten matches, indicating an effective attack with occasional defensive solidity. OFI concede 1.8 goals per game, highlighting defensive weaknesses. These season stats align with expectations for a high-scoring match, supporting the Over 2.5 Goals selection based on attacking and defensive profiles.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-OFI Over 2.5

60%CSKA Sofia Over 2.5

-H2H avg goals

In the last ten matches involving CSKA Sofia, Over 2.5 Goals occurred in 60% of games, reflecting a trend toward high-scoring affairs. The absence of head-to-head data means reliance on recent form and attacking tempo, which indicate a match likely to feature multiple goals through sustained offensive pressure and defensive gaps.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

OFI v CSKA Sofia Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

OFI

CSKA Sofia

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Football Stats Hub

OFI v CSKA Sofia Stats

Match Report

Over 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

OFI

CSKA Sofia

Continue the research

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