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Oberwart crestOberwart
v
Sturm Graz II crestSturm Graz II

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 26 Jun, 16:30

Oberwart v Sturm Graz II Stats

Data last updated: Fri 26 Jun 2026, 22:19 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly fixture between Oberwart and Sturm Graz II offers an intriguing attacking showcase as both sides have demonstrated a strong tendency for high-scoring games in recent outings. Oberwart has maintained a perfect record of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, while Sturm Graz II also shows a solid 80% rate for over 2.5 goals and both teams to score. With offensive momentum on both sides and less defensive rigidity typical of friendlies, this match is poised for an open, goal-rich encounter under neutral conditions.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Oberwart has a 100% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals recently.
  • Sturm Graz II records an 80% over 2.5 goals rate in recent games.
  • Both teams have an 80% rate for both teams to score, indicating attacking intent.
  • Oberwart averages 4.6 goals scored per game, showing strong offensive output.
  • Sturm Graz II concedes only 0.8 goals per game, suggesting some defensive resilience but still involved in high-scoring matches.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 78% chance for over 2.5 goals, reflecting the attacking profiles and recent form of both teams. Oberwart’s perfect over 2.5 record and high goals scored per game, combined with Sturm Graz II’s consistent involvement in high-scoring matches, underpin this expectation. The friendly context often encourages open play and experimentation, further increasing goal opportunities. No price warnings apply, making this a standard stake recommendation based on solid offensive trends and match context.

Oberwart Over 2.5 Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
Sturm Graz II Over 2.5 Rate80% recent matches
Positive
Oberwart Goals For4.6 per game
Strong positive
Sturm Graz II Goals Against0.8 per game
Neutral
Match TypeFriendly encouraging open play
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game with both Oberwart and Sturm Graz II showing strong recent scoring trends. Oberwart’s high goals per game and perfect over 2.5 record suggest they will push forward aggressively, while Sturm Graz II’s involvement in high-scoring matches supports the likelihood of multiple goals. This match should provide entertaining football with several goal-scoring opportunities.

Main risk

The main risk is that friendly matches can sometimes feature experimental line-ups or cautious approaches that reduce scoring intensity.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking dynamics and match context

“The attacking momentum from both sides and the nature of a friendly match set the stage for a lively encounter with multiple goals. Oberwart’s offensive output is particularly impressive and should challenge Sturm Graz II’s defense consistently.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Oberwart has a 100% rate of matches with over 2.5 goals recently.

Sturm Graz II records an 80% over 2.5 goals rate in recent games.

Both teams have an 80% rate for both teams to score, indicating attacking intent.

Oberwart averages 4.6 goals scored per game, showing strong offensive output.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Recent trends over the last five matches show Oberwart consistently exceeding 2.5 goals, while Sturm Graz II also maintains a strong over 2.5 rate.
  • This suggests a high-tempo match with attacking transitions and defensive gaps likely to produce multiple goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Oberwart4.6
Avg goals scored
Sturm Graz II3
Oberwart1.8
Avg goals conceded
Sturm Graz II0.8
Oberwart80%
BTTS rate
Sturm Graz II80%
Oberwart100%
Over 2.5 goals
Sturm Graz II80%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 70% · edge +7.6 pts
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.13
Check odds @ 1.13
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 58%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Both teams have high rates of matches with over 2.5 goals and both teams to score, with Oberwart at 100% and Sturm Graz II at 80%. Oberwart’s average of 4.6 goals scored per game highlights their offensive potency, while Sturm Graz II’s involvement in high-scoring games suggests this fixture will likely see goals at both ends.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 70% · edge +7.6 pts
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Load more odds for this section
Sturm Graz II Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Sturm Graz II to WinBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Oberwart Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
4
Check odds @ 4
Oberwart to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
The over 2.5 goals market is supported by a strong of 78%, reflecting both teams' recent high-scoring matches. The price is considered standard with no warning flags, indicating the market fairly prices the likelihood of an open, goal-rich game.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Oberwart

LDLWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 2L
19 Jun 2026A Rapid Wien II2-3
13 Feb 2026H Admira II3-3
13 Feb 2026H Voitsberg1-2
06 Feb 2026H Union RB Weinland Gamlit7-0
30 Jan 2026H Allerheiligen10-1

Sturm Graz II

WDWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 0L
14 Feb 2026A Voitsberg3-1
07 Feb 2026H Táborsko1-1
04 Feb 2026H Kalsdorf4-0
30 Jan 2026A Brinje-Grosuplje3-1
23 Jan 2026H SpVgg Unterhaching4-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 84% vs implied 77% · edge +6.6 pts
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Load more odds for this section
Sturm Graz II Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Sturm Graz II to WinBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Oberwart Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 51%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
4
Check odds @ 4
Oberwart to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
Recent form strongly favors over 2.5 goals, with Oberwart’s perfect record in this market and Sturm Graz II’s 80% rate. Oberwart’s 4.6 goals per game underline their attacking consistency, while both teams’ high BTTS rates indicate open play and goal-scoring chances for both sides.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Oberwart wins
0Draws
0Sturm Graz II wins
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 70% · edge +7.6 pts
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Load more odds for this section
Sturm Graz II to WinBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
4
Check odds @ 4
Oberwart to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
No previous meetings exist between Oberwart and Sturm Graz II, so head-to-head data does not inform this market. The focus remains on recent form and attacking trends to gauge goal expectations.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Oberwart6
Played
Sturm Graz II6
Oberwart5
Avg goals for
Sturm Graz II3.5
Oberwart1.5
Avg goals against
Sturm Graz II0.7
Oberwart2
Clean sheets
Sturm Graz II2
Best odds for this sectionSturm Graz II Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 68% vs implied 63% · edge +5.2 pts
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Load more odds for this section
Sturm Graz II to WinBetUK guide price · model 59%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Oberwart Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Oberwart to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
3
Check odds @ 3
Season-long data confirms Oberwart’s high scoring output and frequent high-scoring matches, supporting the over 2.5 goals expectation. Sturm Graz II’s defensive record is relatively solid, but their involvement in matches with multiple goals suggests they participate in open, attacking games.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Oberwart Over 2.5
80%Sturm Graz II Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Recent trends over the last five matches show Oberwart consistently exceeding 2.5 goals, while Sturm Graz II also maintains a strong over 2.5 rate. This suggests a high-tempo match with attacking transitions and defensive gaps likely to produce multiple goals.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.