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Malmo FF crestMalmo FF
v
FC Midtjylland crestFC Midtjylland

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 26 Jun, 13:00

Malmo FF v FC Midtjylland Stats

Data last updated: Thu 25 Jun 2026, 05:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly fixture between Malmo FF and FC Midtjylland offers an intriguing tactical battle as both sides prepare for their upcoming seasons. FC Midtjylland enter with stronger recent form, having secured 10 points compared to Malmo FF's 7 in their last matches. Midtjylland's attack has been notably more potent, averaging 2.4 goals per game, while Malmo FF have struggled to score consistently, averaging 0.8 goals. The match promises to test Midtjylland's offensive efficiency against Malmo's defensive resilience, with both teams likely to experiment with line-ups and strategies in this preparatory encounter.

BT4Y best bet

FC Midtjylland to Win

  • FC Midtjylland have a higher recent form points tally (10 vs 7).
  • Midtjylland average 2.4 goals per game, significantly more than Malmo FF's 0.8.
  • Malmo FF have a low Over 2.5 goals rate at 20%, while Midtjylland's is 60%.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 3 over three matches, indicating potential for goals.
  • Player data shows Malmo FF's S. Vecchia is a key shot creator but has yet to convert goals recently.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors FC Midtjylland to win based on their superior recent form and attacking output, with a 59.6% chance of victory. Midtjylland's higher goals per game and BTTS rates suggest they can break down Malmo FF's defense, which has conceded an average of 1 goal per game. The data quality is solid for both teams, supporting in this selection. Although this is a friendly, Midtjylland's offensive consistency and recent momentum provide a strong football rationale for backing their win.

Recent Form PointsMidtjylland 10 vs Malmo FF 7
Positive
Goals For per GameMidtjylland 2.4 vs Malmo FF 0.8
Strong positive
BTTS RateMidtjylland 60% vs Malmo FF 40%
Positive
Data QualityGood for both teams
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

FC Midtjylland's recent scoring form and higher points tally suggest they have the edge in this friendly. Their ability to create and convert chances contrasts with Malmo FF's lower attacking output, making Midtjylland the more likely winner based on current momentum and offensive quality.

Main risk

The main risk is the friendly nature of the match, which may lead to experimental line-ups and less intensity, potentially affecting the expected outcome.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Midtjylland's consistent attacking threat and recent form give them a clear advantage in this friendly, despite the experimental nature of such matches.”

Key Data Signals

FC Midtjylland to Win evidence

FC Midtjylland have a higher recent form points tally (10 vs 7).

Midtjylland average 2.4 goals per game, significantly more than Malmo FF's 0.8.

Malmo FF have a low Over 2.5 goals rate at 20%, while Midtjylland's is 60%.

Head-to-head average goals stand at 3 over three matches, indicating potential for goals.

What To Watch In The Data

FC Midtjylland to Win notes

  • The Over 2.5 goals trend over recent matches favors Midtjylland, who have a 60% rate compared to Malmo FF's 20%.
  • The head-to-head average of 3 goals across three meetings indicates a moderate scoring tempo, suggesting this match could feature multiple goals and an open style of play.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Malmo FF0.8
Avg goals scored
FC Midtjylland2.4
Malmo FF1
Avg goals conceded
FC Midtjylland2.2
Malmo FF40%
BTTS rate
FC Midtjylland60%
Malmo FF20%
Over 2.5 goals
FC Midtjylland60%

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Market odds

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Malmo FF

WDLLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 2L
26 Mar 2026H Landskrona BoIS1-0
20 Mar 2026H Kalmar FF1-1
10 Feb 2026H ODD Ballklubb0-2
08 Feb 2026A Jeonbuk Motors1-2
16 Jan 2026H Sparta Praha1-0

FC Midtjylland

WLWDW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 1L
20 Jun 2026H Lillestrom1-0
05 Feb 2026A Zbrojovka Brno1-7
15 Jan 2026H Kryvbas KR3-0
15 Jan 2026H Ferencvarosi TC1-1
09 Jan 2026A Sonderjyske6-3

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Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Malmo FF wins
1Draws
1FC Midtjylland wins
27 Jun 2021Malmo FF v FC Midtjylland1-2
30 Aug 2018FC Midtjylland v Malmo FF0-2
23 Aug 2018Malmo FF v FC Midtjylland2-2

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Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Malmo FF5
Played
FC Midtjylland5
Malmo FF0.8
Avg goals for
FC Midtjylland2.4
Malmo FF1
Avg goals against
FC Midtjylland2.2
Malmo FF2
Clean sheets
FC Midtjylland2

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Malmo FF Over 2.5
60%FC Midtjylland Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 goals trend over recent matches favors Midtjylland, who have a 60% rate compared to Malmo FF's 20%. The head-to-head average of 3 goals across three meetings indicates a moderate scoring tempo, suggesting this match could feature multiple goals and an open style of play.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.