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NK Lokomotiva Zagreb crestNK Lokomotiva Zagreb
v
NK Varazdin crestNK Varazdin

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 27 Jun, 08:30

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb v NK Varazdin Stats

Data last updated: Sat 27 Jun 2026, 04:04 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

NK Lokomotiva Zagreb face NK Varazdin in Friendlies Clubs on Sat 27 Jun, 08:30. NK Lokomotiva Zagreb come in with 7 recent points and 1.75 goals per match, while NK Varazdin have 8 points and 1.8 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

NK Varazdin to Win

  • At 2.6, NK Varazdin Win implies roughly 39%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 46%.
  • NK Varazdin have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.
  • NK Varazdin have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the NK Varazdin Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 46% for NK Varazdin Win sits against roughly 39% implied by the current price. NK Varazdin have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.

Model chance vs price46% model chance against roughly 39% implied
Positive
NK Varazdin have the stronger recent points return, taking 8.Visible data support
Positive
NK Varazdin have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: NK Varazdin Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers NK Varazdin have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

NK Varazdin Win evidence

NK Varazdin have the stronger recent points return, taking 8 points from the sample compared with 7 for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb.

NK Varazdin have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the NK Varazdin Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

NK Varazdin Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.75
    Avg goals scored
    NK Varazdin1.8
    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.25
    Avg goals conceded
    NK Varazdin1.2
    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb75%
    BTTS rate
    NK Varazdin40%
    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    NK Varazdin60%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 56% vs implied 52% · edge +4.1 pts
    1.92
    Check odds @ 1.92
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 74%
    1.27
    Check odds @ 1.27
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 38%
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%
    1.88
    Check odds @ 1.88
    Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 50% for NK Lokomotiva Zagreb and 60% for NK Varazdin, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.

    Continue the research

    Useful next reads

    player stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickNK Varazdin to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 39% · edge +7.3 pts
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Load more odds for this section
    NK Varazdin Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
    1.92
    Check odds @ 1.92
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    NK Varazdin to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb

    WLWD
    Last 52W 1D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 1D 1L
    16 Jan 2026A NK Slaven Belupo4-2
    14 Jan 2026H Velež1-2
    11 Jan 2026H Odra Opole1-0
    08 Jan 2026H SV Kapfenberg1-1

    NK Varazdin

    LDWWD
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 2D 1L
    15 Feb 2026A Križevci0-3
    04 Feb 2026H Kustosija1-1
    17 Jan 2026A Emirates Club4-0
    17 Jan 2026A Ittifaq4-2
    14 Jan 2026H Kairat Almaty0-0
    Market aligned with main pickNK Varazdin to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 39% · edge +7.3 pts
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 74%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    NK Varazdin Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    4NK Lokomotiva Zagreb wins
    3Draws
    3NK Varazdin wins
    09 May 2026NK Varazdin v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1-1
    07 Mar 2026NK Lokomotiva Zagreb v NK Varazdin1-1
    07 Dec 2025NK Varazdin v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb4-2
    20 Sep 2025NK Lokomotiva Zagreb v NK Varazdin1-0
    26 Apr 2025NK Varazdin v NK Lokomotiva Zagreb2-1
    21 Feb 2025NK Lokomotiva Zagreb v NK Varazdin1-0
    Market aligned with main pickNK Varazdin to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 39% · edge +7.3 pts
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 56%
    1.92
    Check odds @ 1.92
    The head-to-head sample gives context for NK Varazdin to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb5
    Played
    NK Varazdin7
    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.8
    Avg goals for
    NK Varazdin2.4
    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1.2
    Avg goals against
    NK Varazdin1.4
    NK Lokomotiva Zagreb1
    Clean sheets
    NK Varazdin2
    Market aligned with main pickNK Varazdin to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 46% vs implied 39% · edge +7.3 pts
    2.6
    Check odds @ 2.6
    Load more odds for this section
    NK Varazdin Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 56%
    1.98
    Check odds @ 1.98
    Season data supports NK Varazdin to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    50%NK Lokomotiva Zagreb Over 2.5
    60%NK Varazdin Over 2.5
    2.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: NK Lokomotiva Zagreb sit at 50% and NK Varazdin sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Fixture links

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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