Nice

Le Mans

Ligue 1 | Sat 05 Sep, 19:45

Nice v Le Mans Stats

Data last updated: Sat 26 Sep 2026, 10:06 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Nice face Le Mans in Ligue 1 on Sat 05 Sep, 19:45. Nice's recent home clean sheets and Le Mans' defensive vulnerabilities suggest both teams can find the net in this fixture, supporting the BTTS YES selection. Nice and Le Mans arrive with similar form, leaving fine margins likely to decide the result.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

At 4/5, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 56%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 58%.
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
Nice show a 0% BTTS rate and Le Mans show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Nice average 0 goals scored and Le Mans average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 58% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 56% implied by the current price. Nice show a 0% BTTS rate and Le Mans show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price58% model chance against roughly 56% implied

Neutral

Nice show a 0% BTTS rate and Le Mans show.Visible data support

Positive

Nice average 0 goals scored and Le Mans average 2.Visible data support

Positive

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Nice show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Le Mans show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Nice's recent home clean sheets suggest Le Mans may score once but not multiple times, making 1-1 a plausible exact score.

Main risk

Nice's recent home clean sheets suggest Le Mans may score once but not multiple times, making 1-1 a plausible exact score.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Nice show a 0% BTTS rate and Le Mans show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Nice average 0 goals scored and Le Mans average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Nice0

Avg goals scored

Le Mans2

Nice1.5

Avg goals conceded

Le Mans2.5

Nice0%

BTTS rate

Le Mans100%

Nice50%

Over 2.5 goals

Le Mans100%

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 57% · edge +1.2 pts

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%

1.25

Check odds @ 1.25

Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 71%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 46%

3.2

Check odds @ 3.2

BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 46%

Check odds @ 2

Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 28%

Check odds @ 2

BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 0% for Nice and 100% for Le Mans, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 57% · edge +1.2 pts

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 71%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Le Mans to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%

4.33

Check odds @ 4.33

Le Mans Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Nice to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Nice6.5

Avg corners for

Le Mans3.5

Nice9

Avg total corners

Le Mans12.5

Nice1

Avg yellow cards

Le Mans1.5

Nice15

Avg shots

Le Mans10

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 60% · edge +9.1 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 75%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

Over 4.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 47%

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Nice

Last 50W 1D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 1D 1L

30 Aug 2026A Paris FC0-3

22 Aug 2026H Lorient0-0

Le Mans

Last 50W 1D 1L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 1D 1L

30 Aug 2026A Rennes2-3

22 Aug 2026H Stade Brestois 292-2

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 52% · edge +3.7 pts

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

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Le Mans to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%

4.33

Check odds @ 4.33

Le Mans Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 70%

1.2

Check odds @ 1.2

DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Nice to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Nice Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 53%

1.48

Check odds @ 1.48

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Nice wins

0Draws

1Le Mans wins

30 Oct 2019Le Mans v Nice3-2

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 58% vs implied 57% · edge +1.2 pts

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 71%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

Le Mans to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%

4.33

Check odds @ 4.33

DrawBetUK guide price · model 26%

3.6

Check odds @ 3.6

Nice to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Ligue 1

Nice5

Played

Le Mans5

Nice0.6

Avg goals for

Le Mans1.8

Nice1.2

Avg goals against

Le Mans1.8

Nice1

Clean sheets

Le Mans0

Best odds for this sectionLe Mans to WinBet365 guide price · Model 30% vs implied 23% · edge +7.3 pts

4.33

Check odds @ 4.33

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Le Mans Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%

2.6

Check odds @ 2.6

Nice to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%

1.85

Check odds @ 1.85

Nice Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 53%

1.48

Check odds @ 1.48

Season data supports Le Mans to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
9	Le Mans	6	5	1	3	1	0
14	Nice	5	5	1	2	2	-3

Nice sit in position 14, while Le Mans sit in position 9, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score YES assessment.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Nice Over 2.5

100%Le Mans Over 2.5

5H2H avg goals

The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Nice sit at 50% and Le Mans sit at 100% with the H2H average at 5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Nice v Le Mans Stats

Match Report

Both Teams To Score YES

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Nice

Le Mans

Next step

Your privacy choices

Football Stats Hub

Nice v Le Mans Stats

Match Report

Both Teams To Score YES

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Nice

Le Mans

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