Football Stats Hub

Newport County crestNewport County
v
Reading crestReading

Friendlies Clubs | Tue 28 Jul, 19:30

Newport County v Reading Stats

Data last updated: Wed 19 Aug 2026, 03:00 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Newport County face Reading in Friendlies Clubs on Tue 28 Jul, 19:30. Reading’s higher League One quality and attacking control, combined with Newport’s offensive threat and defensive restructuring, support a narrow 2-1 away win reflecting the quality gap and Newport’s goal contribution.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • Both Teams To Score YES is rated around 55% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Newport County show a 40% BTTS rate and Reading show a 33% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Newport County average 2.2 goals scored and Reading average 1.33, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams To Score YES around 55% on the latest available numbers. Newport County show a 40% BTTS rate and Reading show a 33% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Newport County show a 40% BTTS rate and Reading show.Visible data support
Positive
Newport County average 2.2 goals scored and Reading average 1.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Newport County show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Reading show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Pre-season friendlies are supposedly relaxed occasions, but try telling that to a striker fighting for a contract or a defender who has just misplaced a pass in front of his own supporters.

Main risk

Pre-season friendlies are supposedly relaxed occasions, but try telling that to a striker fighting for a contract or a defender who has just misplaced a pass in front of his own supporters.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Newport County show a 40% BTTS rate and Reading show a 33% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Newport County average 2.2 goals scored and Reading average 1.33, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Newport County2.2
Avg goals scored
Reading1.33
Newport County0.8
Avg goals conceded
Reading0.67
Newport County40%
BTTS rate
Reading33%
Newport County80%
Over 2.5 goals
Reading33%
Best odds for this sectionOver 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 81% vs implied 85% · edge -4.1 pts
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 41%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 Goals does not fully support the current price: recent Over 2.5 rates are 80% for Newport County and 33% for Reading, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionNewport County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Load more odds for this section
Newport County to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Reading Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Reading to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Newport County Draw No Bet is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Newport County

DDLWW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 1L
25 Jul 2026A Bath City2-2
21 Jul 2026A Bristol City0-0
11 Jul 2026A Gloucester City1-2
08 Jul 2026A Newport City5-0
04 Jul 2026A Bristol Manor Farm3-0

Reading

WLW
Last 52W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 1L
25 Jul 2026A Woking2-0
17 Jul 2026A Getafe0-1
11 Jul 2026A Farnborough2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Newport County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Newport County to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Reading Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 52%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Reading to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Newport County wins
0Draws
2Reading wins
12 Nov 2024Reading v Newport County3-0
12 Aug 2014Reading v Newport County3-1
Best odds for this sectionNewport County to WinBet365 guide price · Model 42% vs implied 27% · edge +15 pts
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 63%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Reading to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
The head-to-head sample gives context for Newport County to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Newport County8
Played
Reading6
Newport County1.8
Avg goals for
Reading2
Newport County1.6
Avg goals against
Reading0.3
Newport County3
Clean sheets
Reading4
Best odds for this sectionNewport County Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 39% · edge +15 pts
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Load more odds for this section
Newport County to WinBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Reading Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Reading to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Season data supports Newport County Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Newport County Over 2.5
33%Reading Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Newport County sit at 80% and Reading sit at 33% with the H2H average at 3.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Newport County v Reading prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

1. FC Heidenheim v Bayern MünchenFriendlies Clubs · Tue 18 Aug 17:00Unionistas de Salamanca v AlcorconFriendlies Clubs · Tue 18 Aug 18:00Sporting Gijón II v LlaneraFriendlies Clubs · Tue 18 Aug 18:00Spelle-Venhaus v VfL OsnabrückFriendlies Clubs · Tue 18 Aug 18:00

Competition and hubs

related match predictionplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets research

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre