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Newells Old Boys crestNewells Old Boys
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Velez Sarsfield crestVelez Sarsfield

Liga Profesional Argentina | Fri 11 Sep, 21:00

Newells Old Boys v Velez Sarsfield Stats

Data last updated: Thu 10 Sep 2026, 08:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Newells Old Boys host Velez Sarsfield in a Liga Profesional Argentina clash with both sides showing solid attacking intent this season. Newells have scored 1.2 goals per game and conceded 0.8, while Velez matches the scoring rate but concedes slightly more at 1 goal per match. Both teams have earned points recently, with Newells gathering 8 and Velez 7 in their last five games, indicating competitive form. The fixture promises open play and goal opportunities as both teams look to climb the standings, with Velez currently second and Newells seventh, adding stakes to this encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams average 1.2 goals scored per game this season, showing balanced attacking output.
  • Newells concede fewer goals (0.8 per game) than Velez (1.0), but both have vulnerabilities.
  • Velez has a high BTTS rate of 80%, Newells at 60%, supporting goal exchanges.
  • Recent form shows both sides scoring and conceding, with Newells earning 8 points and Velez 7 in last five matches.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 76% chance, well above the implied market chance of 47.6%, indicating strong value at of 2.1. Both teams have consistent scoring records and concede regularly, with Velez especially prone to conceding despite their attacking threat. The high BTTS rates for both sides, combined with their recent form and attacking statistics, support the likelihood of goals at both ends. No data limitations affect , making this a solid pick based on balanced offensive and defensive profiles.

Model BTTS Chance76%
Strong positive
Market Implied Chance47.6%
Strong positive
Newells BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Velez BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Recent Goals For per Game1.2 each
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, making Both Teams to Score a logical choice. Velez's high BTTS rate and Newells' balanced scoring and conceding stats suggest goals at both ends. The pick aligns with recent form and season-long trends, offering a tactical and statistical basis for expecting both sides to find the net.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“This fixture features two sides with clear offensive capabilities but defensive lapses, making Both Teams to Score a compelling angle. Velez's aggressive attack combined with Newells' willingness to press forward sets the stage for goals from both teams.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams average 1.2 goals scored per game this season, showing balanced attacking output.

Newells concede fewer goals (0.8 per game) than Velez (1.0), but both have vulnerabilities.

Velez has a high BTTS rate of 80%, Newells at 60%, supporting goal exchanges.

Recent form shows both sides scoring and conceding, with Newells earning 8 points and Velez 7 in last five matches.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.7 per game, indicating moderate scoring.
  • Newells have a 40% over 2.5 goals rate this season, while Velez's is 20%, suggesting a tendency toward lower-scoring games.
  • However, the BTTS trend is stronger, pointing to goal exchanges even if totals remain modest.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Newells Old Boys3.75
Avg corners for
Velez Sarsfield5.2
Newells Old Boys9.25
Avg total corners
Velez Sarsfield9.4
Newells Old Boys2.25
Avg yellow cards
Velez Sarsfield2.4
Newells Old Boys8.25
Avg shots
Velez Sarsfield10.4
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 55% vs implied 50% · edge +5.4 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Over 5.5 CardsBet365 guide price
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Velez averages 5.2 corners and 10.4 shots per game, while Newells average 3.75 corners and 8.25 shots, reflecting active attacking play. Both teams commit around 2.3 yellow cards per match, suggesting moderate fouling and physicality. The shot volume and set-piece opportunities underline sustained pressure and attacking intent from both sides.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Newells Old Boys1.2
Avg goals scored
Velez Sarsfield1.2
Newells Old Boys0.8
Avg goals conceded
Velez Sarsfield1
Newells Old Boys60%
BTTS rate
Velez Sarsfield80%
Newells Old Boys40%
Over 2.5 goals
Velez Sarsfield20%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 66%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 22%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Both teams average 1.2 goals scored per game and have BTTS rates of 60% (Newells) and 80% (Velez), indicating frequent goal exchanges. Defensive records show both concede regularly, supporting the expectation of goals at both ends. The data points to an open game with multiple scoring chances for each side.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Newells Old Boys to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Newells Old Boys Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Velez Sarsfield to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Velez Sarsfield Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3
Check odds @ 3
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at around 2.1, reflecting a 47.6% implied chance, while the model estimates a 76% probability. This significant suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of both sides scoring. The price is positive value without warning flags, making it a strong candidate for standard staking.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Newells Old Boys

DDWWL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
06 Sep 2026A Rosario Central1-1
31 Aug 2026A Estudiantes L.P.0-0
23 Aug 2026H Banfield2-1
15 Aug 2026H Deportivo Riestra2-0
09 Aug 2026A Defensa Y Justicia1-2

Velez Sarsfield

WDDDD
Last 51W 4D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 5D 1L
06 Sep 2026H Estudiantes L.P.1-0
29 Aug 2026A Deportivo Riestra1-1
23 Aug 2026A River Plate2-2
17 Aug 2026H Defensa Y Justicia1-1
08 Aug 2026A Boca Juniors1-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 77% vs implied 69% · edge +7.2 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Load more odds for this section
Newells Old Boys to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Newells Old Boys Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Away / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 64%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Velez Sarsfield to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Velez Sarsfield Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3
Check odds @ 3
Recent form data shows Newells earning 8 points and Velez 7 in their last five matches, with both teams scoring an average of 1.2 goals per game. Newells concede slightly less, but Velez's higher BTTS rate reflects their openness. Both sides have demonstrated the ability to score and concede recently, reinforcing the likelihood of goals from both teams.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Newells Old Boys wins
1Draws
7Velez Sarsfield wins
04 May 2026Velez Sarsfield v Newells Old Boys1-1
22 May 2024Velez Sarsfield v Newells Old Boys1-0
03 Feb 2023Newells Old Boys v Velez Sarsfield1-0
03 Sep 2022Velez Sarsfield v Newells Old Boys0-1
09 Oct 2021Newells Old Boys v Velez Sarsfield1-2
13 Feb 2021Velez Sarsfield v Newells Old Boys1-0
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Newells Old Boys to WinBet365 guide price · model 48%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Velez Sarsfield to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3
Check odds @ 3
The last ten meetings between Newells Old Boys and Velez Sarsfield have averaged 1.7 goals per game, a relatively low figure that suggests tight contests. While this does not strongly support high-scoring outcomes, the current season's attacking and defensive trends carry more weight in anticipating both teams to score.
Season team stats

Liga Profesional Argentina

Newells Old Boys24
Played
Velez Sarsfield25
Newells Old Boys1
Avg goals for
Velez Sarsfield1.2
Newells Old Boys1.4
Avg goals against
Velez Sarsfield0.8
Newells Old Boys5
Clean sheets
Velez Sarsfield10
Best odds for this sectionNewells Old Boys to WinBet365 guide price · Model 48% vs implied 36% · edge +12.5 pts
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Load more odds for this section
Newells Old Boys Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Velez Sarsfield to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Velez Sarsfield Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 46%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Season-long statistics reveal balanced attacking output with both teams scoring 1.2 goals per game. Newells have a slightly better defensive record conceding 0.8 goals per match compared to Velez's 1.0. The BTTS rates of 60% and 80% respectively indicate that both teams frequently allow goals, supporting the BTTS market selection.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
3Velez Sarsfield28167726
14Newells Old Boys1516367-12
2Velez Sarsfield1684405
7Newells Old Boys1283322
Velez Sarsfield sits second in the Liga Profesional Argentina with 16 points, while Newells Old Boys are seventh with 12 points. The standings highlight Velez's stronger position and motivation to maintain form, while Newells aim to close the gap. This competitive context suggests both teams will seek goals to secure vital points, adding to the BTTS likelihood.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Newells Old Boys Over 2.5
20%Velez Sarsfield Over 2.5
1.7H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 1.7 per game, indicating moderate scoring. Newells have a 40% over 2.5 goals rate this season, while Velez's is 20%, suggesting a tendency toward lower-scoring games. However, the BTTS trend is stronger, pointing to goal exchanges even if totals remain modest.

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