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Newells Old Boys crestNewells Old Boys
v
Lanus crestLanus

Liga Profesional Argentina | Sat 03 Oct, 21:00

Newells Old Boys v Lanus Stats

Data last updated: Fri 02 Oct 2026, 10:41 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Newells Old Boys and Lanus meet in a tightly contested Liga Profesional Argentina fixture where both sides sit level on 16 points, separated only by goal difference. Newells have shown defensive resilience conceding just 0.6 goals per game, while Lanus boasts a slightly higher scoring rate of 1.4 goals per match. Both teams have a moderate tendency to see both sides score, with Newells at 60% and Lanus at 40%. This matchup promises tactical balance with attacking threats on both ends, setting the stage for a competitive encounter underpinned by recent solid form from both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Newells Old Boys have a 60% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent goals conceded and scored.
  • Lanus averages 1.4 goals per game with 40% BTTS rate, showing attacking potential.
  • Both teams have similar defensive records, conceding 0.6 goals per game each.
  • Recent form shows Newells with 9 points and Lanus with 10 points, reflecting competitive momentum.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 63.3% chance for both teams to score, significantly above the 47.6% implied by current , offering a 15.7% . Both teams have demonstrated attacking intent and vulnerability in defense, supported by Newells' 60% BTTS rate and Lanus' consistent goal threat. The average of 3.1 goals in their last 10 meetings further supports an open game. No data limitations affect , making this a strong, data-backed BTTS selection with standard stake guidance.

Model Chance62.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance62.6% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
BTTS Rate Newells60%
Positive
BTTS Rate Lanus40%
Positive
H2H Average Goals3.1 goals per match
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams possess capable attacking players and have shown tendencies to concede, making the Both Teams to Score market a logical choice. Newells' higher BTTS rate combined with Lanus' offensive output suggests a match where both sides can find the net, supported by their recent form and competitive league standing.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“This fixture features two evenly matched sides with balanced attacking and defensive profiles, making a Both Teams to Score outcome highly plausible given their recent performances and historical goal averages.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Newells Old Boys have a 60% BTTS rate this season, indicating frequent goals conceded and scored.

Lanus averages 1.4 goals per game with 40% BTTS rate, showing attacking potential.

Both teams have similar defensive records, conceding 0.6 goals per game each.

Recent form shows Newells with 9 points and Lanus with 10 points, reflecting competitive momentum.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals scored is 3.1, indicating a trend towards open, attacking games.
  • This sample suggests a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals, supporting the likelihood of an Over 2.5 Goals scenario alongside the BTTS selection.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Newells Old Boys1
Avg goals scored
Lanus1.4
Newells Old Boys0.6
Avg goals conceded
Lanus0.6
Newells Old Boys60%
BTTS rate
Lanus40%
Newells Old Boys20%
Over 2.5 goals
Lanus40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Both teams have shown a propensity for goals, with Newells scoring 1 goal per game and Lanus 1.4, alongside respective BTTS rates of 60% and 40%. Their last 10 meetings averaged 3.1 goals, reinforcing the likelihood of an open game with goals at both ends.

Continue the research

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Newells Old Boys

WDDDW
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
20 Sep 2026A Platense1-0
11 Sep 2026H Velez Sarsfield1-1
06 Sep 2026A Rosario Central1-1
31 Aug 2026A Estudiantes L.P.0-0
23 Aug 2026H Banfield2-1

Lanus

WWWLD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 4L
22 Sep 2026H Estudiantes L.P.2-1
14 Sep 2026A Deportivo Riestra3-0
06 Sep 2026H Defensa Y Justicia1-0
29 Aug 2026A Boca Juniors0-1
25 Aug 2026H Argentinos JRS1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 76% vs implied 71% · edge +4.6 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Lanus to WinBetfred guide price · model 48%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Lanus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 64%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Newells Old Boys to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Newells Old Boys Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBetUK guide price · model 28%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Recent form data shows Newells with 9 points and Lanus with 10 from their last matches, reflecting competitive momentum. Both teams have conceded 0.6 goals per game recently, supporting a balanced contest where both sides have found the net in 60% and 40% of matches respectively, aligning well with the BTTS pick.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Load more odds for this section
Lanus to WinBetfred guide price · model 48%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Lanus Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 60%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Newells Old Boys to WinBetMGM guide price · model 36%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Newells Old Boys Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The 62.6% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 47.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Newells Old Boys show a 60% BTTS rate and Lanus show a 40% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Newells Old Boys Over 2.5
40%Lanus Over 2.5
3.1H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 meetings, the average goals scored is 3.1, indicating a trend towards open, attacking games. This sample suggests a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals, supporting the likelihood of an Over 2.5 Goals scenario alongside the BTTS selection.

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