Necaxa

Puebla

Liga MX | Sat 12 Sep, 02:00

Necaxa v Puebla Stats

Data last updated: Fri 11 Sep 2026, 08:37 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Necaxa face Puebla in Liga MX on Sat 12 Sep, 02:00. Necaxa come in with 2 recent points and 1 goals per match, while Puebla have 7 points and 1.6 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

At 1.67, Both Teams to Score implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 75%.
Necaxa show a 100% BTTS rate and Puebla show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Necaxa average 1 goals scored and Puebla average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 75% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Necaxa show a 100% BTTS rate and Puebla show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price75% model chance against roughly 60% implied

Strong positive

Necaxa show a 100% BTTS rate and Puebla show a.Visible data support

Positive

Necaxa average 1 goals scored and Puebla average 1.6, so.Visible data support

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Necaxa show a 100% BTTS rate and Puebla show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Necaxa show a 100% BTTS rate and Puebla show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Necaxa average 1 goals scored and Puebla average 1.6, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Necaxa1

Avg goals scored

Puebla1.6

Necaxa2

Avg goals conceded

Puebla1.8

Necaxa100%

BTTS rate

Puebla80%

Necaxa60%

Over 2.5 goals

Puebla60%

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 74%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 48%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 38%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%

2.1

Check odds @ 2.1

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Useful next reads

corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles stats dashboard football analysis hub prediction centre best bets research acca fixture filtering

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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Puebla Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

Puebla to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

Necaxa Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%

1.58

Check odds @ 1.58

Necaxa to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Necaxa7

Avg corners for

Puebla4.2

Necaxa14

Avg total corners

Puebla10

Necaxa5

Avg yellow cards

Puebla0.8

Necaxa13

Avg shots

Puebla13.6

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts

1.91

Check odds @ 1.91

Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Necaxa

DLDLL

Last 50W 2D 3L

Last 5 record

Last 102W 2D 3L

06 Sep 2026A Tigres UANL1-1

29 Aug 2026H Cruz Azul1-3

24 Aug 2026A U.N.A.M. - Pumas1-1

18 Aug 2026H Leon1-2

03 Aug 2026A Toluca1-3

Puebla

LWWDL

Last 52W 1D 2L

Last 5 record

Last 103W 1D 2L

30 Aug 2026A Club America0-2

23 Aug 2026H Santos Laguna3-2

18 Aug 2026A CF Pachuca3-2

01 Aug 2026H Guadalajara Chivas1-1

22 Jul 2026A Cruz Azul1-2

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 71% vs implied 56% · edge +15 pts

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

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Puebla Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

Puebla to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

Necaxa Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%

1.58

Check odds @ 1.58

Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 49%

1.28

Check odds @ 1.28

Necaxa to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5Necaxa wins

3Draws

2Puebla wins

14 Mar 2026Puebla v Necaxa0-0

20 Sep 2025Necaxa v Puebla1-0

19 Apr 2025Puebla v Necaxa0-1

14 Jul 2024Necaxa v Puebla4-1

20 Jan 2024Puebla v Necaxa1-2

09 Oct 2023Necaxa v Puebla1-2

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 60% · edge +15 pts

1.67

Check odds @ 1.67

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Puebla to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 56%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 22%

3.7

Check odds @ 3.7

Necaxa to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Liga MX

Necaxa7

Played

Puebla0

Necaxa1.3

Avg goals for

Puebla-

Necaxa1.7

Avg goals against

Puebla-

Necaxa0

Clean sheets

Puebla-

Best odds for this sectionPuebla Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 58% vs implied 43% · edge +15 pts

2.35

Check odds @ 2.35

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Puebla to WinBet365 guide price · model 44%

3.4

Check odds @ 3.4

Necaxa Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%

1.58

Check odds @ 1.58

Necaxa to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%

2.05

Check odds @ 2.05

Season data supports Puebla Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
9	Puebla	10	6	3	1	2	0
13	Necaxa	8	7	2	2	3	-3

Necaxa sit in position 13, while Puebla sit in position 9, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams to Score assessment.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Necaxa Over 2.5

60%Puebla Over 2.5

2.1H2H avg goals

The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Necaxa sit at 60% and Puebla sit at 60% with the H2H average at 2.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre

Football Stats Hub

Necaxa v Puebla Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Necaxa

Puebla

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Football Stats Hub

Necaxa v Puebla Stats

Match Report

Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

Necaxa

Puebla

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Prediction context

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