NEC Nijmegen

Olympiakos Piraeus

UEFA Champions League | Tue 11 Aug, 18:30

NEC Nijmegen v Olympiakos Piraeus Stats

Data last updated: Mon 10 Aug 2026, 07:50 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Champions League qualifier features NEC Nijmegen hosting Olympiakos Piraeus in a tactical battle where both sides have shown defensive discipline in recent outings. Neither team has conceded or scored in their last matches, indicating a cautious approach likely to continue. With high stakes for progression and no clear control in attacking firepower, the match is expected to be tightly contested with limited goal-scoring opportunities, emphasizing defensive organization and midfield control.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

Both teams have recorded zero goals for and against in recent matches, highlighting strong defensive form.
NEC Nijmegen averages 13 shots per game but only 4 on target, suggesting limited finishing efficiency.
Olympiakos Piraeus maintains a low BTTS rate and averages 12 shots with 5 on target, showing controlled attacking output.
Both teams have low over 2.5 goals rates at 0%, reinforcing the likelihood of a low-scoring game.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 66% chance to Under 2.5 Goals, supported by recent clean sheets and low goal averages in head-to-head clashes. Both NEC Nijmegen and Olympiakos Piraeus demonstrate cautious attacking patterns with modest shot volumes and strong defensive discipline. The price at 1.73 offers positive value with an 8.2% edge, reflecting the realistic expectation of a tight, low-scoring encounter. No data limitations affect , making this a solid statistical and tactical case for Under 2.5 Goals.

Recent defensive formBoth teams have kept clean sheets recently

Strong positive

Shot and finishing qualityModerate shots but low conversion rates

Positive

Head-to-head goal averagesAverage 1 goal per match in 2 meetings

Positive

Market priceOdds imply 57.8% chance vs 66% model chance

Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a tactically disciplined match with both NEC Nijmegen and Olympiakos Piraeus prioritizing defensive solidity over aggressive offense. The recent form data supports a low-scoring game, as both teams have struggled to break down opponents and maintain clean sheets. This Under 2.5 Goals pick aligns well with the cautious approach and limited goal threat evident in their performances.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match tactical and statistical analysis

“This fixture is poised for a tight, strategic contest where defensive organization will likely stifle goal-scoring chances, making Under 2.5 Goals a compelling angle given the teams' recent clean sheets and modest attacking output.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have recorded zero goals for and against in recent matches, highlighting strong defensive form.

NEC Nijmegen averages 13 shots per game but only 4 on target, suggesting limited finishing efficiency.

Olympiakos Piraeus maintains a low BTTS rate and averages 12 shots with 5 on target, showing controlled attacking output.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

In the two previous head-to-head matches, the average goals scored was just 1 per game, highlighting a trend toward low-scoring encounters.
This recent sample suggests a tempo and tactical setup that restricts goal opportunities, aligning with the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel indicating a low likelihood of a high-scoring game.

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

NEC Nijmegen0

Avg goals scored

Olympiakos Piraeus0

NEC Nijmegen0

Avg goals conceded

Olympiakos Piraeus0

NEC Nijmegen0%

BTTS rate

Olympiakos Piraeus0%

NEC Nijmegen0%

Over 2.5 goals

Olympiakos Piraeus0%

Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 58% · edge +8.2 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

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BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 68%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%

3.75

Check odds @ 3.75

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

2.08

Check odds @ 2.08

Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 52%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Both teams have recorded zero goals for and against in their recent matches, with a 0% over 2.5 goals rate and no BTTS occurrences. This controlled goal environment indicates a match likely to feature few scoring opportunities and limited offensive breakthroughs, supporting a low-scoring outcome.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

NEC Nijmegen

Last 50W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 1D 0L

04 Aug 2026A Olympiakos Piraeus0-0

Olympiakos Piraeus

Last 50W 1D 0L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 1D 0L

04 Aug 2026H NEC Nijmegen0-0

Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 69% · edge +3.6 pts

1.44

Check odds @ 1.44

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Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 71%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

NEC Nijmegen to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

Olympiakos Piraeus Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

NEC Nijmegen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%

1.82

Check odds @ 1.82

Olympiakos Piraeus to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Recent form data shows both teams have kept clean sheets and failed to score in their last fixtures, reinforcing a defensive mindset. NEC Nijmegen and Olympiakos Piraeus have zero goals for and against, with no matches exceeding 2.5 goals, indicating a trend toward low-scoring, tightly contested games.

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionNEC Nijmegen to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 36% · edge +6.6 pts

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

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Olympiakos Piraeus Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

NEC Nijmegen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%

1.82

Check odds @ 1.82

Olympiakos Piraeus to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

2.08

Check odds @ 2.08

Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 35%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

The Under 2.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 1.73, reflecting a positive as the model estimates a 66% chance versus the implied 57.8%. This pricing suggests the market acknowledges the defensive strengths and low scoring tendencies of both teams, making the bet a sound choice rather than a risky punt.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

NEC Nijmegen2

Avg corners for

Olympiakos Piraeus5

NEC Nijmegen7

Avg total corners

Olympiakos Piraeus7

NEC Nijmegen1

Avg yellow cards

Olympiakos Piraeus2

NEC Nijmegen13

Avg shots

Olympiakos Piraeus12

Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.

3.25

Check odds @ 3.25

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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 35%

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 29%

Check odds @ 2

NEC Nijmegen averages fewer corners (2) compared to Olympiakos Piraeus (5), indicating the away side may have slightly more attacking territory. However, both teams maintain disciplined defensive structures, reflected in low yellow card counts (1 and 2 respectively) and moderate shot volumes, suggesting a controlled tempo with limited reckless challenges or frantic attacking bursts.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0NEC Nijmegen wins

1Draws

1Olympiakos Piraeus wins

04 Aug 2026Olympiakos Piraeus v NEC Nijmegen0-0

27 Jul 2024NEC Nijmegen v Olympiakos Piraeus0-2

Best odds for this sectionNEC Nijmegen to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 36% · edge +6.6 pts

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

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Olympiakos Piraeus to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

DrawBetMGM guide price · model 30%

3.1

Check odds @ 3.1

Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 34%

2.08

Check odds @ 2.08

BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 32%

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

The head-to-head sample of two matches shows an average of only one goal per game, underscoring a history of tight, low-scoring contests between NEC Nijmegen and Olympiakos Piraeus. This limited but relevant data supports the expectation of a cautious match with few goals, reinforcing the Under 2.5 Goals selection.

Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

NEC Nijmegen1

Played

Olympiakos Piraeus1

NEC Nijmegen0

Avg goals for

Olympiakos Piraeus0

NEC Nijmegen0

Avg goals against

Olympiakos Piraeus0

NEC Nijmegen1

Clean sheets

Olympiakos Piraeus1

Best odds for this sectionNEC Nijmegen to WinBet365 guide price · Model 43% vs implied 36% · edge +6.6 pts

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

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Olympiakos Piraeus Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%

1.98

Check odds @ 1.98

NEC Nijmegen Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%

1.82

Check odds @ 1.82

Olympiakos Piraeus to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%

2.62

Check odds @ 2.62

Season-long statistics reveal both sides have low over 2.5 goals rates and limited goal-scoring output, consistent with a defensive approach. NEC Nijmegen's average shots and shots on target are moderate but do not translate into high scoring, while Olympiakos Piraeus exhibits similar patterns, supporting the Under 2.5 Goals market.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%NEC Nijmegen Over 2.5

0%Olympiakos Piraeus Over 2.5

1H2H avg goals

In the two previous head-to-head matches, the average goals scored was just 1 per game, highlighting a trend toward low-scoring encounters. This recent sample suggests a tempo and tactical setup that restricts goal opportunities, aligning with the Over 2.5 Goals trend panel indicating a low likelihood of a high-scoring game.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

NEC Nijmegen v Olympiakos Piraeus Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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NEC Nijmegen

Olympiakos Piraeus

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NEC Nijmegen v Olympiakos Piraeus Stats

Match Report

Under 2.5 Goals

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

Continue the research

NEC Nijmegen

Olympiakos Piraeus

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