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Nautico Recife crestNautico Recife
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Botafogo SP crestBotafogo SP

Serie B | Fri 04 Sep, 00:00

Nautico Recife v Botafogo SP Stats

Data last updated: Thu 03 Sep 2026, 08:36 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Nautico Recife and Botafogo SP meet in a Serie B clash where both sides have shown tendencies to find the net despite mixed defensive records. Nautico Recife has been solid at home, scoring regularly while conceding less, whereas Botafogo SP has struggled defensively but remains capable of scoring. Recent form data highlights a competitive fixture with both teams eager to secure points to improve their mid-table standings. The tactical setup suggests open play with attacking intent from both sides, increasing the likelihood of goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Nautico Recife scores in 80% of recent matches, Botafogo SP in 60%.
  • Both teams have a combined BTTS rate of 70% this season.
  • Nautico Recife averages 19.2 shots per game with 6.8 on target.
  • Botafogo SP concedes 1.4 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerability.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.67 across three meetings.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, well above the implied market probability of 54.6%, indicating strong value at 1.83 . Nautico Recife's attacking players like Vinícius and Luiz Cláudio provide consistent goal threats, while Botafogo SP's defensive lapses and offensive efforts support the likelihood of goals at both ends. The high level (88) reflects stable data without notable limitations, making this a solid pick based on attacking and defensive profiles.

Model Chance vs Implied Chance76% vs 54.6%
Strong positive
Nautico Recife BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Botafogo SP Defensive Concession1.4 goals per game
Positive
Player Goal ThreatsVinícius 6 goals, Luiz Cláudio 0.88 goals per 90
Positive
Confidence Level88
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown consistent attacking output and defensive weaknesses, making both teams to score a logical choice. Nautico Recife's offensive firepower combined with Botafogo SP's tendency to concede goals supports this bet. The data confirms a high likelihood of goals at both ends, reflecting the tactical openness expected in this Serie B fixture.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture features two sides with clear attacking intent but defensive frailties, making a both teams to score bet a compelling angle given the players involved and recent scoring trends.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Nautico Recife scores in 80% of recent matches, Botafogo SP in 60%.

Both teams have a combined BTTS rate of 70% this season.

Nautico Recife averages 19.2 shots per game with 6.8 on target.

Botafogo SP concedes 1.4 goals per game, indicating defensive vulnerability.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • In the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.67, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend.
  • This sample suggests a tempo conducive to goals, with both teams historically contributing to the scoreline, reinforcing the likelihood of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in this match.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Nautico Recife6.2
Avg corners for
Botafogo SP7
Nautico Recife10.2
Avg total corners
Botafogo SP15
Nautico Recife3.6
Avg yellow cards
Botafogo SP1.4
Nautico Recife19.2
Avg shots
Botafogo SP13.8
Best odds for this sectionOver 5.5 CardsBetUK guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Nautico Recife averages 6.2 corners and 19.2 shots per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure. Botafogo SP's 7 corners and 13.8 shots show they can create chances as well. The card data reveals Nautico Recife's more aggressive style with 3.6 yellows per game, contrasting Botafogo SP's 1.4, suggesting a physical match that could influence tempo and shot opportunities.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Nautico Recife1.2
Avg goals scored
Botafogo SP1
Nautico Recife0.8
Avg goals conceded
Botafogo SP1.4
Nautico Recife80%
BTTS rate
Botafogo SP60%
Nautico Recife20%
Over 2.5 goals
Botafogo SP60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 28%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Nautico Recife's 80% BTTS rate and Botafogo SP's 60% rate indicate frequent goal exchanges. Despite Nautico Recife's lower over 2.5 goals rate (20%), Botafogo SP's 60% suggests openness in defense, supporting a scenario where both teams find the net but not necessarily a high-scoring game.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Nautico Recife to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
2
Check odds @ 2
Nautico Recife Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Botafogo SP Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Botafogo SP to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
The current of 1.83 for both teams to score offer clear value compared to the model's 76% probability. This price reflects market underestimation of the attacking capabilities and defensive vulnerabilities of both sides, making the bet attractive without significant price sensitivity concerns.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Nautico Recife

WDWDD
Last 52W 3D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 5D 2L
29 Aug 2026H Athletic Club2-1
23 Aug 2026A São Bernardo1-1
19 Aug 2026H Ceara1-0
14 Aug 2026A Ponte Preta1-1
09 Aug 2026H Atletico Goianiense1-1

Botafogo SP

LLDWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
29 Aug 2026H Cuiaba1-2
25 Aug 2026A Atletico Goianiense0-3
20 Aug 2026H Criciuma1-1
14 Aug 2026A São Bernardo1-0
08 Aug 2026H America Mineiro2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 82% vs implied 82% · edge -0.1 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Load more odds for this section
Nautico Recife to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
2
Check odds @ 2
Nautico Recife Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Botafogo SP Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Botafogo SP to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Recent form shows Nautico Recife accumulating 9 points with an average of 1.2 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per game, reflecting solid home performance. Botafogo SP has 7 points, scoring 1 goal per game but conceding 1.4, highlighting defensive weaknesses that increase the likelihood of both teams scoring in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Nautico Recife wins
2Draws
0Botafogo SP wins
02 May 2026Botafogo SP v Nautico Recife1-1
13 Dec 2020Botafogo SP v Nautico Recife1-1
13 Sep 2020Nautico Recife v Botafogo SP3-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Nautico Recife to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Botafogo SP to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
The three recent meetings between Nautico Recife and Botafogo SP have averaged 2.67 goals per game, showing a pattern of open contests with goals from both sides. This historical data supports the expectation that both teams will find the net again, although the sample size is limited and should be considered alongside current form and tactical setups.
Season team stats

Serie B

Nautico Recife25
Played
Botafogo SP25
Nautico Recife1.2
Avg goals for
Botafogo SP1.2
Nautico Recife1.1
Avg goals against
Botafogo SP1.1
Nautico Recife7
Clean sheets
Botafogo SP5
Best odds for this sectionNautico Recife to WinBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 50% · edge +5.9 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Nautico Recife Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Botafogo SP Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 42%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Botafogo SP to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
4
Check odds @ 4
Season-long data reveals Nautico Recife's strong attacking output with high shots and BTTS rates, while Botafogo SP's defensive record is less robust, conceding more goals and allowing more shots on target. This contrast supports the expectation of goals from both sides, consistent with the BTTS pick.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
12Nautico Recife34259792
15Botafogo SP312587101
Nautico Recife sits 12th with 34 points, and Botafogo SP is 15th with 31 points, both mid-table teams with motivation to climb. While standings do not dictate outcomes, the close points suggest a competitive match where both teams seek to assert offensive control, supporting a BTTS scenario.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%Nautico Recife Over 2.5
60%Botafogo SP Over 2.5
2.67H2H avg goals
In the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.67, indicating a moderately high-scoring trend. This sample suggests a tempo conducive to goals, with both teams historically contributing to the scoreline, reinforcing the likelihood of over 2.5 goals and both teams scoring in this match.

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