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Napoliv
CremoneseSerie A | Fri 24 Apr, 19:45
Napoli v Cremonese Stats
BT4Y best bet
Over 2.5 Goals
- At 15, Over 2.5 Goals is priced at roughly 7% implied probability. Our model has it closer to 53%, so the current line is showing a +46.1-point value edge.
- Napoli are at 20% for Over 2.5 in their last-five sample, Cremonese are at 40%, and the H2H goal average is 3.5.
- The goals data supports the Over 2.5 Goals angle: Napoli have taken 3 wins from their last 5 matches, averaging 1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded.
- The goals data supports the Over 2.5 Goals angle: Cremonese have taken 1 win from their last 5 matches, with BTTS landing in 40% of that sample.
- If the bookmaker is still close to 15, this is the market to check first because the data and the price are both pointing in the same direction.
Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 7% · edge +46.1 pts
15
Bet HERE @ 15Load more odds for this section
Key match trends
A quick read of the strongest visible indicators.
20%Napoli Over 2.5
40%Cremonese Over 2.5
3.5H2H avg goals
Recent form
Results and scoring shape from recent games.
Napoli
LDWWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 recordLast 106W 2D 2L
18 Apr 2026H Lazio0-2
12 Apr 2026A Parma1-1
06 Apr 2026H AC Milan1-0
20 Mar 2026A Cagliari1-0
14 Mar 2026H Lecce2-1
Cremonese
DLLWL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 recordLast 101W 2D 7L
19 Apr 2026H Torino0-0
11 Apr 2026A Cagliari0-1
05 Apr 2026H Bologna1-2
21 Mar 2026A Parma2-0
16 Mar 2026H Fiorentina1-4
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 22% · edge +20.5 pts
4.65
Bet HERE @ 4.65Load more odds for this section
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Goal-market data and related prices.
Napoli1
Avg goals scoredCremonese0.8
Napoli0.8
Avg goals concededCremonese1.4
Napoli40%
BTTS rateCremonese40%
Napoli20%
Over 2.5 goalsCremonese40%
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 7% · edge +46.1 pts
15
Bet HERE @ 15Load more odds for this section
Head-to-head
Recent meetings and related markets.
3Napoli wins
1Draws
0Cremonese wins
28 Dec 2025Cremonese v Napoli0-2
12 Feb 2023Napoli v Cremonese3-0
17 Jan 2023Napoli v Cremonese2-2
09 Oct 2022Cremonese v Napoli1-4
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 7% · edge +46.1 pts
15
Bet HERE @ 15Load more odds for this section
Corners, cards and shots
Detailed stat markets where available.
Napoli7.4
Avg corners forCremonese3.6
Napoli10.4
Avg total cornersCremonese7.6
Napoli1
Avg yellow cardsCremonese1.4
Napoli14.2
Avg shotsCremonese9.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 46% · edge +8.1 pts
2.2
Bet HERE @ 2.2Load more odds for this section
Player stats
Player props and player-level signals.
Load more player angles
M. De LucaCremonese · Attacker
Goal threat100/100
Shots /909.47
SOT /909.47
R. LukakuNapoli · Attacker
Goal threat78/100
Shots /903.6
SOT /901.8
Alisson SantosNapoli · Attacker
Goal threat70/100
Shots /902.61
SOT /901.78
Juan JesusNapoli · Defender
Goal threat10/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
M. PayeroCremonese · Midfielder
Goal threat28/100
Shots /901.1
SOT /900.49
Season team stats
Serie A
Napoli35
PlayedCremonese35
Napoli1.5
Avg goals forCremonese0.8
Napoli0.9
Avg goals againstCremonese1.5
Napoli13
Clean sheetsCremonese9
Best odds for this sectionAway Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 22% · edge +20.5 pts
4.65
Bet HERE @ 4.65Load more odds for this section
League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Napoli | 70 | 35 | 21 | 7 | 7 | 19 |
| 18 | Cremonese | 28 | 35 | 6 | 10 | 19 | -26 |
Next step
Betting context
Use the best-bet case above as the starting point, then check the live odds and the full prediction before staking.
