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MTK Budapest crestMTK Budapest
v
Kazincbarcikai crestKazincbarcikai

Friendlies Clubs | Fri 26 Jun, 16:00

MTK Budapest v Kazincbarcikai Stats

Data last updated: Thu 25 Jun 2026, 05:25 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

MTK Budapest and Kazincbarcikai face off in a friendly fixture where both sides have shown attacking intent in recent matches. MTK Budapest averages 2.67 goals scored per game with a 67% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, while Kazincbarcikai also boasts a strong offensive record, scoring 2.25 goals per game and seeing 75% of their games exceed 2.5 goals. Defensively, both teams concede regularly, suggesting an open game with multiple scoring opportunities. This friendly provides a platform for offensive experimentation, increasing the likelihood of goals.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • MTK Budapest averages 2.67 goals scored per game this season.
  • Kazincbarcikai scores 2.25 goals per game with 75% of matches over 2.5 goals.
  • Both teams have over 2.5 goals rates above 65%, indicating attacking games.
  • Recent form shows both sides concede goals regularly, supporting an open match.
  • Head-to-head meetings average 3.4 goals per game, reinforcing goal potential.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 72.1% chance for Over 2.5 Goals based on strong attacking outputs from both MTK Budapest and Kazincbarcikai. Both teams have high over 2.5 goals rates in recent matches, with combined averages exceeding three goals per game in their head-to-head history. The friendly context encourages offensive play, reducing defensive rigidity and increasing scoring chances. No price warnings apply, making this a solid selection with standard staking advised.

MTK Budapest scoring rate2.67 goals per game
Strong positive
Kazincbarcikai scoring rate2.25 goals per game
Strong positive
Over 2.5 goals match rateMTK 67%, Kazincbarcikai 75%
Strong positive
Head-to-head average goals3.4 goals per game
Positive
Friendly match contextEncourages open attacking play
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking friendly between MTK Budapest and Kazincbarcikai, with both sides showing strong recent scoring form. The high average goals per game and head-to-head history suggest multiple goals are likely, making Over 2.5 Goals a sensible choice for this fixture.

Main risk

The main risk is that friendly matches can sometimes lack competitive intensity, leading to unexpected defensive focus or experimental line-ups that might reduce scoring chances.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential

“Both teams have demonstrated offensive prowess and a tendency for high-scoring games recently, making Over 2.5 Goals a logical expectation in this friendly encounter.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

MTK Budapest averages 2.67 goals scored per game this season.

Kazincbarcikai scores 2.25 goals per game with 75% of matches over 2.5 goals.

Both teams have over 2.5 goals rates above 65%, indicating attacking games.

Recent form shows both sides concede goals regularly, supporting an open match.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 3.4 per game, indicating a historical trend towards high-scoring encounters.
  • This trend, combined with recent form, suggests a fast-paced game with multiple goals is likely.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

MTK Budapest2.67
Avg goals scored
Kazincbarcikai2.25
MTK Budapest1.33
Avg goals conceded
Kazincbarcikai0.75
MTK Budapest67%
BTTS rate
Kazincbarcikai50%
MTK Budapest67%
Over 2.5 goals
Kazincbarcikai75%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 67% · edge +5.4 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.15
Check odds @ 1.15
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Both MTK Budapest and Kazincbarcikai have high rates of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, with MTK at 67% and Kazincbarcikai at 75%. BTTS rates are moderate, indicating that while both teams score often, defensive lapses contribute significantly to goal totals, supporting an over 2.5 goals outcome.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 67% · edge +5.4 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Kazincbarcikai Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Kazincbarcikai to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
4
Check odds @ 4
MTK Budapest Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
MTK Budapest to WinBetfred guide price · model 31%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The Over 2.5 Goals market aligns well with the model's 72.1% probability, reflecting the attacking strengths of both teams. Without visible , this selection appears well-supported by data, though standard staking is recommended given the friendly nature of the match.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

MTK Budapest

WDW
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
17 Jan 2026H Ajka1-0
17 Jan 2026H Fehérvár FC2-2
10 Jan 2026H Kozarmisleny FC5-2

Kazincbarcikai

WWWD
Last 53W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 1D 0L
27 Mar 2026A Gesztely3-0
17 Jan 2026H FK Košice3-1
14 Jan 2026H Karcag SE1-0
10 Jan 2026A Zemplín Michalovce2-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 80% vs implied 48% · edge +31.9 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Kazincbarcikai Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Kazincbarcikai to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
4
Check odds @ 4
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
MTK Budapest Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
MTK Budapest to WinBetfred guide price · model 31%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Recent form data shows MTK Budapest scoring 2.67 goals per game and Kazincbarcikai 2.25, with both sides conceding regularly. This pattern indicates matches with multiple goals, reinforcing the likelihood of an Over 2.5 Goals outcome in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

5MTK Budapest wins
2Draws
3Kazincbarcikai wins
24 Apr 2026Kazincbarcikai v MTK Budapest0-0
31 Jan 2026MTK Budapest v Kazincbarcikai1-3
03 Oct 2025Kazincbarcikai v MTK Budapest3-1
22 Jul 2023MTK Budapest v Kazincbarcikai4-0
14 May 2023MTK Budapest v Kazincbarcikai1-0
27 Nov 2022Kazincbarcikai v MTK Budapest3-3
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 72% vs implied 67% · edge +5.4 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Kazincbarcikai to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
4
Check odds @ 4
MTK Budapest to WinBetfred guide price · model 31%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 3.4 goals per game, supporting the expectation of Over 2.5 Goals. While the sample is moderate, it confirms a pattern of open games with frequent scoring between these teams.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

MTK Budapest3
Played
Kazincbarcikai5
MTK Budapest2.7
Avg goals for
Kazincbarcikai2.2
MTK Budapest1.3
Avg goals against
Kazincbarcikai1.4
MTK Budapest1
Clean sheets
Kazincbarcikai2
Best odds for this sectionKazincbarcikai Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 35% · edge +27.4 pts
2.85
Check odds @ 2.85
Load more odds for this section
Kazincbarcikai to WinBet365 guide price · model 53%
4
Check odds @ 4
MTK Budapest Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
MTK Budapest to WinBetfred guide price · model 31%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Season-long statistics reveal both teams maintain high scoring averages and concede at rates that facilitate open games. These attacking and defensive profiles support the expectation of a match with three or more goals.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%MTK Budapest Over 2.5
75%Kazincbarcikai Over 2.5
3.4H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head meetings, the average goals scored is 3.4 per game, indicating a historical trend towards high-scoring encounters. This trend, combined with recent form, suggests a fast-paced game with multiple goals is likely.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.