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Moreirense crestMoreirense
v
Maritimo crestMaritimo

Primeira Liga | Mon 14 Sep, 20:15

Moreirense v Maritimo Stats

Data last updated: Mon 05 Oct 2026, 07:04 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Moreirense face Maritimo in Primeira Liga on Mon 14 Sep, 20:15. Moreirense and Maritimo meet in Monday’s Primeira Liga fixture with both trying to stop back-to-back defeats becoming something more damaging. Moreirense's single win contrasts with Maritimo's two wins in recent matches. Maritimo create more chances, leaving Moreirense under pressure to match their attacking tempo.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 20/23, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Moreirense show a 40% BTTS rate and Maritimo show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Moreirense average 0.8 goals scored and Maritimo average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. Moreirense show a 40% BTTS rate and Maritimo show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Positive
Moreirense show a 40% BTTS rate and Maritimo show a.Visible data support
Positive
Moreirense average 0.8 goals scored and Maritimo average 1.2, so.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Moreirense show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Maritimo show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. However, Maritimo's defensive figures provide Moreirense with a realistic opportunity to score once.

Main risk

However, Maritimo's defensive figures provide Moreirense with a realistic opportunity to score once.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Moreirense show a 40% BTTS rate and Maritimo show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Moreirense average 0.8 goals scored and Maritimo average 1.2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Moreirense0.8
Avg goals scored
Maritimo1.2
Moreirense2.4
Avg goals conceded
Maritimo1.6
Moreirense40%
BTTS rate
Maritimo60%
Moreirense80%
Over 2.5 goals
Maritimo80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 86%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 40%
4
Check odds @ 4
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Primeira Liga fixtures and predictionsfull betting preview for Moreirense v Maritimocorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Maritimo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 59%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Maritimo to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2
Check odds @ 2
Moreirense Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Moreirense

LLWLD
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 3L
09 Sep 2026H Benfica0-4
04 Sep 2026A FC Porto1-2
30 Aug 2026A Casa Pia1-0
16 Aug 2026A Arouca0-4
09 Aug 2026H SC Braga2-2

Maritimo

LLDWW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 2L
05 Sep 2026H Benfica0-3
29 Aug 2026A Arouca1-2
22 Aug 2026H Academico Viseu2-2
16 Aug 2026A Famalicao2-1
08 Aug 2026H Casa Pia1-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 80% vs implied 65% · edge +15 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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Maritimo Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 65%
2.02
Check odds @ 2.02
Maritimo to WinBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Moreirense Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.78
Check odds @ 1.78
DrawBet365 guide price · model 24%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 51%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Moreirense to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Moreirense Over 2.5
80%Maritimo Over 2.5
2.1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Moreirense sit at 80% and Maritimo sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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