Moreirense
BenficaPrimeira Liga | Wed 09 Sep, 20:45
Moreirense v Benfica Stats
Data last updated: Tue 08 Sep 2026, 08:34 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
This Primeira Liga fixture features Moreirense hosting Benfica, with Benfica currently fourth in the table and Moreirense in 13th. Benfica's attacking prowess is evident from their recent form, averaging 3.5 goals per game and maintaining a perfect over 2.5 goals rate, while Moreirense has shown vulnerability at the back, conceding 2 goals per match and hitting over 2.5 goals in 75% of their recent games. The clash promises an open contest with Benfica's offensive firepower likely to test Moreirense's defense under pressure.
Over 3.5 Goals
- Benfica averages 3.5 goals per game with a 100% over 2.5 goals rate recently.
- Moreirense concedes 2 goals per match and has a 75% over 2.5 goals rate in recent games.
- Benfica's attacking players generate high shot volumes, averaging 21 shots and 8.25 on target per game.
- Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.8 over the last 10 meetings, indicating potential for multiple goals.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a strong value bet with a 58% chance against an implied market chance of 47.6%, reflecting a 10.4% . Benfica's prolific attack, combined with Moreirense's defensive frailties and high recent over 2.5 goals rates for both teams, underpin this selection. The attacking intensity, shot volumes, and goal-scoring form support a high-scoring match scenario. No data limitations or price warnings affect this pick, making it a confident standard stake opportunity.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Expect Benfica to leverage their attacking depth to break down Moreirense's defense, which has shown susceptibility to conceding multiple goals. Benfica's recent offensive form and Moreirense's defensive record suggest a match inclined towards a high goal tally, making Over 3.5 Goals a tactically and statistically sound choice.
A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and tactical matchup
“Benfica's offensive efficiency combined with Moreirense's defensive lapses sets the stage for a high-scoring encounter. The data strongly supports a game with multiple goals, reflecting the attacking styles and recent form of both sides.”
Key Data Signals
Over 3.5 Goals evidence
Benfica averages 3.5 goals per game with a 100% over 2.5 goals rate recently.
Moreirense concedes 2 goals per match and has a 75% over 2.5 goals rate in recent games.
Benfica's attacking players generate high shot volumes, averaging 21 shots and 8.25 on target per game.
Head-to-head average goals stand at 2.8 over the last 10 meetings, indicating potential for multiple goals.
What To Watch In The Data
Over 3.5 Goals notes
- Over the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.8, close to the over 2.5 threshold.
- Combined with recent team form and attacking tendencies, this trend suggests a continued pattern of open games with multiple goals, supporting the over 3.5 goals angle.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
No priced odds are available for this section yet.
Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Moreirense
Benfica
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Season team stats
Primeira Liga
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Benfica | 10 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 11 |
| 13 | Moreirense | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | -4 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.
