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Monza crestMonza
v
Udinese crestUdinese

Serie A | Sat 29 Aug, 17:30

Monza v Udinese Stats

Data last updated: Mon 21 Sep 2026, 19:47 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Monza face Udinese in Serie A on Sat 29 Aug, 17:30. Udinese took 27 of their 50 league points away from home in 2025-26. Monza’s home scoring form and Udinese’s strong away record support both teams scoring. Udinese create more chances, leaving Monza under pressure to match their attacking tempo.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 20/23, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 69%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Monza show a 100% BTTS rate and Udinese show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Monza average 1 goals scored and Udinese average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 69% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. Monza show a 100% BTTS rate and Udinese show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price69% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Strong positive
Monza show a 100% BTTS rate and Udinese show a.Visible data support
Positive
Monza average 1 goals scored and Udinese average 1, so.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Monza show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Udinese show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. The level has changed, but their survival prospects may depend heavily on whether that home advantage survives promotion.

Main risk

The level has changed, but their survival prospects may depend heavily on whether that home advantage survives promotion.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Monza show a 100% BTTS rate and Udinese show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Monza average 1 goals scored and Udinese average 1, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Monza1
Avg goals scored
Udinese1
Monza4
Avg goals conceded
Udinese1
Monza100%
BTTS rate
Udinese100%
Monza100%
Over 2.5 goals
Udinese0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 72%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 36%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · model 71%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Udinese Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Udinese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Monza to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Monza3
Avg corners for
Udinese1
Monza6
Avg total corners
Udinese11
Monza2
Avg yellow cards
Udinese3
Monza7
Avg shots
Udinese17
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBet365 guide price · Model 71% vs implied 60% · edge +10.6 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Over 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 49%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Monza

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
22 Aug 2026A Inter1-4

Udinese

D
Last 50W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 0L
22 Aug 2026H Como1-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 74% · edge -3.1 pts
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
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Udinese Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 52%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Udinese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Monza to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Monza Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Monza wins
3Draws
2Udinese wins
11 May 2025Udinese v Monza1-2
09 Dec 2024Monza v Udinese1-2
03 Feb 2024Udinese v Monza0-0
29 Oct 2023Monza v Udinese1-1
08 Apr 2023Udinese v Monza2-2
19 Oct 2022Udinese v Monza2-3
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Udinese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Monza to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBet365 guide price · model 28%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie A

Monza5
Played
Udinese5
Monza1.6
Avg goals for
Udinese1.6
Monza2.4
Avg goals against
Udinese2.2
Monza0
Clean sheets
Udinese0
Best odds for this sectionUdinese Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 52% vs implied 49% · edge +3.2 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Udinese to WinBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.45
Check odds @ 2.45
Monza to WinBet365 guide price · model 30%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Monza Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Season data supports Udinese Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
13Udinese45113-3
16Monza45113-4
Monza sit in position 16, while Udinese sit in position 13, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score YES assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Monza Over 2.5
0%Udinese Over 2.5
2.86H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Monza sit at 100% and Udinese sit at 0% with the H2H average at 2.86 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.