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v
Avellino crestAvellino

Coppa Italia | Fri 14 Aug, 19:45

Monza v Avellino Stats

Data last updated: Wed 23 Sep 2026, 03:51 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Monza face Avellino in Coppa Italia on Fri 14 Aug, 19:45. Monza begin their competitive season by hosting Avellino in the first round of the Coppa Italia on Friday, with the tie carrying more intrigue than an August cup fixture might normally promise.

BT4Y best bet

Monza to win and both teams to score

  • Monza to win and both teams to score is rated around 29% by the current BT4Y model.
  • Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Monza to win and both teams to score around 29% on the latest available numbers. Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Read on for all our free predictions and betting.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Monza Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because read on for all our free predictions and betting tips. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Monza to win and both teams to score evidence

Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

What To Watch In The Data

Monza to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Monza wins
0Draws
1Avellino wins
08 Feb 2026Monza v Avellino2-1
12 Sep 2025Avellino v Monza2-1
Market aligned with main pickMonza to WinBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 62% · edge -5.8 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
The head-to-head sample gives context for Monza to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Monza

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Monza yet.

Avellino

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Avellino yet.

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 81% vs implied 88% · edge -6.7 pts
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
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Monza to WinBet365 guide price · model 56%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Monza Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Monza-
Avg goals scored
Avellino-
Monza-
Avg goals conceded
Avellino-
Monza-
BTTS rate
Avellino-
Monza-
Over 2.5 goals
Avellino-
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 55% vs implied 51% · edge +3.5 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickMonza to WinBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 62% · edge -5.8 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 55%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Monza Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Monza to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Coppa Italia

Monza2
Played
Avellino1
Monza2
Avg goals for
Avellino0
Monza0
Avg goals against
Avellino3
Monza2
Clean sheets
Avellino0
Market aligned with main pickMonza to WinBet365 guide price · Model 56% vs implied 62% · edge -5.8 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Monza Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 65%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
Season data supports Monza to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Monza Over 2.5
-Avellino Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Read on for all our free predictions and betting tips.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Monza v Avellino prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre