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Modena crestModena
v
Fiorentina crestFiorentina

Friendlies Clubs | Sat 08 Aug, 17:00

Modena v Fiorentina Stats

Data last updated: Fri 07 Aug 2026, 05:18 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Modena face Fiorentina in Friendlies Clubs on Sat 08 Aug, 17:00. Modena come in with 7 recent points and 1.5 goals per match, while Fiorentina have 8 points and 1.4 goals per match in the same lens. In this competition context, game state, selection calls and recent rhythm matter more than a simple table position.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Under 2.5 Goals is rated around 66% by the current BT4Y model.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 25% for Modena and 40% for Fiorentina, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Modena are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.5 goals per match, with Fiorentina at 1.4.
  • BTTS rates of 0% for Modena and 60% for Fiorentina show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Under 2.5 Goals around 66% on the latest available numbers. The Over 2.5 trend is 25% for Modena and 40% for Fiorentina, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

The Over 2.5 trend is 25% for Modena and 40%.Visible data support
Positive
Modena are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.5.Visible data support
Positive
Price sensitivityCheck the latest price
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Under 2.5 Goals is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Modena are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.5 goals per match, with Fiorentina at 1.4. A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Modena are carrying more of the scoring load at 1.5 goals per match, with Fiorentina at 1.4.

BTTS rates of 0% for Modena and 60% for Fiorentina show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Modena1.5
Avg goals scored
Fiorentina1.4
Modena0.25
Avg goals conceded
Fiorentina1.2
Modena0%
BTTS rate
Fiorentina60%
Modena25%
Over 2.5 goals
Fiorentina40%

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Modena

DWLW
Last 52W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 1L
08 Aug 2026H Vis Pesaro0-0
01 Aug 2026A Trento1-0
28 Jul 2026A Cagliari0-1
25 Jul 2026H Virtus Bolzano5-0

Fiorentina

DDWLW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 1L
06 Aug 2026H Deportivo La Coruna1-1
01 Aug 2026A Real Madrid2-2
29 Jul 2026A Watford1-0
25 Jul 2026A QPR2-3
22 Jul 2026H Gubbio1-0

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Modena wins
0Draws
0Fiorentina wins

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Season team stats

Friendlies Clubs

Modena3
Played
Fiorentina6
Modena2
Avg goals for
Fiorentina2.5
Modena0.3
Avg goals against
Fiorentina1.2
Modena2
Clean sheets
Fiorentina2

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Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

25%Modena Over 2.5
40%Fiorentina Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Modena sit at 25% and Fiorentina sit at 40%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.