Football Stats Hub

Mirassol crestMirassol
v
Palmeiras crestPalmeiras

Serie A | Sun 30 Aug, 22:30

Mirassol v Palmeiras Stats

Data last updated: Mon 31 Aug 2026, 22:34 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Mirassol hosts Palmeiras in a Serie A clash where Palmeiras leads the table with 51 points, while Mirassol sits in 17th with 24 points. Palmeiras boasts a potent attack averaging 2.2 goals per game and solid defensive numbers, while Mirassol struggles defensively but maintains a high BTTS rate. The match promises open play given Mirassol's defensive vulnerabilities and Palmeiras' attacking depth, setting the stage for goals at both ends. Tactical approaches suggest Palmeiras will press for control, but Mirassol's home resilience and attacking intent could yield scoring opportunities.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Mirassol has a 100% BTTS rate this season, indicating they concede and score regularly.
  • Palmeiras averages 2.2 goals per game with a 60% BTTS rate, showing attacking consistency.
  • Recent form shows Mirassol scores 1.2 and concedes 2.2 goals per match, highlighting defensive frailty.
  • Palmeiras averages 17.6 shots and 5.2 corners per game, reflecting sustained attacking pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, supported by Mirassol's perfect BTTS record and Palmeiras' strong offensive output. Mirassol's defensive struggles and Palmeiras' high shot volume create favorable conditions for goals at both ends. The price offers positive value with an 18.9% edge, reflecting the likelihood of an open game with scoring from both sides. No data limitations affect , making this a solid football-backed selection.

Mirassol BTTS Rate100% this season
Strong positive
Palmeiras Offensive Output2.2 goals per game, 17.6 shots per game
Strong positive
Defensive VulnerabilityMirassol concedes 2.2 goals per game
Positive
Price Value Edge18.9% positive edge at 1.75 odds
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams to score is a compelling pick given Mirassol's defensive issues and Palmeiras' attacking firepower. Mirassol's home games consistently feature goals at both ends, while Palmeiras' offensive depth ensures scoring opportunities. This bet aligns well with the tactical and form data, suggesting an open match with goals from both sides.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Tactical and form-based goal expectation

“Mirassol's defensive fragility combined with Palmeiras' attacking prowess makes both teams to score a logical expectation in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Mirassol has a 100% BTTS rate this season, indicating they concede and score regularly.

Palmeiras averages 2.2 goals per game with a 60% BTTS rate, showing attacking consistency.

Recent form shows Mirassol scores 1.2 and concedes 2.2 goals per match, highlighting defensive frailty.

Palmeiras averages 17.6 shots and 5.2 corners per game, reflecting sustained attacking pressure.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.78, indicating a relatively high-scoring trend.
  • Both teams' recent matches show elevated Over 2.5 Goals rates (Mirassol 60%, Palmeiras 80%), suggesting a fast tempo and open play that favors multiple goals in this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Mirassol3.67
Avg corners for
Palmeiras6.25
Mirassol11
Avg total corners
Palmeiras10
Mirassol2.33
Avg yellow cards
Palmeiras1.25
Mirassol10.33
Avg shots
Palmeiras18
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 60% vs implied 65% · edge -5.4 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
Over 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Palmeiras averages 5.2 corners and 17.6 shots per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. Mirassol's 3.6 corners and 10.4 shots reflect active attempts to respond offensively. Card averages suggest a moderately physical contest, with Mirassol receiving more yellows, possibly due to defensive challenges.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Serie A fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Mirassol1.2
Avg goals scored
Palmeiras2.2
Mirassol2.2
Avg goals conceded
Palmeiras1.2
Mirassol100%
BTTS rate
Palmeiras60%
Mirassol60%
Over 2.5 goals
Palmeiras80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 80%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 44%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 42%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2
Check odds @ 2
Mirassol's perfect BTTS record and Palmeiras' 60% BTTS rate highlight a strong trend for goals at both ends. Mirassol concedes heavily but still scores, while Palmeiras maintains a high scoring rate, suggesting an open game with multiple goal-scoring chances for both teams.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Palmeiras to WinBetUK guide price · model 62%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Palmeiras Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Mirassol Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Mirassol to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
The Both Teams to Score market is priced attractively at 1.75, reflecting a 57.1% implied chance versus a 76% model probability. This positive indicates the market underestimates the likelihood of goals from both sides, making it a price-sensitive opportunity worth considering at standard stakes.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Mirassol

DLLWD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
23 Aug 2026A Santos1-1
16 Aug 2026H Flamengo1-5
09 Aug 2026A Cruzeiro1-3
29 Jul 2026H Remo2-1
26 Jul 2026A Vasco DA Gama1-1

Palmeiras

WLDWL
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
23 Aug 2026H Vasco DA Gama4-1
15 Aug 2026A Fluminense2-3
09 Aug 2026H Internacional0-0
30 Jul 2026A Vitoria4-0
26 Jul 2026H Atletico-MG1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetUK guide price · Model 84% vs implied 78% · edge +5.9 pts
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Load more odds for this section
Palmeiras to WinBetUK guide price · model 62%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Palmeiras Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Mirassol Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 51%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Mirassol to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 24%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Recent form data shows Mirassol scoring 1.2 goals and conceding 2.2 per game, while Palmeiras scores 2.2 and concedes 1.2. Mirassol's 100% BTTS rate and Palmeiras' 60% rate in recent matches reinforce the expectation of goals at both ends, reflecting current attacking and defensive dynamics.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Mirassol wins
1Draws
6Palmeiras wins
15 Mar 2026Palmeiras v Mirassol1-0
17 Jan 2026Palmeiras v Mirassol1-0
09 Nov 2025Mirassol v Palmeiras2-1
16 Jul 2025Palmeiras v Mirassol1-1
23 Feb 2025Mirassol v Palmeiras2-3
24 Feb 2024Palmeiras v Mirassol3-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 72% vs implied 57% · edge +15 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
Palmeiras to WinBetUK guide price · model 62%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 62%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Mirassol to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
DrawBetfred guide price · model 24%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
The nine previous meetings between Mirassol and Palmeiras have averaged 2.78 goals per game, supporting a trend of open encounters with scoring opportunities for both sides. While the sample is moderate, it aligns with current form and season stats indicating a likely BTTS outcome.
Season team stats

Serie A

Mirassol24
Played
Palmeiras25
Mirassol1.1
Avg goals for
Palmeiras1.8
Mirassol1.5
Avg goals against
Palmeiras0.8
Mirassol1
Clean sheets
Palmeiras9
Best odds for this sectionPalmeiras to WinBetUK guide price · Model 62% vs implied 49% · edge +13.2 pts
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Load more odds for this section
Palmeiras Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 70%
1.58
Check odds @ 1.58
Mirassol Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Mirassol to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Season-long stats reveal Mirassol's defensive struggles with 2.2 goals conceded per match but a strong attacking presence maintaining a 100% BTTS rate. Palmeiras combines a potent attack averaging 2.2 goals with a solid defense conceding 1.2, supporting an open game scenario conducive to both teams scoring.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Palmeiras5225157324
16Mirassol25246711-10
Palmeiras leads the Serie A standings with 51 points, reflecting consistent high-level performance, while Mirassol sits 17th with 24 points, battling to improve their position. The standings underline Palmeiras' attacking and Mirassol's need to push forward, increasing the likelihood of goals from both sides.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Mirassol Over 2.5
80%Palmeiras Over 2.5
2.78H2H avg goals
Over the last nine head-to-head meetings, the average goals per game is 2.78, indicating a relatively high-scoring trend. Both teams' recent matches show elevated Over 2.5 Goals rates (Mirassol 60%, Palmeiras 80%), suggesting a fast tempo and open play that favors multiple goals in this fixture.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Mirassol v Palmeiras prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

More stats pages

Remo v CoritibaSerie A · Tue 01 Sep 00:00

Competition and hubs

Serie A hubSerie A fixtures and predictionsrelated match predictioncorners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboard

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

Read full prediction View match centre