Football Stats Hub

Middlesbrough crestMiddlesbrough
v
Lincoln crestLincoln

Championship | Sat 15 Aug, 15:00

Middlesbrough v Lincoln Stats

Data last updated: Fri 14 Aug 2026, 07:26 UK time
BT4Y match pick · price watch

Both Teams To Score NO

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 57%, above the 50% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 3/4, Both Teams To Score NO implies roughly 57%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 50%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score NO.
Price warning

Both Teams To Score NO is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 57% while the model sits nearer 50% (-7.1 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: Lincoln Draw No Bet shows a +15 pts edge at 5.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 50% for Both Teams To Score NO sits against roughly 57% implied by the current price. Selection: Both Teams To Score NO.

Model chance vs price50% model chance against roughly 57% implied
Negative
Selection: Both Teams To Score NO.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -7.1 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score NO. Their challenge is substantial, but this is not a side returning to the Championship after 65 years merely to admire the scenery.

Main risk

Their challenge is substantial, but this is not a side returning to the Championship after 65 years merely to admire the scenery.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score NO evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score NO.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score NO notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Middlesbrough-
Avg goals scored
Lincoln-
Middlesbrough-
Avg goals conceded
Lincoln-
Middlesbrough-
BTTS rate
Lincoln-
Middlesbrough-
Over 2.5 goals
Lincoln-
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 50% · edge +0 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 54%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 54%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 68%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; this needs scoring involvement from both teams, not just pressure from one side.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 50% · edge +0 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Lincoln Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Lincoln to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Over 3.5 CardsBetUK guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Middlesbrough Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
BTTS Yes is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Middlesbrough

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Middlesbrough yet.

Lincoln

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Lincoln yet.

Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 46% vs implied 31% · edge +15 pts
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Load more odds for this section
Lincoln Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 35%
5
Check odds @ 5
Lincoln to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 73%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Middlesbrough Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Middlesbrough to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Middlesbrough wins
0Draws
0Lincoln wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 50% · edge +0 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
Lincoln to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
8
Check odds @ 8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 30%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Middlesbrough to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for BTTS Yes, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Championship

Middlesbrough0
Played
Lincoln0
Middlesbrough0
Avg goals for
Lincoln0
Middlesbrough0
Avg goals against
Lincoln0
Middlesbrough0
Clean sheets
Lincoln0
Best odds for this sectionLincoln Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 35% vs implied 20% · edge +15 pts
5
Check odds @ 5
Load more odds for this section
Lincoln to WinBetMGM guide price · model 28%
8
Check odds @ 8
Middlesbrough Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Middlesbrough to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Season data supports Lincoln Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
5Middlesbrough000000
22Lincoln000000
Middlesbrough sit in position 5, while Lincoln sit in position 22, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams To Score NO assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Middlesbrough Over 2.5
-Lincoln Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Selection: Both Teams To Score NO.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Middlesbrough v Lincoln prediction

Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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