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Mallorca crestMallorca
v
Paris Saint Germain crestParis Saint Germain

Friendlies Clubs | Wed 05 Aug, 20:00

Mallorca v Paris Saint Germain Stats

Data last updated: Wed 26 Aug 2026, 10:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Mallorca face Paris Saint Germain in Friendlies Clubs on Wed 05 Aug, 20:00. PSG, by contrast, are preparing to take the field for the first time since beating Arsenal on penalties in the Champions League final at the end of May.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2

  • At 3.3, Over 2 implies roughly 30%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 45%.
  • PSG have conceded only four goals across their last five matches, while four of those fixtures finished with fewer than three goals.
  • Mallorca have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for Paris Saint Germain.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 45% for Over 2 sits against roughly 30% implied by the current price. Mallorca have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for Paris Saint Germain. PSG have conceded only four goals across their last five matches, while four of those fixtures finished with fewer than three goals.

Model chance vs price45% model chance against roughly 30% implied
Strong positive
Mallorca have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points.Visible data support
Positive
PSG have conceded only four goals across their last.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Mallorca Win is the preferred angle because pSG have conceded only four goals across their last five matches, while four of those fixtures finished with fewer than three goals. Mallorca have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for Paris Saint Germain. One player sprinting towards the ball may look committed, but without support it merely creates space elsewhere.

Main risk

One player sprinting towards the ball may look committed, but without support it merely creates space elsewhere.

Key Data Signals

Over 2 evidence

PSG have conceded only four goals across their last five matches, while four of those fixtures finished.

Mallorca have the stronger recent points return, taking 6 points from the sample compared with 0 for Paris Saint Germain.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2 notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickMallorca to WinBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +15 pts
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Mallorca Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Mallorca to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Mallorca3.5
    Avg goals scored
    Paris Saint Germain-
    Mallorca1
    Avg goals conceded
    Paris Saint Germain-
    Mallorca50%
    BTTS rate
    Paris Saint Germain-
    Mallorca100%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Paris Saint Germain-
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 78% vs implied 71% · edge +6.6 pts
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 58%
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 26%
    2.75
    Check odds @ 2.75
    Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; goals for, goals conceded and recent over rates need to point in the same direction.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Mallorca

    WW
    Last 52W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 0D 0L
    30 Jul 2026H Al-Ittihad FC4-2
    25 Jul 2026H Al-Fateh3-0

    Paris Saint Germain

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Paris Saint Germain yet.

    Market aligned with main pickMallorca to WinBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +15 pts
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 66%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Mallorca Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Mallorca wins
    0Draws
    0Paris Saint Germain wins
    Market aligned with main pickMallorca to WinBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +15 pts
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 78%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Mallorca to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Season team stats

    Friendlies Clubs

    Mallorca4
    Played
    Paris Saint Germain2
    Mallorca2.8
    Avg goals for
    Paris Saint Germain0.5
    Mallorca0.8
    Avg goals against
    Paris Saint Germain2
    Mallorca2
    Clean sheets
    Paris Saint Germain0
    Market aligned with main pickMallorca to WinBet365 guide price · Model 45% vs implied 30% · edge +15 pts
    3.3
    Check odds @ 3.3
    Load more odds for this section
    Mallorca Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
    3.1
    Check odds @ 3.1
    Season data supports Mallorca to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    100%Mallorca Over 2.5
    -Paris Saint Germain Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    PSG have conceded only four goals across their last five matches, while four of those fixtures finished with fewer than three goals.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Mallorca v Paris Saint Germain prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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