Football Stats Hub

Mallorca crestMallorca
v
Las Palmas crestLas Palmas

Segunda División | Sun 11 Oct, 17:30

Mallorca v Las Palmas Stats

Data last updated: Sat 10 Oct 2026, 08:58 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Mallorca and Las Palmas meet in a Segunda División clash where both teams have shown contrasting offensive outputs this season. Mallorca has been notably defensive, conceding just 0.2 goals per game and scoring 0.6, reflecting a cautious approach. Las Palmas, while more attacking with 1.2 goals per game, has also struggled defensively, conceding 1.4 goals on average. Recent form suggests a tactical battle with limited goal-scoring opportunities, setting the stage for a low-scoring encounter underpinned by disciplined defensive structures and measured attacking intent from both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Mallorca concedes only 0.2 goals per game, showing strong defensive solidity.
  • Las Palmas scores 1.2 goals per game but concedes 1.4, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
  • Mallorca has a 0% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, emphasizing low-scoring matches.
  • Las Palmas has a 60% Over 2.5 Goals rate, but recent form and Mallorca's defense suggest containment.
  • Both teams average similar shot volumes (11.8 per game) but low shots on target (3.6), indicating limited clear chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Under 2.5 Goals with a 62.1% chance, reflecting Mallorca's strong defensive record and low scoring rate combined with Las Palmas' inconsistent attack. Despite Las Palmas' higher Over 2.5 rate, Mallorca's ability to restrict opponents to minimal goals and the low shots on target from both teams support a cautious, low-scoring game. The offer positive value with a 12.1% edge, making Under 2.5 Goals a solid choice based on defensive discipline and recent scoring trends. No data limitations affect this assessment.

Mallorca Defensive Strength0.2 goals conceded per game
Strong positive
Las Palmas Scoring Rate1.2 goals per game
Neutral
Over 2.5 Goals RateMallorca 0%, Las Palmas 60%
Neutral
Shots on Target3.6 average each team
Positive
Model Confidence76%
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is a tactically sound pick given Mallorca's defensive discipline and Las Palmas' moderate attacking threat. Mallorca's ability to limit clear chances and Las Palmas' inconsistent finishing suggest a match unlikely to exceed two goals. The data supports a cautious game with few scoring opportunities, making Under 2.5 Goals a reliable selection for this fixture.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Defensive solidity and tactical balance

“Mallorca's defensive resilience combined with Las Palmas' variable attack creates a scenario where goals are likely limited. The tactical setup points to a tight game, favoring Under 2.5 Goals as the most logical outcome.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Mallorca concedes only 0.2 goals per game, showing strong defensive solidity.

Las Palmas scores 1.2 goals per game but concedes 1.4, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last eight head-to-head matches average 2.75 goals, a moderate scoring rate.
  • However, Mallorca's current form and defensive record suggest this fixture may deviate towards fewer goals.
  • The trend panel indicates that while Las Palmas often participates in higher scoring games, the tactical setup here points to a slower tempo and fewer goal opportunities, favoring Under 2.5 Goals.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Mallorca0.6
Avg goals scored
Las Palmas1.2
Mallorca0.2
Avg goals conceded
Las Palmas1.4
Mallorca0%
BTTS rate
Las Palmas60%
Mallorca0%
Over 2.5 goals
Las Palmas60%
Market aligned with main pickUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 50% · edge +12.1 pts
2
Check odds @ 2
Load more odds for this section
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 42%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 24%
3
Check odds @ 3
Goal analysis shows Mallorca's matches rarely exceed two goals, with a 0% Over 2.5 rate and no BTTS occurrences, indicating tight defensive control. Las Palmas' 60% Over 2.5 and BTTS rates suggest more open games, but Mallorca's solidity likely suppresses scoring, favoring a low-goal, BTTS No scenario.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 66% vs implied 62% · edge +4.4 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Las Palmas Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Las Palmas to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Mallorca to WinBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Mallorca Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 43%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
The 62.1% for Under 2.5 Goals sits against roughly 50% implied by the current price (+12.1 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 0% for Mallorca and 60% for Las Palmas, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Mallorca

DLWWD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 2D 2L
04 Oct 2026A Girona0-0
27 Sep 2026H Almeria0-1
19 Sep 2026A Real Sociedad II1-0
13 Sep 2026H Sabadell2-0
05 Sep 2026A Eldense0-0

Las Palmas

DLLWD
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 2D 3L
04 Oct 2026H Valladolid2-2
27 Sep 2026A Eibar2-3
20 Sep 2026H Burgos1-2
12 Sep 2026A Cadiz1-0
04 Sep 2026H Leganes0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 44% · edge +9 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Load more odds for this section
Las Palmas Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 83%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Las Palmas to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Mallorca to WinBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Mallorca Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.32
Check odds @ 1.32
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Recent form data shows Mallorca scoring only 0.6 goals per game while conceding 0.2, underscoring defensive strength and limited offensive output. Las Palmas scores more (1.2) but concedes 1.4, reflecting defensive frailty. Mallorca's 0% Over 2.5 rate contrasts with Las Palmas' 60%, but the overall trend favors a low-scoring match given Mallorca's form.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Mallorca Over 2.5
60%Las Palmas Over 2.5
2.75H2H avg goals
The last eight head-to-head matches average 2.75 goals, a moderate scoring rate. However, Mallorca's current form and defensive record suggest this fixture may deviate towards fewer goals. The trend panel indicates that while Las Palmas often participates in higher scoring games, the tactical setup here points to a slower tempo and fewer goal opportunities, favoring Under 2.5 Goals.

Loading deeper match data…