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Lyngby crestLyngby
v
FC Midtjylland crestFC Midtjylland

Superliga | Sun 16 Aug, 15:00

Lyngby v FC Midtjylland Stats

Data last updated: Sat 15 Aug 2026, 07:48 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lyngby hosts FC Midtjylland in a Superliga clash where attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities set the stage for an open encounter. Midtjylland arrives in better form, having collected six points with a potent offense averaging 2.5 goals per game, while Lyngby has struggled defensively, conceding over two goals per match. Both teams have shown a propensity for high-scoring games, with Midtjylland hitting Over 2.5 goals in every match so far and Lyngby in two-thirds of theirs. This fixture promises an intense battle with multiple goal-scoring opportunities and tactical openness from both sides.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Midtjylland has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, indicating strong scoring potential.
  • Lyngby concedes an average of 2.33 goals per game, highlighting defensive frailties.
  • Both teams have a combined recent average of nearly 3 goals per match in their head-to-head meetings.
  • Midtjylland’s attackers, including S. Byskov, show high shot and key pass volumes.
  • Lyngby’s attacking players like F. Gytkjær contribute to goal threats despite the team’s defensive struggles.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 3.5 Goals with a 58% chance, supported by Midtjylland’s perfect Over 2.5 record and Lyngby’s defensive vulnerabilities conceding over two goals per game. Both teams generate high shot volumes and have attacking players with strong shot and key pass metrics, suggesting multiple scoring chances. The 13.6% at of 2.25 indicates a favorable price for this high-scoring market. No data limitations affect , making this a solid value selection based on attacking dynamics and defensive records.

Midtjylland Over 2.5 Rate100% this season
Strong positive
Lyngby Goals Against2.33 per game
Strong positive
Shot VolumeLyngby 18.33, Midtjylland 15.5 per game
Positive
Top Attackers' Shot ProfileIheanacho 4.74 SOT/90, Byskov 3.88 key passes/90
Strong positive
Value Edge+13.6% at 2.25 odds
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with both teams pushing forward, given Midtjylland’s attacking form and Lyngby’s defensive struggles. The high volume of shots and key passes from Midtjylland’s attackers, combined with Lyngby’s tendency to concede multiple goals, supports the likelihood of a high-scoring match. This makes Over 3.5 Goals a compelling selection for bettors seeking excitement and value.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and defensive vulnerabilities

“Midtjylland’s offensive efficiency paired with Lyngby’s defensive lapses creates a fertile ground for goals, making Over 3.5 Goals a strategically sound pick in this fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Midtjylland has a 100% Over 2.5 Goals rate this season, indicating strong scoring potential.

Lyngby concedes an average of 2.33 goals per game, highlighting defensive frailties.

Both teams have a combined recent average of nearly 3 goals per match in their head-to-head meetings.

Midtjylland’s attackers, including S. Byskov, show high shot and key pass volumes.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.9, indicating a trend toward open, goal-rich encounters.
  • Both teams have shown a propensity for Over 2.5 Goals in recent fixtures, with Midtjylland at 100% and Lyngby at 67%.
  • This trend suggests a fast tempo and attacking style that favors multiple goals, reinforcing the rationale for expecting a high-scoring game in this fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lyngby1.33
Avg goals scored
FC Midtjylland2.5
Lyngby2.33
Avg goals conceded
FC Midtjylland1.5
Lyngby67%
BTTS rate
FC Midtjylland100%
Lyngby67%
Over 2.5 goals
FC Midtjylland100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 58% vs implied 44% · edge +13.6 pts
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
2.38
Check odds @ 2.38
Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 26%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
Both teams have shown strong tendencies toward high-scoring games and BTTS outcomes, with Midtjylland hitting Over 2.5 Goals and BTTS in every match, and Lyngby showing similar patterns in two-thirds of their games. The head-to-head average of 2.9 goals per match further supports the expectation of multiple goals and both teams scoring, indicating an open and attacking contest.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 65% · edge +12.2 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
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BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
FC Midtjylland to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
FC Midtjylland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Lyngby Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.68
Check odds @ 2.68
Lyngby to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
The Over 3.5 Goals market is priced attractively at 2.25, reflecting an implied chance of 44.4%, while the model estimates a 58% probability. This positive suggests the market underestimates the likelihood of a high-scoring game, driven by Midtjylland’s consistent offensive output and Lyngby’s defensive concessions. The offer a good opportunity for bettors to capitalize on the attacking dynamics of this fixture.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Lyngby6
Avg corners for
FC Midtjylland5.5
Lyngby9.33
Avg total corners
FC Midtjylland9.5
Lyngby1.67
Avg yellow cards
FC Midtjylland2
Lyngby18.33
Avg shots
FC Midtjylland15.5
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 56% · edge +13.1 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Shot volumes are high for both sides, with Lyngby averaging 18.33 shots and Midtjylland 15.5 per game, each converting around six shots on target. Corner counts are balanced, suggesting both teams create wide attacking opportunities. Card averages are moderate, indicating a competitive but not overly aggressive match, which should allow attacking play to flourish without excessive interruptions.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lyngby

LDL
Last 50W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 2L
09 Aug 2026A Randers FC0-2
01 Aug 2026H Aarhus2-2
26 Jul 2026A FC Copenhagen2-3

FC Midtjylland

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
02 Aug 2026H AC Horsens2-1
26 Jul 2026A Sonderjyske3-2
Best odds for this sectionFC Midtjylland to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
FC Midtjylland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Lyngby Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.68
Check odds @ 2.68
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
2
Check odds @ 2
Lyngby to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
4
Check odds @ 4
Recent form data shows Midtjylland with six points and a perfect Over 2.5 Goals record, reflecting strong offensive momentum. Lyngby has struggled, earning just one point and conceding heavily, but still participates in high-scoring matches. This contrast in form underlines the likelihood of an open game with multiple goals, as Midtjylland’s attack faces a vulnerable defense, maintaining the Over 3.5 Goals narrative.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Lyngby wins
1Draws
5FC Midtjylland wins
16 Feb 2025FC Midtjylland v Lyngby1-0
16 Aug 2024Lyngby v FC Midtjylland1-2
27 Oct 2023FC Midtjylland v Lyngby2-1
06 Aug 2023Lyngby v FC Midtjylland4-1
07 May 2023Lyngby v FC Midtjylland2-1
10 Apr 2023FC Midtjylland v Lyngby1-0
Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 65% · edge +12.2 pts
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
FC Midtjylland to WinBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Lyngby to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
DrawBet365 guide price · model 20%
4
Check odds @ 4
The head-to-head sample of ten matches shows an average of 2.9 goals per game, reflecting a history of relatively open contests between these teams. While not overwhelmingly high, this average supports the potential for multiple goals, especially considering current season form and attacking tendencies. The H2H data provides useful background but should be weighed alongside recent offensive and defensive performances.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Superliga

Lyngby3
Played
FC Midtjylland3
Lyngby1.3
Avg goals for
FC Midtjylland2
Lyngby2.3
Avg goals against
FC Midtjylland1.3
Lyngby0
Clean sheets
FC Midtjylland0
Best odds for this sectionFC Midtjylland to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 57% · edge +12.9 pts
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
Load more odds for this section
FC Midtjylland Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 76%
1.45
Check odds @ 1.45
Lyngby Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 45%
2.68
Check odds @ 2.68
Lyngby to WinBetfred guide price · model 27%
4.2
Check odds @ 4.2
Season-long statistics reveal Midtjylland’s potent attack averaging 2.5 goals per game and a solid defensive record conceding 1.5 goals. Lyngby’s season shows a leaky defense with 2.33 goals conceded per match and a moderate attack scoring 1.33 goals. These profiles suggest a game where Midtjylland’s offensive strength will challenge Lyngby’s defensive weaknesses, supporting the expectation of a high-scoring encounter.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2FC Midtjylland732102
11Lyngby24022-3
Midtjylland sits comfortably in 4th place with six points, indicating positive early-season form and offensive efficiency. Lyngby, ranked 11th with just one point, faces pressure to improve defensively. While league position alone is not decisive, the standings reflect the teams’ contrasting trajectories and stakes, with Midtjylland likely to press for goals and Lyngby needing to respond, adding to the attacking impetus of the match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

67%Lyngby Over 2.5
100%FC Midtjylland Over 2.5
2.9H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.9, indicating a trend toward open, goal-rich encounters. Both teams have shown a propensity for Over 2.5 Goals in recent fixtures, with Midtjylland at 100% and Lyngby at 67%. This trend suggests a fast tempo and attacking style that favors multiple goals, reinforcing the rationale for expecting a high-scoring game in this fixture.

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