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Lumezzane crestLumezzane
v
Albinoleffe crestAlbinoleffe

Serie C - Girone A | Sat 10 Oct, 16:30

Lumezzane v Albinoleffe Stats

Data last updated: Fri 09 Oct 2026, 07:56 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lumezzane and Albinoleffe meet in a Serie C - Girone A clash where both teams have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Lumezzane sits 14th with 8 points, while Albinoleffe is 7th with 12 points, reflecting a slight edge in form for the visitors. Both sides have a high rate of matches featuring goals at both ends, indicating an open game likely to see chances for both teams. The tactical setup suggests offensive commitment from both, with neither side able to consistently shut down opponents, setting the stage for a lively encounter.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have an 80% BTTS rate this season, showing consistent goal-scoring and conceding.
  • Lumezzane averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, indicating open matches.
  • Albinoleffe scores 1.8 goals per game but concedes 1.4, supporting a BTTS scenario.
  • Recent form points: Lumezzane 5, Albinoleffe 8, showing competitive momentum.
  • H2H average goals stand at 2.38 over 8 matches, reinforcing goal involvement from both sides.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 76% chance for both teams to score, well above the implied market chance of 54.6%, indicating strong value. Both teams demonstrate attacking strengths and defensive frailties, with high BTTS rates of 80%. The average goals in their head-to-head matches and recent form data support an expectation of goals at both ends. No data limitations affect , making this a robust pick based on consistent offensive output and mutual defensive gaps.

Model BTTS Chance76%
Strong positive
Home BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Away BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
H2H Average Goals2.38 goals per match
Positive
Market Implied Chance69.6% model chance vs 54.6% implied (+15 pts)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown a tendency to both score and concede goals this season, making a BTTS outcome tactically plausible. Albinoleffe's slightly better form and attacking numbers complement Lumezzane's openness at the back, suggesting a lively match with goals at both ends. This pick aligns well with recent scoring patterns and the teams' offensive approaches.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“The attacking profiles and defensive vulnerabilities of both Lumezzane and Albinoleffe create a compelling case for both teams to find the net. Their high BTTS rates and open playing styles indicate this fixture should produce goals from both sides.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have an 80% BTTS rate this season, showing consistent goal-scoring and conceding.

Lumezzane averages 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, indicating open matches.

Albinoleffe scores 1.8 goals per game but concedes 1.4, supporting a BTTS scenario.

Recent form points: Lumezzane 5, Albinoleffe 8, showing competitive momentum.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last eight head-to-head matches, the average goals per game stand at 2.38, indicating a trend towards open, goal-filled encounters.
  • This trend, combined with recent BTTS rates, suggests a tempo and tactical openness conducive to over 2.5 goals and goals from both teams.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lumezzane1.2
Avg goals scored
Albinoleffe1.8
Lumezzane1.4
Avg goals conceded
Albinoleffe1.4
Lumezzane80%
BTTS rate
Albinoleffe80%
Lumezzane80%
Over 2.5 goals
Albinoleffe60%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 59%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 77%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 41%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 28%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Both teams have an 80% BTTS rate this season, supported by Lumezzane's 1.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded per game, and Albinoleffe's 1.8 goals scored with 1.4 conceded. Their head-to-head average of 2.38 goals further confirms a pattern of open games with goals from both sides.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Albinoleffe Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Albinoleffe to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 59%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Lumezzane Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The 69.6% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 54.6% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Lumezzane show a 80% BTTS rate and Albinoleffe show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lumezzane

LWDDL
Last 51W 2D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 3L
26 Sep 2026H Folgore Caratese1-2
21 Sep 2026A Dolomiti Bellunesi2-1
17 Sep 2026H Novara0-0
13 Sep 2026H Renate2-2
06 Sep 2026A Cittadella1-2

Albinoleffe

WDWLD
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 2L
03 Oct 2026A Cittadella2-1
27 Sep 2026H Alcione1-1
20 Sep 2026A Juventus U235-3
17 Sep 2026H Arzignano Valchiampo1-2
13 Sep 2026A Dolomiti Bellunesi0-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 79% vs implied 64% · edge +15 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Albinoleffe Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
2.08
Check odds @ 2.08
Albinoleffe to WinBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Lumezzane Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.72
Check odds @ 1.72
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Lumezzane to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.35
Check odds @ 2.35
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 52%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Recent form shows Lumezzane with 5 points and Albinoleffe with 8 points, reflecting competitive momentum for both sides. Their goal-scoring and conceding patterns in recent matches align with the BTTS pick, as both teams have struggled to keep clean sheets while maintaining offensive threat.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Lumezzane Over 2.5
60%Albinoleffe Over 2.5
2.38H2H avg goals
Over the last eight head-to-head matches, the average goals per game stand at 2.38, indicating a trend towards open, goal-filled encounters. This trend, combined with recent BTTS rates, suggests a tempo and tactical openness conducive to over 2.5 goals and goals from both teams.

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