Football Stats Hub

Los Angeles Galaxy crestLos Angeles Galaxy
v
Portland Timbers crestPortland Timbers

Major League Soccer | Thu 15 Oct, 03:30

Los Angeles Galaxy v Portland Timbers Stats

Data last updated: Wed 14 Oct 2026, 07:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Los Angeles Galaxy face Portland Timbers in Major League Soccer on Thu 15 Oct, 03:30. Los Angeles Galaxy come in with 7 recent points and 1.8 goals per match, while Portland Timbers have 2 points and 1.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Los Angeles Galaxy to Win

  • At 2.05, Los Angeles Galaxy to Win implies roughly 49%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 64%.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 2 for Portland Timbers.
  • Portland Timbers have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.2 conceded per match, which helps the Los Angeles Galaxy to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Los Angeles Galaxy sit 9 in the table, while Portland Timbers sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 64% for Los Angeles Galaxy to Win sits against roughly 49% implied by the current price. Los Angeles Galaxy have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 2 for Portland Timbers.

Model chance vs price64% model chance against roughly 49% implied
Strong positive
Los Angeles Galaxy have the stronger recent points return, taking.Visible data support
Positive
Portland Timbers have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.2 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Los Angeles Galaxy Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Los Angeles Galaxy have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 2 for Portland Timbers. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Los Angeles Galaxy to Win evidence

Los Angeles Galaxy have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 2 for Portland Timbers.

Portland Timbers have the cleaner defensive sample at 2.2 conceded per match, which helps the Los Angeles Galaxy Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Los Angeles Galaxy sit 9 in the table, while Portland Timbers sit 10, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Los Angeles Galaxy to Win notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Los Angeles Galaxy1.8
    Avg goals scored
    Portland Timbers1.4
    Los Angeles Galaxy2.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Portland Timbers2.2
    Los Angeles Galaxy80%
    BTTS rate
    Portland Timbers80%
    Los Angeles Galaxy80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Portland Timbers80%
    Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 77% vs implied 71% · edge +6 pts
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 88%
    1.1
    Check odds @ 1.1
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 58%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 27%
    2.88
    Check odds @ 2.88
    Over 2.5 Goals is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: recent Over 2.5 rates are 80% for Los Angeles Galaxy and 80% for Portland Timbers, so the goals line needs support from both scoring profiles.
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickLos Angeles Galaxy to WinBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Los Angeles Galaxy Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 72%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 77%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Los Angeles Galaxy to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Los Angeles Galaxy

    LWWDL
    Last 52W 1D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 2D 4L
    12 Oct 2026A St. Louis City2-6
    27 Sep 2026H Colorado Rapids3-2
    20 Sep 2026A Minnesota United FC3-2
    13 Sep 2026H Seattle Sounders1-1
    10 Sep 2026A Vancouver Whitecaps0-3

    Portland Timbers

    DLLLD
    Last 50W 2D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 102W 3D 5L
    11 Oct 2026A Sporting Kansas City3-3
    27 Sep 2026A San Jose Earthquakes1-3
    20 Sep 2026H Atlanta United FC0-1
    13 Sep 2026A FC Dallas1-2
    10 Sep 2026H St. Louis City2-2
    Market aligned with main pickLos Angeles Galaxy to WinBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 49% · edge +15 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Los Angeles Galaxy Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 72%
    1.65
    Check odds @ 1.65
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Los Angeles Galaxy Over 2.5
    80%Portland Timbers Over 2.5
    3.5H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Los Angeles Galaxy sit at 80% and Portland Timbers sit at 80% with the H2H average at 3.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Loading deeper match data…