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Londrina crestLondrina
v
Novorizontino crestNovorizontino

Serie B | Sun 26 Jul, 22:30

Londrina v Novorizontino Stats

Data last updated: Sat 25 Jul 2026, 05:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Londrina and Novorizontino meet in a Serie B clash where both teams have shown attacking intent and moderate defensive vulnerabilities. Londrina ranks 16th with 20 points, while Novorizontino sits 6th with 30 points, reflecting a gap in league standing but similar recent form momentum, each earning 6 points in their last matches. Both sides average close to five corners per game, indicating a likely high-corner count. The tactical setup suggests open play with frequent wing attacks and set-piece opportunities, making a corners market an intriguing angle for this fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Over 8.5 Corners

  • Londrina averages 4.8 corners per match, Novorizontino 5.2, combining for over 10 on average.
  • Both teams have attacking styles that generate sustained pressure and wide play leading to corners.
  • Recent form shows both sides have consistent corner counts, supporting an over 8.5 corners bet.
  • The model estimates a 75% chance for over 8.5 corners, indicating a strong statistical base.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a 75% probability for over 8.5 corners based on both teams' attacking tendencies and corner averages near five per game. Londrina and Novorizontino's styles involve wide play and frequent set-piece situations, increasing corner chances. The recent form data aligns with this, showing consistent corner generation. No price warning is present, supporting a standard stake recommendation. The data quality is solid with no limitations, enhancing in the corner count projection.

Corner averagesLondrina 4.8, Novorizontino 5.2 per match
Strong positive
Playing styleWide attacks and set-piece reliance
Positive
Recent formConsistent corner counts in last matches
Positive
Data qualityComplete data for both teams
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect a lively contest with both Londrina and Novorizontino pushing forward and creating wide attacking opportunities. Their combined corner averages and recent match patterns suggest a high likelihood of exceeding 8.5 corners. The tactical emphasis on wing play and set pieces supports this corners market as a solid choice for this fixture.

Main risk

Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Corners market

“This fixture features two teams that generate numerous corners through wide play and set-piece pressure, making the over 8.5 corners a compelling market to follow.”

Key Data Signals

Over 8.5 Corners evidence

Londrina averages 4.8 corners per match, Novorizontino 5.2, combining for over 10 on average.

Both teams have attacking styles that generate sustained pressure and wide play leading to corners.

Recent form shows both sides have consistent corner counts, supporting an over 8.5 corners bet.

The model estimates a 75% chance for over 8.5 corners, indicating a strong statistical base.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 8.5 Corners notes

  • Over the last five matches, the fixture's teams have averaged 2.2 goals per game, indicating open play and transitional moments.
  • This tempo and attacking openness contribute to frequent corner situations, as both sides seek to exploit wide areas and set-piece chances, supporting the over 2.5 goals trend panel as a complementary insight.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Londrina1.8
Avg goals scored
Novorizontino1.2
Londrina1
Avg goals conceded
Novorizontino1
Londrina60%
BTTS rate
Novorizontino40%
Londrina60%
Over 2.5 goals
Novorizontino60%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 52% · edge +10.9 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 49%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 41%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both teams have moderate scoring rates and BTTS tendencies, but the focus here is on corner generation rather than goals. The attacking patterns that produce shots and goals also create corner opportunities, linking offensive pressure to set-piece frequency in this matchup.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 52% · edge +10.9 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Londrina to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Londrina Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Novorizontino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Novorizontino to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
The over 8.5 corners market is priced to reflect a 75% , indicating a strong statistical foundation without current price sensitivity. This suggests a reliable opportunity based on corner averages and playing styles, with no immediate drift required to improve value.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Londrina4.8
Avg corners for
Novorizontino5.2
Londrina12.4
Avg total corners
Novorizontino12.6
Londrina2.8
Avg yellow cards
Novorizontino1.6
Londrina12.6
Avg shots
Novorizontino15.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
The corner market is supported by both teams' average corners near five per game, combined with shot volumes of 12.6 and 15.2 respectively. The moderate card counts indicate a balanced physicality that sustains pressure without excessive fouling, allowing for sustained wide attacks and corner creation.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Londrina

LDDWD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 103W 3D 4L
23 Jul 2026A Nautico Recife1-2
18 Jul 2026H Botafogo SP0-0
13 Jul 2026A America Mineiro1-1
04 Jul 2026H CRB5-0
26 Jun 2026A Cuiaba2-2

Novorizontino

LLLWW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
21 Jul 2026H Criciuma0-1
18 Jul 2026A Fortaleza EC0-1
12 Jul 2026A Operario-PR1-2
04 Jul 2026H Atletico Goianiense3-0
26 Jun 2026H Vila Nova2-1
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 74% vs implied 59% · edge +15 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Londrina to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Londrina Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Novorizontino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Novorizontino to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Recent form data shows both Londrina and Novorizontino consistently generate corner counts above eight, reflecting their attacking momentum. Each team earned 6 points in recent matches, maintaining offensive pressure and wide play that supports the over 8.5 corners market in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2Londrina wins
1Draws
2Novorizontino wins
22 Mar 2026Novorizontino v Londrina1-3
18 Nov 2023Londrina v Novorizontino0-1
19 Jul 2023Novorizontino v Londrina3-0
06 Aug 2022Novorizontino v Londrina0-1
21 Apr 2022Londrina v Novorizontino1-1
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 63% vs implied 52% · edge +10.9 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Londrina to WinBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 29%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Novorizontino to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
The five previous meetings between Londrina and Novorizontino have averaged 2.2 goals per game, suggesting moderately open contests. While the sample is limited, the matches have featured balanced offensive efforts that correlate with frequent corner opportunities, providing some historical support for the corners market.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie B

Londrina19
Played
Novorizontino19
Londrina1.4
Avg goals for
Novorizontino1.5
Londrina1.4
Avg goals against
Novorizontino0.9
Londrina4
Clean sheets
Novorizontino7
Best odds for this sectionLondrina to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Load more odds for this section
Londrina Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 58%
2
Check odds @ 2
Novorizontino Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 47%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Novorizontino to WinBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Season-long statistics reveal Londrina and Novorizontino average close to five corners each per game, with shot volumes supporting sustained offensive pressure. This consistent corner generation aligns with their tactical approaches and supports the likelihood of surpassing 8.5 corners in this match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
6Novorizontino301986510
16Londrina2019559-1
While Londrina sits 16th and Novorizontino 6th, the league standings mainly provide background context. Both teams have incentives to attack and press for points, which encourages wide play and corner creation, reinforcing the corners market relevance despite the points gap.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Londrina Over 2.5
60%Novorizontino Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, the fixture's teams have averaged 2.2 goals per game, indicating open play and transitional moments. This tempo and attacking openness contribute to frequent corner situations, as both sides seek to exploit wide areas and set-piece chances, supporting the over 2.5 goals trend panel as a complementary insight.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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