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America Mineiro crestAmerica Mineiro
v
Goias crestGoias

Serie B | Sun 26 Jul, 22:30

America Mineiro v Goias Stats

Data last updated: Sat 25 Jul 2026, 05:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Serie B clash features Goias, currently seventh with strong recent form, visiting struggling America Mineiro, who sit bottom of the table. Goias have collected 29 points with a solid defensive record and more attacking output, while America Mineiro have managed just 8 points and are under pressure to improve. Goias' tactical setup emphasizes efficient attack and defensive solidity, contrasting with America Mineiro's difficulties in both scoring and preventing goals. The away side's momentum and superior squad depth set the stage for a competitive match with Goias favored to secure victory.

BT4Y best bet

Goias to Win

  • Goias have earned 11 points recently versus America Mineiro's 2, showing clear form advantage
  • Goias average 1.6 goals scored per game, compared to America Mineiro's 0.6
  • America Mineiro concede 1.2 goals per game, higher than Goias' 0.8
  • Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, but Goias' stronger attack suggests a likely win
  • Goias rank 7th with 29 points, America Mineiro sit 20th with 8 points

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Goias with a 70% chance to win based on their superior recent form, better defensive record, and higher goal-scoring rate. Goias' ability to limit opponents to fewer goals and maintain consistent attacking threat underpins this . America Mineiro's struggles in scoring and conceding more goals weaken their position. The model sees Goias as the more balanced and effective side, making the away win a logical pick. No price warning is needed as the align with the model's assessment.

Recent form pointsGoias 11 vs America Mineiro 2
Strong positive
Goals scored per gameGoias 1.6 vs America Mineiro 0.6
Strong positive
Goals conceded per gameGoias 0.8 vs America Mineiro 1.2
Positive
League standingsGoias 7th vs America Mineiro 20th
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Goias' recent form and defensive solidity provide a strong foundation for an away win against a struggling America Mineiro side. Their greater goal threat and league position reflect a team better equipped to control the match and capitalize on opportunities. This tactical and statistical edge makes Goias the favored choice for victory.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Goias demonstrate a balanced approach with effective defense and consistent attacking output, making them well-positioned to secure a win against a bottom-table side facing scoring difficulties.”

Key Data Signals

Goias to Win evidence

Goias have earned 11 points recently versus America Mineiro's 2, showing clear form advantage

Goias average 1.6 goals scored per game, compared to America Mineiro's 0.6

America Mineiro concede 1.2 goals per game, higher than Goias' 0.8

Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, but Goias' stronger attack suggests a likely win

What To Watch In The Data

Goias to Win notes

  • In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.2, indicating moderate scoring.
  • Goias' 40% over 2.5 goals rate versus America Mineiro's 20% suggests the away side tends to be involved in higher-scoring games, supporting a trend for goals but not necessarily a high-scoring encounter.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

America Mineiro4.4
Avg corners for
Goias3.4
America Mineiro10.2
Avg total corners
Goias10
America Mineiro2.8
Avg yellow cards
Goias1.6
America Mineiro12.4
Avg shots
Goias9.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2
Check odds @ 2
America Mineiro average more shots (12.4) and corners (4.4) than Goias (9.6 shots, 3.4 corners), indicating they may press forward despite defensive frailties. However, Goias maintain better discipline with fewer yellow cards (1.6 vs 2.8), which supports their controlled and effective style.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

America Mineiro0.6
Avg goals scored
Goias1.6
America Mineiro1.2
Avg goals conceded
Goias0.8
America Mineiro60%
BTTS rate
Goias60%
America Mineiro20%
Over 2.5 goals
Goias40%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 61% vs implied 46% · edge +15 pts
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
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Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 41%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 59%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 23%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, but Goias' higher goals per game (1.6) versus America Mineiro's low scoring (0.6) suggests goals are more likely to come from the visitors. The average goals in their head-to-head is 2.2, indicating moderate scoring potential but not necessarily a high-scoring match.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickGoias to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
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Goias Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 41%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
The Goias to Win market reflects their clear superiority in form and season stats, with likely aligned to a 70% win probability. This pricing appears fair given Goias' defensive strength and attacking efficiency, making it a sensible selection rather than a value or risky punt.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

America Mineiro

LDDLL
Last 50W 2D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 7L
21 Jul 2026A Avai1-2
17 Jul 2026H Ceara1-1
13 Jul 2026H Londrina1-1
03 Jul 2026A Cuiaba0-1
27 Jun 2026A Operario-PR0-1

Goias

DWDWW
Last 53W 2D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 4D 2L
23 Jul 2026H Sport Recife1-1
18 Jul 2026A Ponte Preta2-1
12 Jul 2026A CRB2-2
05 Jul 2026H Ceara2-0
28 Jun 2026A Nautico Recife1-0
Market aligned with main pickGoias to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 84%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Goias Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Goias have collected 11 points recently, reflecting consistent performances and effective game management, while America Mineiro have only 2 points, highlighting their struggles to convert chances and defend effectively. This form gap strongly favors Goias for the win.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2America Mineiro wins
3Draws
5Goias wins
22 Mar 2026Goias v America Mineiro3-1
23 Aug 2025Goias v America Mineiro1-0
21 Apr 2025America Mineiro v Goias1-0
18 Oct 2024America Mineiro v Goias2-2
02 Jul 2024Goias v America Mineiro2-1
06 Dec 2023Goias v America Mineiro1-0
Market aligned with main pickGoias to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Load more odds for this section
BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 61%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 41%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
The 10 previous meetings between these teams average 2.2 goals per game, showing a moderate scoring trend. While the sample is reasonable, it does not strongly favor either side, so current form and season stats provide more reliable guidance for this match.
Season team stats

Serie B

America Mineiro19
Played
Goias19
America Mineiro0.7
Avg goals for
Goias1.1
America Mineiro1.6
Avg goals against
Goias1.3
America Mineiro2
Clean sheets
Goias6
Market aligned with main pickGoias to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 50% vs implied 35% · edge +15 pts
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
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Goias Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 66%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over the season, Goias have scored 1.6 goals per game and conceded only 0.8, demonstrating a balanced and effective team. America Mineiro's 0.6 goals scored and 1.2 conceded per game underline their difficulties in both attack and defense, reinforcing the away win pick.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
7Goias2919856-4
20America Mineiro8191513-18
Goias sit comfortably in 7th place with 29 points, showing stability and competitiveness in Serie B. America Mineiro's 20th place with 8 points reflects their relegation battle and pressure, suggesting Goias have the upper hand in motivation and quality for this fixture.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

20%America Mineiro Over 2.5
40%Goias Over 2.5
2.2H2H avg goals
In the last 10 head-to-head matches, the average goals scored is 2.2, indicating moderate scoring. Goias' 40% over 2.5 goals rate versus America Mineiro's 20% suggests the away side tends to be involved in higher-scoring games, supporting a trend for goals but not necessarily a high-scoring encounter.

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