Lithuania
AndorraFriendlies | Wed 30 Sep, 17:00
Lithuania v Andorra Stats
Data last updated: Tue 29 Sep 2026, 08:54 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Lithuania and Andorra meet in a friendly fixture where both sides are likely to focus on offensive transitions and set-piece opportunities to test their squads. Lithuania's recent matches show a cautious approach with limited goal-scoring but an emphasis on wing play that often results in corner kicks. Andorra, despite a lower scoring rate, tends to concede corners due to defensive pressure and fouling in wide areas. This match offers a tactical battle with both teams expected to generate multiple corner opportunities as they probe each other's defensive setups in search of breakthroughs.
Over 9.5 Corners
- Model projects a 63.7% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, indicating strong statistical support.
- Andorra averages 5 corners per game, reflecting active wing play and defensive pressure.
- Lithuania's attacking style involves frequent wide deliveries, increasing corner likelihood despite limited recent data.
- Player fouling rates and attacking attempts suggest sustained pressure and set-piece chances.
- Recent form data shows both teams create corner opportunities even in low-scoring matches.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model identifies Over 9.5 Corners as a strong value bet with a 63.7% chance, significantly above the implied market probability of 38.2%. Andorra's average of 5 corners per game and Lithuania's wing-oriented attacks contribute to sustained corner opportunities. The match context of a friendly encourages probing and set-piece attempts, supporting a higher corner count. is high at 88%, and no price warnings apply, making this a clear value selection based on tactical and statistical evidence.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Expect a tactical encounter where both Lithuania and Andorra use wing play and set pieces to create attacking chances, leading to a high number of corners. Andorra's defensive fouling and Lithuania's wide attacks statistically support an elevated corner count, making Over 9.5 Corners a well-founded pick for this friendly.
Corner volume can be sterile if territory does not become shots, crosses or repeat box entries.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Corners market analysis
“This fixture's tactical setup and team tendencies point to frequent corner situations, especially given Andorra's defensive fouling and Lithuania's wing-based offense. The corner market offers a compelling angle to capture the game's rhythm and pressure phases.”
Key Data Signals
Over 9.5 Corners evidence
Model projects a 63.7% chance for Over 9.5 Corners, indicating strong statistical support.
Andorra averages 5 corners per game, reflecting active wing play and defensive pressure.
Lithuania's attacking style involves frequent wide deliveries, increasing corner likelihood despite limited recent data.
Player fouling rates and attacking attempts suggest sustained pressure and set-piece chances.
What To Watch In The Data
Over 9.5 Corners notes
- Over the last ten matches, both teams have shown moderate goal-scoring but a consistent tempo that produces set-piece chances.
- The corner trend is supported by Andorra's defensive fouling and Lithuania's wing attacks, suggesting a match rhythm conducive to surpassing 9.5 corners through sustained pressure and transitions.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Lithuania
Andorra
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
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