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Lille crestLille
v
Stade Brestois 29 crestStade Brestois 29

Ligue 1 | Sat 17 Oct, 19:45

Lille v Stade Brestois 29 Stats

Data last updated: Sun 08 Nov 2026, 03:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lille face Stade Brestois 29 in Ligue 1 on Sat 17 Oct, 19:45. Lille come in with 10 recent points and 1.4 goals per match, while Stade Brestois 29 have 7 points and 2 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.62, Both Teams to Score implies roughly 62%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 73%.
  • Lille show a 40% BTTS rate and Stade Brestois 29 show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Lille average 1.4 goals scored and Stade Brestois 29 average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 73% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 62% implied by the current price. Lille show a 40% BTTS rate and Stade Brestois 29 show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price73% model chance against roughly 62% implied
Positive
Lille show a 40% BTTS rate and Stade Brestois 29.Visible data support
Positive
Lille average 1.4 goals scored and Stade Brestois 29 average.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Lille show a 40% BTTS rate and Stade Brestois 29 show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Lille show a 40% BTTS rate and Stade Brestois 29 show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Lille average 1.4 goals scored and Stade Brestois 29 average 2, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lille1.4
Avg goals scored
Stade Brestois 292
Lille0.8
Avg goals conceded
Stade Brestois 291.4
Lille40%
BTTS rate
Stade Brestois 2980%
Lille40%
Over 2.5 goals
Stade Brestois 2980%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 62% · edge +11.6 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 75%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 47%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 39%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 31%
2.2
Check odds @ 2.2

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Ligue 1 fixtures and predictionscorners trends hubplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 73% vs implied 62% · edge +11.6 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Lille to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Lille Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Stade Brestois 29 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Stade Brestois 29 to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
4
Check odds @ 4
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lille

WLWWD
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 1L
10 Oct 2026H Le Havre1-0
20 Sep 2026A Nice1-2
13 Sep 2026H Estac Troyes2-0
03 Sep 2026A Toulouse1-0
28 Aug 2026H Paris Saint Germain2-2

Stade Brestois 29

WLLWD
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 2L
10 Oct 2026H Angers5-1
20 Sep 2026A Auxerre1-2
13 Sep 2026H Paris Saint Germain0-1
05 Sep 2026A Le Havre2-1
29 Aug 2026H Toulouse2-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 81% vs implied 82% · edge -1.3 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 57%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Lille to WinBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Lille Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 63%
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Stade Brestois 29 Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 42%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
Stade Brestois 29 to WinBetfred guide price · model 30%
4
Check odds @ 4
DrawBetfred guide price · model 27%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Lille Over 2.5
80%Stade Brestois 29 Over 2.5
2.4H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Lille sit at 40% and Stade Brestois 29 sit at 80% with the H2H average at 2.4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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