Football Stats Hub

Liechtenstein crestLiechtenstein
v
Gibraltar crestGibraltar

Friendlies | Mon 05 Oct, 19:45

Liechtenstein v Gibraltar Stats

Data last updated: Sun 04 Oct 2026, 08:36 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This friendly match between Liechtenstein and Gibraltar offers an intriguing contest between two teams with contrasting recent forms. Gibraltar arrives in strong shape, unbeaten in recent outings with a solid defensive record and a potent attack averaging over 2.5 goals per game. Liechtenstein, meanwhile, has struggled to find the net and has yet to secure points in recent matches. Gibraltar's tactical discipline and attacking set the stage for a competitive encounter, with Gibraltar looking to extend their positive momentum in this international friendly.

BT4Y best bet

Gibraltar to Win

  • Gibraltar boasts a 70% to win with strong recent form and defensive solidity.
  • Liechtenstein has failed to score or earn points recently, indicating offensive struggles.
  • Gibraltar averages 2.67 goals per game and concedes just 0.33, showing attacking efficiency and defensive resilience.
  • Player data highlights N. Pozo's high shot volume and accuracy, enhancing Gibraltar's goal threat.
  • Gibraltar's recent matches show a 67% rate of Over 2.5 Goals, suggesting open play and scoring opportunities.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Gibraltar to win due to their superior recent form, effective defense, and attacking efficiency. Gibraltar's average of 2.67 goals scored per game combined with only 0.33 conceded demonstrates a strong balance. Liechtenstein's lack of goals and points further supports this view. The price offers positive value with a 34.3% edge over the implied chance, making Gibraltar a compelling pick. The data quality is solid, with no limitations affecting the analysis.

Recent FormGibraltar unbeaten with 7 points vs Liechtenstein 0 points
Strong positive
Goals Scored/ConcededGibraltar 2.67/0.33 vs Liechtenstein 0/2
Strong positive
Model Chance vs Implied Chance50.7% model chance vs 35.7% implied (+15 pts)
Strong positive
Player ImpactN. Pozo 2.5 shots on target per 90 mins
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Gibraltar's recent form and attacking prowess make them the clear favorite in this friendly. Their defensive solidity and ability to create quality chances provide a tactical edge over Liechtenstein, who have struggled to score. Gibraltar's and momentum should translate into a well-deserved victory in this match.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and tactical advantage

“Gibraltar's blend of defensive discipline and attacking threat, led by key players like N. Pozo, positions them strongly to capitalize on Liechtenstein's offensive struggles in this friendly.”

Key Data Signals

Gibraltar to Win evidence

Gibraltar boasts a 70% to win with strong recent form and defensive solidity.

Liechtenstein has failed to score or earn points recently, indicating offensive struggles.

Gibraltar averages 2.67 goals per game and concedes just 0.33, showing attacking efficiency and defensive resilience.

Player data highlights N. Pozo's high shot volume and accuracy, enhancing Gibraltar's goal threat.

What To Watch In The Data

Gibraltar to Win notes

  • Over the last seven meetings, the average goals scored is 2, indicating a moderate scoring trend.
  • However, Gibraltar's recent matches show a higher tempo and goal frequency, with a 67% Over 2.5 Goals rate in their last games, suggesting this fixture could see more open play and scoring chances.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Liechtenstein0
Avg goals scored
Gibraltar2.67
Liechtenstein2
Avg goals conceded
Gibraltar0.33
Liechtenstein0%
BTTS rate
Gibraltar33%
Liechtenstein0%
Over 2.5 goals
Gibraltar67%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 65% vs implied 64% · edge +1.5 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 37%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 22%
5.5
Check odds @ 5.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 55%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Gibraltar's matches have featured a high rate of Over 2.5 Goals at 67%, driven by their effective attack averaging 2.67 goals per game. Liechtenstein's inability to score suggests a potential for a one-sided game, but Gibraltar's offensive style supports expectations of multiple goals and a likely BTTS No scenario.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickGibraltar to WinBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Load more odds for this section
Gibraltar Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 37%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 39%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 35%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
The 50.7% for Gibraltar to Win sits against roughly 35.7% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Gibraltar have the stronger recent points return, taking 7 points from the sample compared with 0 for Liechtenstein.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Liechtenstein

LLL
Last 50W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 3L
27 Sep 2026A Malta0-2
07 Jun 2026H Cyprus0-2
04 Jun 2026A Andorra0-2

Gibraltar

DWW
Last 52W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 0L
23 Sep 2026H Sao Tome and Principe0-0
06 Jun 2026H Cayman Islands4-1
03 Jun 2026H British Virgin Islands4-0
Market aligned with main pickGibraltar to WinBet365 guide price · Model 51% vs implied 36% · edge +15 pts
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Gibraltar Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 70%
1.82
Check odds @ 1.82
Gibraltar's recent form is impressive, securing 7 points with a strong defensive record of just 0.33 goals conceded per game. Liechtenstein's form is poor, with no points and no goals scored recently, indicating a clear momentum advantage for Gibraltar heading into this match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

0%Liechtenstein Over 2.5
67%Gibraltar Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last seven meetings, the average goals scored is 2, indicating a moderate scoring trend. However, Gibraltar's recent matches show a higher tempo and goal frequency, with a 67% Over 2.5 Goals rate in their last games, suggesting this fixture could see more open play and scoring chances.

Loading deeper match data…