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Levski Sofia crestLevski Sofia
v
Universitatea Craiova crestUniversitatea Craiova

UEFA Champions League | Wed 22 Jul, 18:30

Levski Sofia v Universitatea Craiova Stats

Data last updated: Wed 22 Jul 2026, 23:04 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Levski Sofia hosts Universitatea Craiova in the first leg of the UEFA Champions League second qualifying round, a clash between two domestic champions in strong form. Both teams enter unbeaten in recent matches, with Levski boasting a formidable home record and Craiova showing prolific attacking output and solid defensive discipline. The midfield battle promises to be tight, with both sides comfortable in possession and capable of pressing high or playing compact. Tactical nuances, such as Levski's territorial control and Craiova's high shot volume, set the stage for a closely contested encounter where scoring opportunities are expected at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Levski Sofia averages 74 dangerous attacks per match and has scored in 9 of 10 home fixtures in 2026.
  • Universitatea Craiova has taken 102 shots and scored 15 goals across their last six matches, averaging 2.5 goals per game.
  • Both teams have strong defensive records, with Levski conceding 0.5 goals and Craiova 0.5 goals per match recently.
  • Champions League campaigns for both sides average 2.5 goals per game, supporting an open game with scoring chances for both.
  • Recent form shows both teams scoring regularly, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends in this tie.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score highly with a 66.7% chance, reflecting the strong attacking form of Levski Sofia and Universitatea Craiova. Both sides have demonstrated consistent goal-scoring ability and have averaged 2.5 goals per game in recent Champions League qualifiers. Levski's home control and Craiova's high shot volume create a balanced offensive threat, while their defensive solidity suggests goals will come from quality chances rather than defensive lapses. The current of 1.91 offer positive value given the model's estimated probability, making this a compelling selection for bettors.

Model Chance66.7%
Strong positive
Implied Probability from Odds52.4%
Positive
Recent Scoring FormBoth teams average 2.5 goals per match
Strong positive
Defensive SolidityBoth concede 0.5 goals per match
Neutral
Shot VolumeCraiova averages 17 shots per game, Levski 12
Positive
Main risk

That level of finishing is unlikely to be repeated every week, but it underlines an important quality: when Levski finally created clear openings, they were decisive.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score rationale

“This fixture pits Levski's territorial control against Craiova's high-volume shooting, creating a dynamic where both teams are expected to find the net. The balance of attacking threat and defensive resilience makes Both Teams to Score a natural outcome in this closely matched tie.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Levski Sofia averages 74 dangerous attacks per match and has scored in 9 of 10 home fixtures in 2026.

Universitatea Craiova has taken 102 shots and scored 15 goals across their last six matches, averaging 2.5 goals per game.

Both teams have strong defensive records, with Levski conceding 0.5 goals and Craiova 0.5 goals per match recently.

Champions League campaigns for both sides average 2.5 goals per game, supporting an open game with scoring chances for both.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last six matches, both teams have averaged 2.5 goals per game, with a balanced tempo and scoring distribution.
  • This trend suggests a match environment conducive to multiple goals, driven by Levski's territorial pressure and Craiova's shooting volume, aligning with expectations for an open and goal-rich encounter.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Levski Sofia7
Avg corners for
Universitatea Craiova2
Levski Sofia9
Avg total corners
Universitatea Craiova3
Levski Sofia0
Avg yellow cards
Universitatea Craiova0
Levski Sofia12
Avg shots
Universitatea Craiova4
Best odds for this sectionOver 10.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Highlighted because this is the strongest available price in this section.
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
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Over 9.5 CornersBetUK guide price · model 40%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Levski Sofia averages 7 corners per match compared to Craiova's 2, indicating territorial control and sustained pressure. Shot data shows Levski with 12 shots per game and Craiova 4, reflecting different attacking styles. Both teams maintain discipline with low card averages, suggesting a focus on controlled aggression and tactical play.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Levski Sofia2.5
Avg goals scored
Universitatea Craiova2.5
Levski Sofia0.5
Avg goals conceded
Universitatea Craiova0.5
Levski Sofia50%
BTTS rate
Universitatea Craiova50%
Levski Sofia50%
Over 2.5 goals
Universitatea Craiova50%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both Levski Sofia and Universitatea Craiova have averaged 2.5 goals per game in recent Champions League qualifiers, with both teams scoring regularly. Their defensive solidity keeps matches competitive, but the attacking efficiency and volume of shots suggest goals at both ends are likely, supporting the BTTS selection.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Universitatea Craiova Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Universitatea Craiova to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 46%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Levski Sofia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
The Both Teams to Score market is priced at 1.91, reflecting an implied probability of 52.4%, while the model estimates a 66.7% chance, indicating positive value. This price sensitivity suggests bettors can capitalize on the strong attacking form and balanced offensive threats from both sides, with room for to drift further enhancing value.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Levski Sofia

WD
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
14 Jul 2026H Borac Banja Luka4-0
07 Jul 2026A Borac Banja Luka1-1

Universitatea Craiova

WW
Last 52W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 0D 0L
15 Jul 2026H ML Vitebsk1-0
08 Jul 2026A ML Vitebsk4-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 77% vs implied 62% · edge +15 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Universitatea Craiova Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 59%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Universitatea Craiova to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 62%
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Levski Sofia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Levski Sofia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Recent form data shows both teams scoring 2.5 goals per match while conceding only 0.5, highlighting balanced offensive and defensive performances. Levski Sofia's strong home record and Craiova's unbeaten away form underpin the expectation of goals at both ends, reinforcing the BTTS market .
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Levski Sofia wins
0Draws
0Universitatea Craiova wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetMGM guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Universitatea Craiova to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
2.15
Check odds @ 2.15
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
2.9
Check odds @ 2.9
Levski Sofia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
No previous head-to-head meetings exist between Levski Sofia and Universitatea Craiova, limiting direct historical insight. Therefore, current form, tactical profiles, and recent performance data carry greater weight in assessing the likelihood of both teams scoring in this fixture.
Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

Levski Sofia2
Played
Universitatea Craiova2
Levski Sofia2.5
Avg goals for
Universitatea Craiova2.5
Levski Sofia0.5
Avg goals against
Universitatea Craiova0.5
Levski Sofia1
Clean sheets
Universitatea Craiova1
Best odds for this sectionUniversitatea Craiova Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · Model 59% vs implied 44% · edge +15 pts
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Load more odds for this section
Universitatea Craiova to WinBet365 guide price · model 43%
3.6
Check odds @ 3.6
Levski Sofia Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Levski Sofia to WinBetMGM guide price · model 35%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Season-long statistics reveal Levski Sofia's territorial control with higher dangerous attacks and possession, while Universitatea Craiova compensates with greater shot volume and goal conversion. Both teams' defensive records remain tight, indicating that goals will stem from quality chances rather than defensive errors, supporting the BTTS outlook.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Levski Sofia Over 2.5
50%Universitatea Craiova Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last six matches, both teams have averaged 2.5 goals per game, with a balanced tempo and scoring distribution. This trend suggests a match environment conducive to multiple goals, driven by Levski's territorial pressure and Craiova's shooting volume, aligning with expectations for an open and goal-rich encounter.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Levski Sofia v Universitatea Craiova prediction

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