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Egnatia Rrogozhinë crestEgnatia Rrogozhinë
v
Celje crestCelje

UEFA Champions League | Wed 22 Jul, 20:00

Egnatia Rrogozhinë v Celje Stats

Data last updated: Tue 18 Aug 2026, 10:04 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Egnatia Rrogozhinë face Celje in UEFA Champions League on Wed 22 Jul, 20:00. Celje enter unbeaten in four matches but have conceded in every game, while scoring consistently. Celje’s defensive shape will be tested whenever Egnatia Rrogozhine increase the tempo.

BT4Y best bet

NK Celje to win and both teams to score

  • At 11/5, NK Celje to win and both teams to score implies roughly 31%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 46%.
  • Egnatia also boast strong attacking output with ten goals in three qualifiers and have conceded in all matches, making a Celje win with both.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 46% for NK Celje to win and both teams to score sits against roughly 31% implied by the current price. Egnatia also boast strong attacking output with ten goals in three qualifiers and have conceded in all matches, making a Celje win with both.

Model chance vs price46% model chance against roughly 31% implied
Strong positive
Egnatia also boast strong attacking output with ten goals.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge +15 pts
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because egnatia also boast strong attacking output with ten goals in three qualifiers and have conceded in all matches, making a Celje win with both teams scoring a likely outcome. Home advantage now belongs to Celje, but the opening encounter showed why this return match cannot be treated as a routine assignment.

Main risk

Home advantage now belongs to Celje, but the opening encounter showed why this return match cannot be treated as a routine assignment.

Key Data Signals

NK Celje to win and both teams to score evidence

Egnatia also boast strong attacking output with ten goals in three qualifiers and have conceded in all matches.

What To Watch In The Data

NK Celje to win and both teams to score notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë

WD
Last 51W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 1D 0L
15 Jul 2026H Petrocub6-1
08 Jul 2026A Petrocub1-1

Celje

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Celje yet.

Market aligned with main pickCelje Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 67% · edge -24.7 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
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Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Celje to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Egnatia Rrogozhinë3.5
Avg goals scored
Celje-
Egnatia Rrogozhinë1
Avg goals conceded
Celje-
Egnatia Rrogozhinë100%
BTTS rate
Celje-
Egnatia Rrogozhinë50%
Over 2.5 goals
Celje-
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.33
Check odds @ 1.33
Over 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 32%
3.75
Check odds @ 3.75
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.75
Check odds @ 1.75
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Celje Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Celje to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Egnatia Rrogozhinë wins
0Draws
0Celje wins
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Celje to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for BTTS Yes, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

UEFA Champions League

Egnatia Rrogozhinë4
Played
Celje4
Egnatia Rrogozhinë3
Avg goals for
Celje2.3
Egnatia Rrogozhinë2
Avg goals against
Celje1.8
Egnatia Rrogozhinë0
Clean sheets
Celje1
Market aligned with main pickCelje Draw No BetBetfred guide price · Model 42% vs implied 67% · edge -24.7 pts
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Load more odds for this section
Celje to WinBetfred guide price · model 23%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Season data supports Celje Draw No Bet when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

50%Egnatia Rrogozhinë Over 2.5
-Celje Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Egnatia also boast strong attacking output with ten goals in three qualifiers and have conceded in all matches, making a Celje win with both teams scoring a likely.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.