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Levante crestLevante
v
Barcelona crestBarcelona

La Liga | Sun 13 Sep, 15:15

Levante v Barcelona Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Levante face Barcelona in La Liga on Sun 13 Sep, 15:15. Averaging over 20 shots and 2.6 goals per game, they face a Levante side conceding 1.5 goals per away trip. Barça have struck 64 goals this season and remain unbeaten at half-time in 23 home matches. Levante average just 10.

BT4Y best bet

The exact final score of the game

  • At 6/1, The exact final score of the game implies roughly 14%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 29%.
  • Defensive frailty.
  • Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 0 for Barcelona.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 29% for The exact final score of the game sits against roughly 14% implied by the current price. Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 0 for Barcelona. Defensive frailty.

Model chance vs price29% model chance against roughly 14% implied
Strong positive
Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points.Visible data support
Positive
Defensive frailty.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Levante Win is the preferred angle because defensive frailty. Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 0 for Barcelona. Risk Factor: Barcelona have shown occasional vulnerability to counter-attacks and through balls, which is Levante's primary method of attack.

Main risk

Risk Factor: Barcelona have shown occasional vulnerability to counter-attacks and through balls, which is Levante's primary method of attack.

Key Data Signals

The exact final score of the game evidence

Defensive frailty.

Levante have the stronger recent points return, taking 5 points from the sample compared with 0 for Barcelona.

What To Watch In The Data

The exact final score of the game notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickLevante to WinBetfred guide price · Model 21% vs implied 6% · edge +15 pts
    17
    Check odds @ 17
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    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 62%
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Levante Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 29%
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 57%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 33%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Levante to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Levante1.25
    Avg goals scored
    Barcelona-
    Levante1.25
    Avg goals conceded
    Barcelona-
    Levante25%
    BTTS rate
    Barcelona-
    Levante50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Barcelona-
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 40%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 75%
    1.07
    Check odds @ 1.07
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 57%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 39%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 33%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Levante

    DWDL
    Last 51W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 2D 1L
    06 Sep 2026A Malaga0-0
    29 Aug 2026H Real Betis5-2
    24 Aug 2026A Osasuna0-0
    16 Aug 2026A Espanyol0-3

    Barcelona

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Barcelona yet.

    Market aligned with main pickLevante to WinBetfred guide price · Model 21% vs implied 6% · edge +15 pts
    17
    Check odds @ 17
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    Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 33%
    5.5
    Check odds @ 5.5
    Levante Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 29%
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Levante3.33
    Avg corners for
    Barcelona-
    Levante8
    Avg total corners
    Barcelona-
    Levante1
    Avg yellow cards
    Barcelona-
    Levante11.33
    Avg shots
    Barcelona-
    Best odds for this sectionOver 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · Model 62% vs implied 58% · edge +3.7 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
    Over 8.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    1Levante wins
    1Draws
    8Barcelona wins
    22 Feb 2026Barcelona v Levante3-0
    23 Aug 2025Levante v Barcelona2-3
    10 Apr 2022Levante v Barcelona2-3
    26 Sep 2021Barcelona v Levante3-0
    11 May 2021Levante v Barcelona3-3
    13 Dec 2020Barcelona v Levante1-0
    Market aligned with main pickLevante to WinBetfred guide price · Model 21% vs implied 6% · edge +15 pts
    17
    Check odds @ 17
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 57%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    BTTS YesBetUK guide price · model 33%
    1.8
    Check odds @ 1.8
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Levante to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    La Liga

    Levante0
    Played
    Barcelona4
    Levante-
    Avg goals for
    Barcelona4.3
    Levante-
    Avg goals against
    Barcelona0.5
    Levante-
    Clean sheets
    Barcelona3
    Market aligned with main pickLevante to WinBetfred guide price · Model 21% vs implied 6% · edge +15 pts
    17
    Check odds @ 17
    Load more odds for this section
    Levante Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 29%
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Season data supports Levante to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    50%Levante Over 2.5
    -Barcelona Over 2.5
    3.4H2H avg goals
    Defensive frailty.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.