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Lecco crestLecco
v
Alcione crestAlcione

Serie C - Girone A | Sun 11 Oct, 16:30

Lecco v Alcione Stats

Data last updated: Sat 10 Oct 2026, 09:01 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lecco and Alcione meet in a Serie C - Girone A clash where both sides have shown attacking intent but defensive vulnerabilities. Lecco has scored and conceded an average of 1.2 goals per game recently, while Alcione boasts a higher scoring rate of 1.6 but concedes 2.2 goals on average. Alcione's recent form includes more frequent high-scoring matches, suggesting an open game. Both teams are mid-table, with Alcione slightly ahead, adding competitive edge but no overwhelming control, setting up a fixture likely to feature goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Alcione scores in 80% of recent matches, Lecco in 40%.
  • Lecco concedes 1.2 goals per game, Alcione concedes 2.2, indicating defensive frailty.
  • Both teams have combined BTTS rate supporting goals at both ends.
  • Recent matches show Alcione's 80% over 2.5 goals rate, Lecco at 60%.
  • H2H average goals per match is low but recent form suggests more open play.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 70% chance for both teams to score, reflecting strong attacking outputs and defensive lapses from both sides. Alcione's high BTTS and over 2.5 goals rates, combined with Lecco's willingness to concede and score, create a compelling case for goals at both ends. The at 1.8 offer positive value with a 14.4% edge, making this a sensible pick given the tactical openness and recent scoring trends. Data quality is solid, supporting in the prediction.

Model Chance70% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+14.4 pts)
Strong positive
Alcione BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Lecco BTTS Rate40%
Positive
Value Edge70% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+14.4 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Chance70% model chance vs 55.6% implied (+14.4 pts)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown attacking promise but also defensive vulnerabilities, making both teams to score a logical choice. Alcione's higher scoring and conceding rates combined with Lecco's balanced recent form suggest goals at both ends. This pick aligns well with the tactical openness and recent scoring patterns of both sides.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Both Teams to Score

“This fixture features two sides with attacking intent but defensive weaknesses, making both teams to score a compelling angle. Alcione's offensive output and Lecco's balanced scoring and conceding profile point to goals at both ends.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Alcione scores in 80% of recent matches, Lecco in 40%.

Lecco concedes 1.2 goals per game, Alcione concedes 2.2, indicating defensive frailty.

Both teams have combined BTTS rate supporting goals at both ends.

Recent matches show Alcione's 80% over 2.5 goals rate, Lecco at 60%.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, Alcione has an 80% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, while Lecco's rate is 60%.
  • This trend indicates a generally open tempo and attacking style in recent fixtures, supporting the likelihood of multiple goals and BTTS in this match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lecco1.2
Avg goals scored
Alcione1.6
Lecco1.2
Avg goals conceded
Alcione2.2
Lecco40%
BTTS rate
Alcione80%
Lecco60%
Over 2.5 goals
Alcione80%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 56% · edge +14.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 34%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Lecco averages 1.2 goals scored and conceded per game, while Alcione scores 1.6 and concedes 2.2, highlighting defensive frailty and offensive capability on both sides. Alcione's 80% BTTS rate strongly supports the likelihood of goals at both ends, with Lecco contributing to the dynamic despite a lower 40% BTTS rate.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 56% · edge +14.4 pts
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
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Lecco Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Lecco to WinBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Alcione Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Alcione to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
The 70% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 55.6% implied by the current price (+14.4 pts). Lecco show a 40% BTTS rate and Alcione show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Continue the research

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lecco

DLDWW
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 3D 3L
04 Oct 2026H Union Brescia2-2
26 Sep 2026A Cittadella0-3
20 Sep 2026H Pergolettese0-0
17 Sep 2026A Desenzano Calvina3-1
13 Sep 2026H Giana Erminio1-0

Alcione

DDLDW
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 5D 1L
04 Oct 2026H Trento2-2
27 Sep 2026A Albinoleffe1-1
20 Sep 2026H Union Brescia0-4
17 Sep 2026A PRO Vercelli2-2
13 Sep 2026A Folgore Caratese3-2
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 80% vs implied 82% · edge -1.8 pts
1.22
Check odds @ 1.22
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Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 57%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Lecco Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 63%
1.52
Check odds @ 1.52
Lecco to WinBetfred guide price · model 53%
1.9
Check odds @ 1.9
Alcione Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
2.42
Check odds @ 2.42
Alcione to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
3.7
Check odds @ 3.7
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.2
Check odds @ 3.2
Recent form shows Alcione with 6 points and a high BTTS rate of 80%, indicating frequent goals in their matches. Lecco has 8 points with a lower BTTS rate of 40%, but their goals for and against averages suggest openness. This contrast supports the expectation of goals from both sides.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Lecco Over 2.5
80%Alcione Over 2.5
1H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Alcione has an 80% rate of games exceeding 2.5 goals, while Lecco's rate is 60%. This trend indicates a generally open tempo and attacking style in recent fixtures, supporting the likelihood of multiple goals and BTTS in this match.

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