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Lecce crestLecce
v
Monza crestMonza

Serie A | Sun 13 Sep, 14:00

Lecce v Monza Stats

Data last updated: Sat 12 Sep 2026, 08:09 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lecce face Monza in Serie A on Sun 13 Sep, 14:00. Lecce come in with 3 recent points and 0.67 goals per match, while Monza have 1 points and 1.33 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • At 1.91, Both Teams to Score implies roughly 52%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Lecce show a 0% BTTS rate and Monza show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Lecce average 0.67 goals scored and Monza average 1.33, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 52% implied by the current price. Lecce show a 0% BTTS rate and Monza show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 52% implied
Positive
Lecce show a 0% BTTS rate and Monza show a.Visible data support
Positive
Lecce average 0.67 goals scored and Monza average 1.33, so.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Lecce show a 0% BTTS rate and Monza show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Lecce show a 0% BTTS rate and Monza show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Lecce average 0.67 goals scored and Monza average 1.33, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Compare both teams on scoring rate and clean-sheet record before trusting Both Teams To Score.
  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lecce0.67
Avg goals scored
Monza1.33
Lecce1.67
Avg goals conceded
Monza2.67
Lecce0%
BTTS rate
Monza100%
Lecce33%
Over 2.5 goals
Monza67%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Serie A hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting angleslatest football statsmain football hubtoday's predictionsbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Lecce to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 64%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Lecce Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Monza to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Monza Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Lecce3.33
Avg corners for
Monza3
Lecce7.67
Avg total corners
Monza7
Lecce2.33
Avg yellow cards
Monza1.67
Lecce9.67
Avg shots
Monza12.67
Best odds for this sectionOver 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · Model 64% vs implied 55% · edge +9.4 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Over 3.5 Cards needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lecce

LLW
Last 51W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 2L
07 Sep 2026A Cagliari0-1
31 Aug 2026H AS Roma0-4
23 Aug 2026A Venezia2-0

Monza

DLL
Last 50W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 2L
06 Sep 2026A Parma1-1
29 Aug 2026H Udinese2-3
22 Aug 2026A Inter1-4
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 79% vs implied 71% · edge +7.4 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Lecce to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Lecce Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Monza to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Monza Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

4Lecce wins
5Draws
1Monza wins
16 Feb 2025Monza v Lecce0-0
15 Dec 2024Lecce v Monza2-1
27 Apr 2024Lecce v Monza1-1
17 Sep 2023Monza v Lecce1-1
28 May 2023Monza v Lecce0-1
11 Sep 2022Lecce v Monza1-1
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +14.3 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Lecce to WinBetMGM guide price · model 52%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Monza to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
The head-to-head sample gives context for BTTS Yes, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Season team stats

Serie A

Lecce3
Played
Monza3
Lecce0.7
Avg goals for
Monza1.3
Lecce1.7
Avg goals against
Monza2.7
Lecce1
Clean sheets
Monza0
Best odds for this sectionLecce to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 52% vs implied 37% · edge +14.5 pts
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Load more odds for this section
Lecce Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Monza to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
2.8
Check odds @ 2.8
Monza Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Season data supports Lecce to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
14Lecce33102-3
18Monza13012-4
Lecce sit in position 14, while Monza sit in position 18, so table pressure belongs in the Both Teams to Score assessment.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

33%Lecce Over 2.5
67%Monza Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Lecce sit at 33% and Monza sit at 67% with the H2H average at 1.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

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Competition and hubs

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Betting context

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