Football Stats Hub

Lecce crestLecce
v
Monza crestMonza

Serie A | Sun 13 Sep, 14:00

Lecce v Monza Stats

Data last updated: Thu 08 Oct 2026, 16:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Lecce face Monza in Serie A on Sun 13 Sep, 14:00. Monza have scored four goals in three Serie A games but conceded eight, giving this fixture a clear contrast between their greater attacking output and defensive fragility. Lecce and Monza arrive with similar form, leaving fine margins likely to decide the result.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams To Score YES

  • At 20/23, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 54%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 67%.
  • Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.
  • Lecce show a 0% BTTS rate and Monza show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
  • Lecce average 0.67 goals scored and Monza average 1.33, so both attacking contributions need separating.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 67% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 54% implied by the current price. Lecce show a 0% BTTS rate and Monza show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Model chance vs price67% model chance against roughly 54% implied
Positive
Lecce show a 0% BTTS rate and Monza show a.Visible data support
Positive
Lecce average 0.67 goals scored and Monza average 1.33, so.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Both Teams To Score is the preferred angle because selection: Both Teams To Score YES. Lecce show a that shared-scoring rate rate and Monza show a that shared-scoring rate rate, which is the right starting point for this market. That record offers the hosts encouragement, but their present attacking return makes it difficult to lean too heavily on history.

Main risk

That record offers the hosts encouragement, but their present attacking return makes it difficult to lean too heavily on history.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Selection: Both Teams To Score YES.

Lecce show a 0% BTTS rate and Monza show a 100% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.

Lecce average 0.67 goals scored and Monza average 1.33, so both attacking contributions need separating.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

  • Use shots on target to decide whether attacking involvement is shared or one-sided.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lecce0.67
Avg goals scored
Monza1.33
Lecce1.67
Avg goals conceded
Monza2.67
Lecce0%
BTTS rate
Monza100%
Lecce33%
Over 2.5 goals
Monza67%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 63%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 27%
4.33
Check odds @ 4.33
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8

Continue the research

Useful next reads

Serie A hubLecce v Monza predictionfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBetUK guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Load more odds for this section
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price · model 64%
2
Check odds @ 2
Lecce to WinBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Lecce Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 45%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Monza Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Monza to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
BTTS Yes is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lecce

LLW
Last 51W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 0D 2L
07 Sep 2026A Cagliari0-1
31 Aug 2026H AS Roma0-4
23 Aug 2026A Venezia2-0

Monza

DLL
Last 50W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 1D 2L
06 Sep 2026A Parma1-1
29 Aug 2026H Udinese2-3
22 Aug 2026A Inter1-4
Best odds for this sectionHome / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 79% vs implied 71% · edge +7.4 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Load more odds for this section
Lecce to WinBetMGM guide price · model 50%
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Lecce Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 61%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Away / DrawBetUK guide price · model 60%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Monza Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Monza to WinBetfred guide price · model 33%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
DrawBet365 guide price · model 27%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

33%Lecce Over 2.5
67%Monza Over 2.5
1.5H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Lecce sit at 33% and Monza sit at 67% with the H2H average at 1.5 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

Loading deeper match data…