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Match Context

Fixture analysis

Lebanon face Sudan in an international friendly, with both sides rarely meeting and limited recent data available for either team. The fixture is likely to be used for squad rotation and tactical experimentation rather than high-intensity attacking football.

Lebanon crestLebanon
v
Sudan crestSudan

Friendlies | Fri 29 May, 17:00

Lebanon v Sudan Stats

Data last updated: Thu 28 May 2026, 03:32 UK time
BT4Y best bet

Under 2.5 Goals

  • Both teams have limited recent attacking data, suggesting a cautious approach.
  • Only 2 previous meetings, averaging exactly 2 goals per game.
  • Neither Lebanon nor Sudan have strong scoring records in recent friendlies.
  • Low data sample increases uncertainty, but market leans towards a tight contest.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Under 2.5 Goals at a 55.8% chance, reflecting the lack of attacking output and limited data for both Lebanon and Sudan. With only two previous head-to-heads averaging 2 goals and no evidence of prolific scoring in recent friendlies, a low-scoring game is expected. The thin data sample means final line-ups and market movement should be monitored closely, as late team news could have a bigger impact than usual.

H2H average goals2 matches, 2.0 goals per game
Positive
Recent attacking dataNo strong scoring trends for either side
Positive
Limited data sampleBoth teams have only one recent data point
Neutral
Market movementOdds suggest low-scoring expectation
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Under 2.5 Goals is favoured due to the lack of recent attacking form and the low-scoring history between Lebanon and Sudan. With both teams likely to use the friendly for tactical adjustments and squad rotation, the tempo should remain controlled, and clear-cut chances may be limited.

Main risk

The main risk is the lack of reliable recent data for both teams, which increases the chance of a surprise attacking display or experimental line-ups leading to more goals than expected.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Low-scoring expectation based on limited attacking data and H2H trends

“With both Lebanon and Sudan lacking recent attacking rhythm and their head-to-head history showing little goal action, this friendly shapes up as a cagey affair where defensive structure could dominate.”

Key Data Signals

Under 2.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have limited recent attacking data, suggesting a cautious approach.

Only 2 previous meetings, averaging exactly 2 goals per game.

Neither Lebanon nor Sudan have strong scoring records in recent friendlies.

Low data sample increases uncertainty, but market leans towards a tight contest.

What To Watch In The Data

Under 2.5 Goals notes

  • Check whether the lower-scoring side can contribute enough chances to support the market.
  • Final line-ups and price movement can change the value quickly.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

1Lebanon wins
0Draws
1Sudan wins
26 Nov 2025Sudan v Lebanon2-1
07 Dec 2021Lebanon v Sudan1-0

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lebanon

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Lebanon yet.

Sudan

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Sudan yet.

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile and goal-market notes.

Lebanon-
Avg goals scored
Sudan-
Lebanon-
Avg goals conceded
Sudan-
Lebanon-
BTTS rate
Sudan-
Lebanon-
Over 2.5 goals
Sudan-

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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Player stats

Player props and player-level numbers.

Best player marketKarim Darwich 1+ Shot On TargetKarim Darwich · 2.05 shots on target/90
84/100
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Daniel Lajud 2+ ShotsDaniel Lajud · 3.91 shots/90
82/100
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Karim Darwich To Assist / Key Pass AngleKarim Darwich · 0 assists · 4.09 key passes/90
66/100
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Ali Tnesh Card RiskAli Tnesh · 2 yellows · 2.63 fouls/90
80/100
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Karim Darwich is relevant to Karim Darwich 1+ Shot On Target if the attacking pattern gives Karim Darwich enough touches in shooting areas, with 2.05 shots on target/90 adding support.
Karim Darwich
Karim DarwichLebanon · Attacker
Goal threat30/100
Shots /902.05
SOT /902.05
Majed Osman
Majed OsmanLebanon · Midfielder
Goal threat25/100
Shots /900
SOT /900
Maher Sabra
Maher SabraLebanon · Defender
Goal threat16/100
Shots /901
SOT /901
Ali Tnesh
Ali TneshLebanon · Midfielder
Goal threat13/100
Shots /901.31
SOT /900.66
Daniel Lajud
Daniel LajudLebanon · Midfielder
Goal threat16/100
Shots /903.91
SOT /900
Nader Matar
Nader MatarLebanon · Midfielder
Goal threat9/100
Shots /901.76
SOT /900
Season team stats

Friendlies

Lebanon0
Played
Sudan0
Lebanon0
Avg goals for
Sudan0
Lebanon0
Avg goals against
Sudan0
Lebanon0
Clean sheets
Sudan0

No priced odds are available for this section yet.

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Key match trends

Over 2.5 and recent goal-pattern context.

-Lebanon Over 2.5
-Sudan Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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