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Ostia Mare crestOstia Mare

Serie C - Girone B | Sun 04 Oct, 19:30

Latina v Ostia Mare Stats

Data last updated: Sat 03 Oct 2026, 08:27 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Latina and Ostia Mare meet in Serie C - Girone B with both sides showing a tendency for open play and goal involvement. Ostia Mare currently holds a slight edge in the standings and recent form, having accumulated 7 points compared to Latina's 5. Both teams have similar BTTS rates at 60%, indicating a mutual likelihood to concede and score. The fixture promises a competitive encounter with attacking intent from both sides, setting the stage for a match where both teams finding the net is a realistic expectation.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, showing frequent goal involvement on both ends.
  • Ostia Mare has scored an average of 1.4 goals per game, slightly higher than Latina's 1.0.
  • The head-to-head average goals per match is 3, supporting an open game with goals at both ends.
  • Both teams have a 40% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating potential for multiple goals in this fixture.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies a strong 73.3% chance for both teams to score, well above the implied market chance of 50%, indicating clear value. Both Latina and Ostia Mare have shown consistent goal-scoring and conceding patterns, with BTTS rates of 60% each and an average of 3 goals in their recent head-to-head meetings. This suggests an open match with offensive opportunities for both sides. The data quality is solid, with no limitations affecting the reliability of these trends.

Model BTTS Chance73.3%
Strong positive
Latina BTTS Rate60%
Positive
Ostia Mare BTTS Rate60%
Positive
H2H Average Goals3 goals per match
Positive
Market Implied Chance67.4% model chance vs 52.4% implied (+15 pts)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

This fixture is poised for both teams to score given the attacking tendencies and defensive vulnerabilities shown by Latina and Ostia Mare. Ostia Mare's slightly better form and goal output complement Latina's willingness to engage offensively, making BTTS a logical choice supported by recent data and tactical outlook.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS likelihood

“Both teams have demonstrated a pattern of conceding and scoring, making a BTTS outcome highly plausible in this Serie C clash. The attacking intent combined with defensive lapses creates fertile ground for goals at both ends.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate this season, showing frequent goal involvement on both ends.

Ostia Mare has scored an average of 1.4 goals per game, slightly higher than Latina's 1.0.

The head-to-head average goals per match is 3, supporting an open game with goals at both ends.

Both teams have a 40% rate of matches going over 2.5 goals, indicating potential for multiple goals in this fixture.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 3, indicating a trend towards open, goal-rich encounters.
  • Both teams' 40% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches suggests a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals, supporting an attacking game with BTTS potential.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Latina

LDLWL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 101W 2D 3L
20 Sep 2026A Reggiana0-1
16 Sep 2026H Guidonia Montecelio 19371-1
12 Sep 2026A Gubbio1-3
05 Sep 2026H Forli2-0
29 Aug 2026A Ravenna1-3

Ostia Mare

DWLLW
Last 52W 1D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 4L
27 Sep 2026H Forli1-1
20 Sep 2026A Gubbio2-0
16 Sep 2026H Ravenna0-1
13 Sep 2026A Torres2-3
05 Sep 2026A Vis Pesaro2-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 70% vs implied 55% · edge +15 pts
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
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Ostia Mare Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Ostia Mare to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Latina Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 52%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Latina to WinBet365 guide price · model 27%
1.83
Check odds @ 1.83
Recent form shows Ostia Mare with 7 points and Latina with 4, indicating slightly better momentum for Ostia Mare. Both teams have conceded and scored regularly, reinforcing the BTTS trend. This form data supports expectations of goals from both sides in the upcoming match.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Latina1
Avg goals scored
Ostia Mare1.4
Latina1.6
Avg goals conceded
Ostia Mare1.2
Latina60%
BTTS rate
Ostia Mare60%
Latina40%
Over 2.5 goals
Ostia Mare40%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 57%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 65%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 29%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Both Latina and Ostia Mare have BTTS rates of 60%, reflecting frequent mutual scoring. Their head-to-head matches average 3 goals, supporting an open game with goals at both ends. The teams' attacking output and defensive concessions align well with a BTTS outcome in this fixture.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 52% · edge +15 pts
1.91
Check odds @ 1.91
Load more odds for this section
Ostia Mare Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Ostia Mare to WinBet365 guide price · model 41%
3.8
Check odds @ 3.8
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 47%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
DrawBet365 guide price · model 25%
3.3
Check odds @ 3.3
Latina Draw No BetBetUK guide price · model 45%
1.42
Check odds @ 1.42
The 67.4% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 52.4% implied by the current price (+15 pts). Latina show a 60% BTTS rate and Ostia Mare show a 60% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Latina Over 2.5
40%Ostia Mare Over 2.5
3H2H avg goals
Over the last three head-to-head matches, the average goals total is 3, indicating a trend towards open, goal-rich encounters. Both teams' 40% over 2.5 goals rate in recent matches suggests a tempo and style conducive to multiple goals, supporting an attacking game with BTTS potential.

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