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Lask Linz crestLask Linz
v
Rapid Vienna crestRapid Vienna

Bundesliga | Sun 11 Oct, 16:00

Lask Linz v Rapid Vienna Stats

Data last updated: Sat 10 Oct 2026, 08:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Bundesliga clash features Rapid Vienna, the current league leaders, visiting third-placed Lask Linz. Both teams have demonstrated potent attacking form recently, with Rapid Vienna averaging 3.6 goals scored per game and Lask Linz 2.8. Defensively, both sides concede over one goal per match, setting the stage for an open, high-scoring encounter. The tactical approach of both teams emphasizes offensive pressure and quick transitions, suggesting a lively match with multiple goal-scoring opportunities. The stakes are high as both sides aim to maintain their top-table positions, adding intensity to this fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Over 3.5 Goals

  • Both teams have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals this season.
  • Lask Linz averages 20.6 shots per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure.
  • Rapid Vienna leads the league with 18 points, showing strong form and scoring capability.
  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 3.2 goals, supporting a high-scoring trend.
  • Key players like S. Kane contribute significant shot volume for Lask Linz.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model identifies Over 3.5 Goals as a strong value bet with a 58% chance, notably higher than the implied market chance of 47.6%. Both teams consistently produce high-scoring games, with Lask Linz and Rapid Vienna each having a 100% rate of matches over 2.5 goals this season. Their attacking metrics, including shots and shots on target, support the likelihood of multiple goals. The head-to-head average of 3.2 goals further reinforces the expectation for an open game. This combination of data and tactical openness underpins the model's in this high-scoring outcome.

Model Chance58% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+10.4 pts)
Strong positive
Market Implied Chance58% model chance vs 47.6% implied (+10.4 pts)
Strong positive
Lask Linz Over 2.5 Goals Rate100%
Strong positive
Rapid Vienna Over 2.5 Goals Rate100%
Strong positive
Head-to-Head Average Goals3.2 goals
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open and attacking game as both Lask Linz and Rapid Vienna prioritize offensive play, reflected in their high goal averages and league standings. The data supports a lively match with multiple scoring chances, making Over 3.5 Goals a compelling selection for bettors seeking excitement and value.

Main risk

A slower tempo or weaker chance quality would make the goals market harder to justify at the current price.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Attacking strength and goal potential

“Both teams have shown a strong offensive mindset this season, with consistent high shot volumes and goal-scoring threats. This match is poised to deliver plenty of goals given their attacking profiles and recent form.”

Key Data Signals

Over 3.5 Goals evidence

Both teams have a 100% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals this season.

Lask Linz averages 20.6 shots per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure.

Rapid Vienna leads the league with 18 points, showing strong form and scoring capability.

The last 10 head-to-head matches average 3.2 goals, supporting a high-scoring trend.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 3.5 Goals notes

  • Over the last 10 matches between these teams, the average goals scored is 3.2, indicating a historical trend toward open, high-scoring games.
  • Both sides' recent matches have consistently exceeded 2.5 goals, reflecting a fast tempo and attacking intent that often results in multiple goals and dynamic play throughout the fixture.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Lask Linz2.8
Avg goals scored
Rapid Vienna3.6
Lask Linz1.4
Avg goals conceded
Rapid Vienna1.2
Lask Linz80%
BTTS rate
Rapid Vienna40%
Lask Linz100%
Over 2.5 goals
Rapid Vienna100%
Market aligned with main pickOver 3.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · Model 58% vs implied 48% · edge +10.4 pts
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
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Over 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 78%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
BTTS NoBetUK guide price · model 31%
2.62
Check odds @ 2.62
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 26%
2.7
Check odds @ 2.7
Both teams exhibit strong scoring records, with Lask Linz and Rapid Vienna maintaining 100% Over 2.5 Goals rates this season. While Lask Linz has an 80% BTTS rate, Rapid Vienna's is lower at 40%, suggesting the match may feature periods of defensive solidity but overall goal abundance. The head-to-head average of 3.2 goals supports a game with multiple scoring events.

Continue the research

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · Model 78% vs implied 69% · edge +8.6 pts
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
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Rapid Vienna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.44
Check odds @ 1.44
Rapid Vienna to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Over 8.5 CornersBetfred guide price · model 61%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Lask Linz Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
The 58% for Over 3.5 Goals sits against roughly 47.6% implied by the current price (+10.4 pts). The Over 2.5 trend is 100% for Lask Linz and 100% for Rapid Vienna, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Lask Linz

DLWWW
Last 53W 1D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 1D 1L
20 Sep 2026A TSV Hartberg3-3
13 Sep 2026A Sturm Graz1-2
01 Sep 2026A Wolfsberger AC3-1
29 Aug 2026H SCR Altach3-0
14 Aug 2026H Ried4-1

Rapid Vienna

WWLWW
Last 54W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 0D 1L
18 Sep 2026H WSG Wattens3-0
12 Sep 2026A Wolfsberger AC3-0
02 Sep 2026A Red Bull Salzburg1-5
30 Aug 2026H Sturm Graz3-1
16 Aug 2026H Grazer AK8-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetMGM guide price · Model 66% vs implied 51% · edge +15 pts
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
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Rapid Vienna Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 55%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
Rapid Vienna to WinBetfred guide price · model 41%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
DrawBetfred guide price · model 25%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Lask Linz Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Home / DrawBetUK guide price · model 53%
1.25
Check odds @ 1.25
Lask Linz to WinBet365 guide price · model 28%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Recent form data underscores a trend toward high-scoring matches, with both teams maintaining perfect Over 2.5 Goals records this season. Lask Linz has scored 2.8 goals per game while conceding 1.4, and Rapid Vienna averages 3.6 goals scored with 1.2 conceded. This offensive consistency and defensive openness highlight the likelihood of a goal-rich encounter.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Lask Linz Over 2.5
100%Rapid Vienna Over 2.5
3.2H2H avg goals
Over the last 10 matches between these teams, the average goals scored is 3.2, indicating a historical trend toward open, high-scoring games. Both sides' recent matches have consistently exceeded 2.5 goals, reflecting a fast tempo and attacking intent that often results in multiple goals and dynamic play throughout the fixture.

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