Kasımpaşa
KonyasporSüper Lig | Fri 18 Sep, 18:00
Kasımpaşa v Konyaspor Stats
Data last updated: Thu 17 Sep 2026, 08:15 UK timeMatch Report
Fixture analysis
Kasımpaşa enters this Süper Lig fixture in strong form, sitting 4th with 9 points from recent matches, showing a solid attacking output averaging 1.4 goals per game. Konyaspor, struggling near the bottom at 16th with just 3 points, have been less effective offensively and defensively, conceding 1.6 goals per match. Kasımpaşa's home advantage and superior recent results set a confident tone for this encounter, with Konyaspor needing to overcome defensive vulnerabilities and find sharper attacking rhythm to challenge effectively.
Kasımpaşa to Win
- Kasımpaşa holds a 74% to win, indicating strong in their victory.
- Kasımpaşa averages 1.4 goals per game, outperforming Konyaspor's 0.8 goals per game.
- Kasımpaşa's BTTS rate is 80%, suggesting frequent scoring involvement from both sides in their matches.
- Konyaspor concedes 1.6 goals per game, highlighting defensive weaknesses to exploit.
Why The Model Likes This Bet
Chance, price and football numbers
The model favors Kasımpaşa to win with a 74% chance, reflecting their superior recent form, higher points tally, and stronger offensive and defensive metrics compared to Konyaspor. Kasımpaşa's ability to create quality chances, supported by an average of 11.4 shots per game and a high BTTS rate, contrasts with Konyaspor's defensive fragility and lower scoring output. This combination underpins the value in backing Kasımpaşa at current around 2.35, representing a significant edge over the implied market chance.
Verdict
BT4Y analyst view
Kasımpaşa's superior recent form and home advantage make them the clear favorite to secure victory. Their consistent goal threat and defensive solidity contrast with Konyaspor's struggles, making a home win the most logical outcome based on tactical and statistical evidence.
The hosts appear the steadier side, but they are facing an opponent who have repeatedly found a way to deny them.
Quote from Expert
BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome
“Kasımpaşa's balanced attack and tighter defense provide a strong foundation for victory, especially against a Konyaspor side that has struggled to convert chances and maintain defensive discipline.”
Key Data Signals
Kasımpaşa to Win evidence
Kasımpaşa holds a 74% to win, indicating strong in their victory.
Kasımpaşa averages 1.4 goals per game, outperforming Konyaspor's 0.8 goals per game.
Kasımpaşa's BTTS rate is 80%, suggesting frequent scoring involvement from both sides in their matches.
Konyaspor concedes 1.6 goals per game, highlighting defensive weaknesses to exploit.
What To Watch In The Data
Kasımpaşa to Win notes
- The last 10 head-to-head matches average 3.6 goals, indicating a tendency for open, high-scoring games.
- Both teams have a 40% rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals, suggesting this fixture could produce multiple goals and an attacking tempo.
Goals, BTTS and over/under
Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.
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Market odds
Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.
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Corners, cards and shots
Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.
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Recent form
Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.
Kasımpaşa
Konyaspor
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Head-to-head
Recent meetings and how much they still matter.
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Player stats
Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.
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Season team stats
Süper Lig
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League standings snapshot
Current table context.
| Pos | Team | Pts | P | W | D | L | GD |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Kasımpaşa | 9 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 2 |
| 16 | Konyaspor | 3 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | -4 |
Key match trends
Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.
Next step
Betting context
Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.