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Juventus crestJuventus
v
NEC Nijmegen crestNEC Nijmegen

UEFA Europa League | Thu 17 Sep, 20:00

Juventus v NEC Nijmegen Stats

Data last updated: Wed 07 Oct 2026, 06:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Juventus face NEC Nijmegen in UEFA Europa League on Thu 17 Sep, 20:00. Spalletti has lost only two of 18 Europa League group fixtures as a manager, a sharp experience contrast with NEC’s first European campaign in 17 years.

BT4Y match pick

Juventus to win and Both Teams to Score

  • At 6/4, Juventus to win and Both Teams to Score implies roughly 40%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 39%.
  • Juventus have scored six goals in four matches and face an NEC side conceding 15 goals in six games.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 39% for Juventus to win and Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 40% implied by the current price. Juventus have scored six goals in four matches and face an NEC side conceding 15 goals in six games.

Model chance vs price39% model chance against roughly 40% implied
Neutral
Juventus have scored six goals in four matches.Article support
Positive
Price sensitivityEdge -1 pts
Neutral

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Juventus Win & BTTS is the preferred angle because juventus have scored six goals in four matches and face an NEC side conceding that scoring level in six games. Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Main risk

Late team news, price movement and market liquidity are the main cautions before kick-off.

Key Data Signals

Juventus to win and Both Teams to Score evidence

Juventus have scored six goals in four matches and face an NEC side conceding 15 goals in six.

What To Watch In The Data

Juventus to win and Both Teams to Score notes

  • Use the article-led angle and the visible data together; the strongest signal is where both point to the same match pattern.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Juventus

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Juventus yet.

NEC Nijmegen

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for NEC Nijmegen yet.

Market aligned with main pickHome / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 86% vs implied 96% · edge -10.2 pts
1.04
Check odds @ 1.04
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Juventus to WinBet365 guide price · model 75%
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
Juventus Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickJuventus to WinBet365 guide price · Model 75% vs implied 83% · edge -8.3 pts
1.2
Check odds @ 1.2
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Juventus Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 78%
1.1
Check odds @ 1.1
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 3.5 CardsBetfred guide price
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Over 8.5 CornersBetUK guide price
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Juventus to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Juventus-
Avg goals scored
NEC Nijmegen-
Juventus-
Avg goals conceded
NEC Nijmegen-
Juventus-
BTTS rate
NEC Nijmegen-
Juventus-
Over 2.5 goals
NEC Nijmegen-
Best odds for this sectionUnder 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 48% vs implied 33% · edge +15 pts
3
Check odds @ 3
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BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 68%
1.12
Check odds @ 1.12
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 32%
2
Check odds @ 2
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Juventus Over 2.5
-NEC Nijmegen Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Juventus have scored six goals in four matches and face an NEC side conceding 15 goals in six games.

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