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Israel crestIsrael
v
Rep. Of Ireland crestRep. Of Ireland

UEFA Nations League | Sun 27 Sep, 19:45

Israel v Rep. Of Ireland Stats

Data last updated: Sat 26 Sep 2026, 08:02 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This UEFA Nations League clash features Israel hosting Ireland in a fixture where both sides will seek to assert themselves after slow starts in the group. Israel's aggressive approach has led to high-scoring games, while Ireland's more cautious style has limited their goal output so far. Tactical balance and defensive vulnerabilities on both sides suggest an open contest with chances at both ends, setting the stage for a potentially goal-filled encounter under moderate pressure to secure early points in the group.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Israel has scored and conceded in 100% of recent matches, showing attacking intent and defensive exposure.
  • Ireland has struggled to score but also concedes regularly, indicating potential for both teams to find the net.
  • Israel averages 5 shots per game with 1.6 on target from key attacker S. Farhi, highlighting offensive threat.
  • Parrott contributes with over one shot per game, supporting Ireland's attacking chances.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model estimates a 66.7% chance of both teams scoring, supported by Israel's consistent BTTS record and attacking output led by S. Ireland's defensive record and shot attempts suggest vulnerability at the back, increasing the likelihood of conceding. The current of 1.73 offer positive value against the 57.8% implied chance, making this a strong football read for BTTS. Both teams' tactical approaches and recent form data align with an open game featuring goals at both ends.

Israel BTTS Rate100% recent matches
Strong positive
Ireland Defensive RecordConceded in recent games
Positive
Key Player ThreatS. Farhi 1.61 shots on target per 90
Strong positive
Odds Value Edge66.7% model chance vs 57.8% implied (+8.9 pts)
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown defensive frailties and attacking intent, especially Israel with their high shot volume and BTTS record. Ireland's cautious approach may limit their scoring chances, but defensive lapses make a goal for both sides plausible. This bet balances tactical openness with recent data, making BTTS a sensible selection for this Nations League fixture.

Main risk

Ireland's biggest problem in Pristina was not simply losing but how little they created.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“Israel's attacking threat combined with Ireland's defensive lapses creates a strong scenario for goals at both ends, making BTTS a compelling angle here.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Israel has scored and conceded in 100% of recent matches, showing attacking intent and defensive exposure.

Ireland has struggled to score but also concedes regularly, indicating potential for both teams to find the net.

Israel averages 5 shots per game with 1.6 on target from key attacker S. Farhi, highlighting offensive threat.

Parrott contributes with over one shot per game, supporting Ireland's attacking chances.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last five matches, Israel has seen 100% of games exceed 2.5 goals, indicating a high-tempo, open style conducive to multiple goals.
  • Ireland's matches have been lower scoring, but the combined trend suggests a match with several goals is plausible, aligning with the BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals betting angles.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Israel1
Avg goals scored
Rep. Of Ireland0
Israel3
Avg goals conceded
Rep. Of Ireland1
Israel100%
BTTS rate
Rep. Of Ireland0%
Israel100%
Over 2.5 goals
Rep. Of Ireland0%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 58% · edge +8.9 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.28
Check odds @ 1.28
Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 32%
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
BTTS NoBetMGM guide price · model 37%
2
Check odds @ 2
Israel's recent matches have all featured both teams scoring, reflecting an open style and defensive gaps. Ireland, while less prolific offensively, concedes regularly, increasing BTTS chances. The combination of Israel's attacking pressure and Ireland's defensive vulnerabilities supports a high probability of goals from both sides in this fixture.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

more UEFA Nations League analysisfull betting preview for Israel v Irelandfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 58% · edge +8.9 pts
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
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Rep. Of Ireland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Rep. Of Ireland to WinBetUK guide price · model 40%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Israel to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Israel Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
The 66.7% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 57.8% implied by the current price (+8.9 pts). Israel show a 100% BTTS rate and Ireland show a 0% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market. Ireland's broader competitive record shows a higher goal average and frequent high-scoring away games.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Israel

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
24 Sep 2026A Austria1-3

Rep. Of Ireland

L
Last 50W 0D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 1L
24 Sep 2026A Kosovo0-1
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 69% vs implied 71% · edge -2.8 pts
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
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Rep. Of Ireland Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.95
Check odds @ 1.95
Home / DrawBetfred guide price · model 60%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Rep. Of Ireland to WinBetUK guide price · model 40%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Israel to WinBet365 guide price · model 31%
3.1
Check odds @ 3.1
DrawBetfred guide price · model 28%
3.25
Check odds @ 3.25
Israel Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
1.85
Check odds @ 1.85
Israel's recent form shows a pattern of scoring and conceding in all matches, reinforcing the BTTS trend. Ireland's form is less goal-rich but includes conceding goals regularly, which aligns with the expectation of both teams scoring. This recent output data supports the likelihood of goals at both ends in the upcoming match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%Israel Over 2.5
0%Rep. Of Ireland Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
Over the last five matches, Israel has seen 100% of games exceed 2.5 goals, indicating a high-tempo, open style conducive to multiple goals. Ireland's matches have been lower scoring, but the combined trend suggests a match with several goals is plausible, aligning with the BTTS and Over 2.5 Goals betting angles.

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