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Inter Turku II crestInter Turku II
v
TPV crestTPV

Ykkönen | Sun 20 Sep, 16:00

Inter Turku II v TPV Stats

Data last updated: Sat 19 Sep 2026, 08:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

This Ykkönen clash features Inter Turku II hosting TPV in a fixture where TPV holds a clear recent form advantage, having collected 8 points recently compared to Inter Turku II's 0. TPV's attack has been more productive, averaging 1.4 goals per game, while their defense concedes fewer goals (1.2) than Inter Turku II (1.8). Both teams sit near the bottom of the table, but TPV's higher points tally and more balanced form suggest they approach this match with momentum and a tactical edge.

BT4Y match pick

TPV to Win

  • TPV has earned 8 points recently; Inter Turku II has none in the same period
  • TPV averages 1.4 goals per game, outperforming Inter Turku II's 0.6
  • TPV concedes fewer goals per match (1.2) than Inter Turku II (1.8)
  • TPV ranks 9th with 27 points; Inter Turku II is 10th with 20 points
  • TPV's recent form and defensive solidity underpin in an away win

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model assigns a 70% chance to TPV winning, reflecting their superior recent form and more effective attack and defense balance. The of 2.88 offer significant value compared to the implied 34.7% chance, indicating a strong betting opportunity. TPV's ability to score more and concede less than Inter Turku II supports the model's . The data quality is solid, with no limitations affecting the reliability of these trends.

Recent FormTPV has 8 points vs. 0 for Inter Turku II
Strong positive
Attack EfficiencyTPV averages 1.4 goals per game
Positive
Defensive RecordTPV concedes 1.2 goals per game
Positive
Value Edge35.3% positive edge at 2.88 odds
Strong positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

TPV's recent form and balanced attack-defense profile make them the likely winners in this matchup. Their ability to convert chances and maintain defensive discipline contrasts with Inter Turku II's struggles, providing a tactical and statistical basis for backing an away victory.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“TPV's consistent scoring and tighter defense give them a clear edge over Inter Turku II, whose recent form and goal concession rates suggest vulnerability. This combination makes TPV a compelling pick for the win.”

Key Data Signals

TPV to Win evidence

TPV has earned 8 points recently; Inter Turku II has none in the same period

TPV averages 1.4 goals per game, outperforming Inter Turku II's 0.6

TPV concedes fewer goals per match (1.2) than Inter Turku II (1.8)

TPV ranks 9th with 27 points; Inter Turku II is 10th with 20 points

What To Watch In The Data

TPV to Win notes

  • The last five head-to-head matches have averaged 3.6 goals, suggesting a moderately open game with goal opportunities for both sides.
  • This trend supports the potential for a decisive result, aligning with TPV's stronger offensive and defensive metrics.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickTPV to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 32% vs implied 35% · edge -3.1 pts
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
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TPV Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
The current of 2.88 for a TPV win reflect a strong value opportunity, as the model estimates a 70% chance of victory. This discrepancy between implied and model probabilities highlights a favorable pricing environment for backing TPV, with no warnings on price sensitivity.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

-Inter Turku II Over 2.5
-TPV Over 2.5
-H2H avg goals
The last five head-to-head matches have averaged 3.6 goals, suggesting a moderately open game with goal opportunities for both sides. This trend supports the potential for a decisive result, aligning with TPV's stronger offensive and defensive metrics.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Inter Turku II-
Avg goals scored
TPV-
Inter Turku II-
Avg goals conceded
TPV-
Inter Turku II-
BTTS rate
TPV-
Inter Turku II-
Over 2.5 goals
TPV-
Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBetMGM guide price · Model 44% vs implied 29% · edge +15 pts
3.4
Check odds @ 3.4
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Under 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 44%
3.5
Check odds @ 3.5
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 68%
1.08
Check odds @ 1.08
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 32%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Goals and BTTS trends show TPV averaging 1.4 goals per game with a 60% BTTS rate, while Inter Turku II averages 0.6 goals with a 40% BTTS rate. This suggests TPV is more likely to score, but the overall lower scoring environment and moderate BTTS rates indicate a match with some goal threat but not necessarily high scoring.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Inter Turku II

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for Inter Turku II yet.

TPV

Last 50W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 100W 0D 0L

No recent match sample is available for TPV yet.

Market aligned with main pickTPV to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 32% vs implied 35% · edge -3.1 pts
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Load more odds for this section
Away / DrawBetfred guide price · model 54%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
TPV Draw No BetBetfred guide price · model 42%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
TPV's recent form is markedly superior, earning 8 points compared to Inter Turku II's zero in the same timeframe. This momentum reflects better tactical execution and , which should translate into a competitive advantage in this match.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

0Inter Turku II wins
0Draws
0TPV wins
Market aligned with main pickTPV to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 32% vs implied 35% · edge -3.1 pts
2.88
Check odds @ 2.88
Load more odds for this section
Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 50%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 50%
1.3
Check odds @ 1.3
The recent five meetings between these teams have produced an average of 3.6 goals per game, indicating a tendency for relatively open contests. While this supports the possibility of goals, it only weakly supports the TPV win pick, as past results have varied and should be considered background context.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
9TPV27237610-8
10Inter Turku II20235513-20
TPV sits just above Inter Turku II in the standings, with 27 points to 20. While both teams are in the lower half, TPV's higher position reflects better overall consistency and competitive edge, adding context to their favored status in this fixture.

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.