IFK Goteborg

Degerfors IF

Allsvenskan | Sun 02 Aug, 13:00

IFK Goteborg v Degerfors IF Stats

Data last updated: Sat 01 Aug 2026, 06:21 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

IFK Goteborg hosts Degerfors IF in a crucial Allsvenskan clash where both teams are battling near the bottom of the table. Goteborg seeks to build on recent European success and a home win against Brommapojkarna, relying on their strong attacking volume but vulnerable defense. Degerfors arrives under pressure after four straight league defeats and a prolonged winless streak, struggling to convert possession into meaningful chances. The match promises a tense battle where Goteborg's offensive firepower meets Degerfors' defensive frailty, setting the stage for an open game with goals at both ends.

BT4Y best bet

IFK Goteborg to Win & Both Teams to Score

Goteborg has won the last four meetings against Degerfors, showing clear psychological and tactical edge.
Goteborg averages 15.7 attempts and 5.1 shots on target per game, scoring 1.5 goals recently.
Goteborg concedes 2.7 goals per match, allowing opponents 13.2 attempts per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.
Degerfors has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches and struggles offensively with only 0.7 goals per game.
Both teams have high BTTS rates recently: Goteborg at 80% and Degerfors at 20%, supporting a goal at each end.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates IFK Goteborg to win with both teams scoring at 44% chance, significantly above the implied market probability of 29.4%, indicating strong value. Goteborg's high attacking volume and scoring consistency contrast with their defensive lapses, which allow Degerfors to find the net despite their poor form. This combination creates a plausible scenario for a home win with goals at both ends. The data quality is solid with no limitations, reinforcing in the pick.

Model Chance44%

Strong positive

Implied Market Chance29.4%

Strong positive

Value Edge14.6%

Strong positive

Goteborg Attack15.7 attempts, 5.1 SOT per game

Strong positive

Goteborg Defense2.7 goals conceded per game

Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

IFK Goteborg's superior attacking firepower and recent head-to-head control make them the likely winners, while their defensive frailty suggests Degerfors will capitalize on chances to score. This dynamic supports a home victory with goals at both ends, reflecting the tactical and form-based realities of both teams.

Main risk

Both sides need improvement, but the emotional temperature is different.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome and goal-scoring dynamics

“Goteborg's blend of attacking intensity and defensive lapses creates a compelling case for a home win combined with both teams scoring, especially given Degerfors' persistent scoring difficulties but opportunistic tendencies.”

Key Data Signals

IFK Goteborg to Win & Both Teams to Score evidence

Goteborg has won the last four meetings against Degerfors, showing clear psychological and tactical edge.

Goteborg averages 15.7 attempts and 5.1 shots on target per game, scoring 1.5 goals recently.

Goteborg concedes 2.7 goals per match, allowing opponents 13.2 attempts per game, indicating defensive vulnerabilities.

Degerfors has failed to keep a clean sheet in their last five matches and struggles offensively with only 0.7 goals per game.

What To Watch In The Data

IFK Goteborg to Win & Both Teams to Score notes

In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 3.7, indicating a trend towards higher-scoring encounters.
Goteborg's recent matches have a 100% rate of over 2.5 goals, while Degerfors have a 40% rate.
This trend supports an expectation of multiple goals and an open tempo, consistent with the combined win and both teams to score selection.

Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

IFK Goteborg6.2

Avg corners for

Degerfors IF4.8

IFK Goteborg12.2

Avg total corners

Degerfors IF9.2

IFK Goteborg1.8

Avg yellow cards

Degerfors IF1.8

IFK Goteborg17.4

Avg shots

Degerfors IF10.4

Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBet365 guide price · Model 61% vs implied 65% · edge -4 pts

1.53

Check odds @ 1.53

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Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 67%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price

1.83

Check odds @ 1.83

Goteborg averages 6.2 corners and 17.4 shots per game, indicating sustained attacking pressure and territorial control. Degerfors, with 4.5 corners and 9.5 shots, show less offensive threat but still create set-piece opportunities. Card averages are moderate, with Goteborg at 1.8 yellows and Degerfors at 0.75, suggesting a competitive but not overly aggressive match.

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IFK Goteborg v Degerfors IF prediction corners trends hub football cards angles player stats betting angles stats dashboard football analysis hub prediction centre best bets research acca fixture filtering

Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

IFK Goteborg1.8

Avg goals scored

Degerfors IF0.4

IFK Goteborg3

Avg goals conceded

Degerfors IF2

IFK Goteborg80%

BTTS rate

Degerfors IF20%

IFK Goteborg100%

Over 2.5 goals

Degerfors IF40%

Best odds for this sectionOver 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · Model 69% vs implied 56% · edge +13.3 pts

1.8

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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 87%

1.22

Check odds @ 1.22

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 51%

2.75

Check odds @ 2.75

BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%

Check odds @ 2

Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%

Check odds @ 2

Both teams have shown tendencies to score and concede recently, with Goteborg averaging 1.8 goals for and 3 conceded, and Degerfors 0.4 goals for and 2 against in recent matches. Goteborg's high shot volume and Degerfors' defensive frailty suggest an open game with goals at both ends, supporting the BTTS Yes route.

Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickIFK Goteborg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +11.7 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

IFK Goteborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 77%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 67%

1.33

Check odds @ 1.33

The market price of 3.4 for Goteborg to win with both teams scoring offers clear value compared to the model's 44% chance. This reflects the plausible scenario where Goteborg's attacking strength overcomes Degerfors, while defensive gaps allow the visitors to score. The represent a positive , encouraging a standard stake without caution.

Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

IFK Goteborg

LWLLW

Last 52W 0D 3L

Last 5 record

Last 103W 2D 5L

26 Jul 2026A Sirius1-4

17 Jul 2026H IF Brommapojkarna2-1

12 Jul 2026A Malmo FF0-4

05 Jul 2026H AIK Stockholm1-2

31 May 2026A Vasteras SK FK5-4

Degerfors IF

LLLLD

Last 50W 1D 4L

Last 5 record

Last 100W 4D 6L

25 Jul 2026H Djurgardens IF0-1

19 Jul 2026A Hammarby FF0-4

12 Jul 2026A Vasteras SK FK0-2

04 Jul 2026H Malmo FF0-1

31 May 2026H IF Brommapojkarna2-2

Market aligned with main pickIFK Goteborg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +11.7 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

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IFK Goteborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 77%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 86%

1.18

Check odds @ 1.18

Goteborg has collected 6 points in recent matches, scoring 1.8 goals per game but conceding 3, reflecting their attacking potency and defensive vulnerability. Degerfors have managed only 1 point recently, scoring 0.4 goals and conceding 2, highlighting offensive struggles and defensive issues. This contrast underpins the expectation of a Goteborg win with goals at both ends.

Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

8IFK Goteborg wins

0Draws

2Degerfors IF wins

08 Mar 2026IFK Goteborg v Degerfors IF3-1

04 Aug 2025IFK Goteborg v Degerfors IF3-0

19 May 2025Degerfors IF v IFK Goteborg1-3

19 Aug 2023Degerfors IF v IFK Goteborg1-2

04 May 2023IFK Goteborg v Degerfors IF6-0

20 Jan 2023IFK Goteborg v Degerfors IF4-1

Market aligned with main pickIFK Goteborg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +11.7 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

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Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 69%

1.8

Check odds @ 1.8

BTTS YesBetMGM guide price · model 67%

1.75

Check odds @ 1.75

Goteborg has dominated recent head-to-head encounters, winning six of the last eight and the last four consecutively, including a 3-0 home victory. This record provides a psychological edge and tactical , although Degerfors' defensive lapses and Goteborg's attacking consistency are more decisive factors than past results alone.

Season team stats

Allsvenskan

IFK Goteborg14

Played

Degerfors IF14

IFK Goteborg1.2

Avg goals for

Degerfors IF0.9

IFK Goteborg2.4

Avg goals against

Degerfors IF1.7

IFK Goteborg0

Clean sheets

Degerfors IF1

Market aligned with main pickIFK Goteborg to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 58% · edge +11.7 pts

1.73

Check odds @ 1.73

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IFK Goteborg Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 77%

1.4

Check odds @ 1.4

Over the season, Goteborg's attack has been productive with 1.5 goals per game but offset by a porous defense conceding 2.7 goals per match. Degerfors' offensive output is limited, averaging 0.7 goals per game, while their defense concedes heavily. This imbalance suggests Goteborg will dominate possession and chances but remain vulnerable to counterattacks, aligning with the combined win and BTTS pick.

League standings snapshot

Current table context.

Pos	Team	Pts	P	W	D	L	GD
13	IFK Goteborg	16	15	4	4	7	-14
15	Degerfors IF	10	15	2	4	9	-14

Goteborg sits 13th with 13 points, narrowly ahead of 14th-placed Degerfors with 10 points. The tight table margin adds pressure for Goteborg to secure a home win to create breathing room, while Degerfors seek to close the gap. The stakes heighten the likelihood of an open, competitive match with both sides motivated to attack and score.

Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

100%IFK Goteborg Over 2.5

40%Degerfors IF Over 2.5

3.7H2H avg goals

In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 3.7, indicating a trend towards higher-scoring encounters. Goteborg's recent matches have a 100% rate of over 2.5 goals, while Degerfors have a 40% rate. This trend supports an expectation of multiple goals and an open tempo, consistent with the combined win and both teams to score selection.

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Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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Football Stats Hub

IFK Goteborg v Degerfors IF Stats

Match Report

IFK Goteborg to Win & Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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IFK Goteborg

Degerfors IF

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IFK Goteborg v Degerfors IF Stats

Match Report

IFK Goteborg to Win & Both Teams to Score

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Verdict

Quote from Expert

Key Data Signals

What To Watch In The Data

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IFK Goteborg

Degerfors IF

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