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IF Brommapojkarna crestIF Brommapojkarna
v
Sirius crestSirius

Allsvenskan | Sun 12 Jul, 15:30

IF Brommapojkarna v Sirius Stats

Data last updated: Sat 11 Jul 2026, 04:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Sirius leads the Allsvenskan table and visits IF Brommapojkarna, who sit mid-table with a more modest recent run. Sirius has been prolific in attack, averaging nearly three goals per game recently, while Brommapojkarna's scoring has been limited. The visitors' offensive and league position suggest they will push for a win, though Brommapojkarna's home resilience and tactical setup could offer some resistance. This match presents a clear clash between Sirius's attacking momentum and Brommapojkarna's defensive efforts, with Sirius expected to maintain their strong form on the road.

BT4Y best bet

Sirius to Win

  • Sirius tops the league with 29 points, showing consistent winning form.
  • Sirius averages 2.8 goals per game recently, indicating strong attacking output.
  • Brommapojkarna scores 1.2 goals per game and concedes at the same rate, showing balanced but modest form.
  • Sirius has a high Over 2.5 goals rate of 80%, suggesting open, high-scoring matches.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model favors Sirius to win based on their superior recent form, league standing, and attacking statistics. Sirius averages significantly more goals and shots on target per game than Brommapojkarna, reflecting offensive control. Their strong away performances and higher points tally further support the likelihood of an away victory. No price warning is needed as the reflect a fair chance, and the data quality is solid with comprehensive stats for both teams.

Recent formSirius has 13 points vs. Brommapojkarna's 8 in recent matches
Strong positive
Goal scoringSirius averages 2.8 goals per game, Brommapojkarna 1.2
Strong positive
Shots and chancesSirius averages 16.2 shots and 6.8 shots on target per game
Strong positive
League positionSirius ranks 1st, Brommapojkarna 9th
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Sirius's attacking firepower and league leadership make them the clear favorite to win this match. Their ability to create and convert chances contrasts with Brommapojkarna's more restrained offensive output. The data supports Sirius maintaining their winning momentum on the road, making them the logical choice for the match outcome.

Main risk

The main risk is that Brommapojkarna's home defense and tactical discipline could limit Sirius's scoring chances, potentially leading to a closer contest than expected.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Match outcome

“Sirius's high volume of quality shots and clinical finishing set them apart in this fixture, making their win the most probable outcome given the current form and league context.”

Key Data Signals

Sirius to Win evidence

Sirius tops the league with 29 points, showing consistent winning form.

Sirius averages 2.8 goals per game recently, indicating strong attacking output.

Brommapojkarna scores 1.2 goals per game and concedes at the same rate, showing balanced but modest form.

Sirius has a high Over 2.5 goals rate of 80%, suggesting open, high-scoring matches.

What To Watch In The Data

Sirius to Win notes

  • In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 4, supporting a trend toward high-scoring matches.
  • Sirius's recent 80% Over 2.5 goals rate and Brommapojkarna's 40% rate suggest a likely open game with multiple goals, driven by Sirius's attacking tempo and Brommapojkarna's defensive vulnerabilities.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

IF Brommapojkarna5.6
Avg corners for
Sirius5.2
IF Brommapojkarna10
Avg total corners
Sirius10.6
IF Brommapojkarna1.4
Avg yellow cards
Sirius1.4
IF Brommapojkarna11
Avg shots
Sirius16.2
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 62% · edge +7.3 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
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Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Sirius averages slightly fewer corners than Brommapojkarna but compensates with a higher shot volume and shots on target, reflecting more direct attacking play. Both teams have similar yellow card averages, indicating a balanced disciplinary profile that should not heavily disrupt the flow or tempo of the match.

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Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

IF Brommapojkarna1.2
Avg goals scored
Sirius2.8
IF Brommapojkarna1.2
Avg goals conceded
Sirius1.4
IF Brommapojkarna60%
BTTS rate
Sirius60%
IF Brommapojkarna40%
Over 2.5 goals
Sirius80%
Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 64% · edge +9.6 pts
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
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Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
1.17
Check odds @ 1.17
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%
2.4
Check odds @ 2.4
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
2.25
Check odds @ 2.25
Both teams have a 60% BTTS rate, but Sirius's matches feature a high 80% Over 2.5 goals rate, indicating open games with multiple scoring opportunities. Brommapojkarna's lower scoring and conceding rates suggest they may struggle to keep the game tight, supporting a goal-rich encounter with both teams likely to score.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

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Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Sirius Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
The Sirius to Win market aligns well with the model's 70% , reflecting a fair price without significant or warning. The appear balanced given Sirius's league control and recent attacking form, making this a sensible selection rather than a speculative value bet.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

IF Brommapojkarna

DDWWL
Last 52W 2D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 3D 3L
06 Jul 2026H Gais1-1
31 May 2026A Degerfors IF2-2
22 May 2026A Djurgardens IF2-1
17 May 2026H Kalmar FF1-0
08 May 2026A IF Elfsborg0-2

Sirius

DWWWW
Last 54W 1D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 108W 2D 0L
03 Jul 2026H Mjallby AIF4-4
30 May 2026A AIK Stockholm3-0
24 May 2026H Gais2-1
18 May 2026A Djurgardens IF3-2
11 May 2026H Orgryte IS2-0
Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Sirius Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Sirius's recent form is impressive, accumulating 13 points with a potent attack averaging 2.8 goals per game. Brommapojkarna's 8 points and lower scoring rate reflect a less consistent run. This contrast in momentum favors Sirius to continue their winning ways in this fixture.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

2IF Brommapojkarna wins
1Draws
7Sirius wins
17 Aug 2025IF Brommapojkarna v Sirius2-4
13 Apr 2025Sirius v IF Brommapojkarna0-3
29 Jan 2025Sirius v IF Brommapojkarna2-1
15 Sep 2024Sirius v IF Brommapojkarna3-2
24 Apr 2024IF Brommapojkarna v Sirius1-1
21 Oct 2023Sirius v IF Brommapojkarna3-2
Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 73%
1.57
Check odds @ 1.57
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 71%
1.53
Check odds @ 1.53
The head-to-head sample of 10 matches shows an average of 4 goals per game, indicating historically open contests. While previous meetings provide context, current form and league position give stronger guidance, with Sirius's recent control suggesting they are favored to prevail again.
Season team stats

Allsvenskan

IF Brommapojkarna11
Played
Sirius11
IF Brommapojkarna1.5
Avg goals for
Sirius2.8
IF Brommapojkarna1.5
Avg goals against
Sirius1.3
IF Brommapojkarna1
Clean sheets
Sirius4
Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
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Sirius Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Over the season, Sirius leads with a strong attacking record and solid defense, reflected in their top league position. Brommapojkarna's balanced but less prolific stats place them mid-table, reinforcing the expectation that Sirius's superior season-long performance will translate into a win here.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
1Sirius291192017
10IF Brommapojkarna1611443-1
Sirius sits comfortably at the top of the Allsvenskan table with 29 points, indicating strong championship credentials. Brommapojkarna's 9th place and 16 points show mid-table stability but limited title challenge, suggesting Sirius has the upper hand in motivation and quality for this match.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%IF Brommapojkarna Over 2.5
80%Sirius Over 2.5
4H2H avg goals
In the last 10 meetings, the average goals per game is 4, supporting a trend toward high-scoring matches. Sirius's recent 80% Over 2.5 goals rate and Brommapojkarna's 40% rate suggest a likely open game with multiple goals, driven by Sirius's attacking tempo and Brommapojkarna's defensive vulnerabilities.

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Fixture links

Prediction context

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