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IF Brommapojkarna crestIF Brommapojkarna
v
Sirius crestSirius

Allsvenskan | Sun 12 Jul, 15:30

IF Brommapojkarna v Sirius Stats

Data last updated: Thu 06 Aug 2026, 03:08 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

IF Brommapojkarna face Sirius in Allsvenskan on Sun 12 Jul, 15:30. IF Brommapojkarna come in with 8 recent points and 1.2 goals per match, while Sirius have 13 points and 2.8 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Sirius to Win

  • At 1.67, Sirius to Win implies roughly 60%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 70%.
  • Sirius have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 8 for IF Brommapojkarna.
  • IF Brommapojkarna have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Sirius to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • IF Brommapojkarna sit 12 in the table, while Sirius sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 70% for Sirius to Win sits against roughly 60% implied by the current price. Sirius have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 8 for IF Brommapojkarna.

Model chance vs price70% model chance against roughly 60% implied
Positive
Sirius have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points.Visible data support
Positive
IF Brommapojkarna have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Sirius Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Sirius have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 8 for IF Brommapojkarna. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Sirius to Win evidence

Sirius have the stronger recent points return, taking 13 points from the sample compared with 8 for IF Brommapojkarna.

IF Brommapojkarna have the cleaner defensive sample at 1.2 conceded per match, which helps the Sirius Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

IF Brommapojkarna sit 12 in the table, while Sirius sit 1, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Sirius to Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    IF Brommapojkarna5.6
    Avg corners for
    Sirius5.2
    IF Brommapojkarna10
    Avg total corners
    Sirius10.6
    IF Brommapojkarna1.4
    Avg yellow cards
    Sirius1.4
    IF Brommapojkarna11
    Avg shots
    Sirius16.2
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 62% · edge +7.3 pts
    1.62
    Check odds @ 1.62
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    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Over 10.5 CornersBetfred guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.

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    Useful next reads

    corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesstats dashboardfootball analysis hubprediction centrebest bets researchacca fixture filtering
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    IF Brommapojkarna1.2
    Avg goals scored
    Sirius2.8
    IF Brommapojkarna1.2
    Avg goals conceded
    Sirius1.4
    IF Brommapojkarna60%
    BTTS rate
    Sirius60%
    IF Brommapojkarna40%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Sirius80%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBetfred guide price · Model 73% vs implied 64% · edge +9.6 pts
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 88%
    1.17
    Check odds @ 1.17
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 71%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 33%
    2.4
    Check odds @ 2.4
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 31%
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 73%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Sirius Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 71%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    Over 8.5 CornersBetMGM guide price · model 75%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Sirius to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    IF Brommapojkarna

    DDWWL
    Last 52W 2D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 3D 3L
    06 Jul 2026H Gais1-1
    31 May 2026A Degerfors IF2-2
    22 May 2026A Djurgardens IF2-1
    17 May 2026H Kalmar FF1-0
    08 May 2026A IF Elfsborg0-2

    Sirius

    DWWWW
    Last 54W 1D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 108W 2D 0L
    03 Jul 2026H Mjallby AIF4-4
    30 May 2026A AIK Stockholm3-0
    24 May 2026H Gais2-1
    18 May 2026A Djurgardens IF3-2
    11 May 2026H Orgryte IS2-0
    Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Sirius Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 84%
    1.18
    Check odds @ 1.18
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    2IF Brommapojkarna wins
    1Draws
    7Sirius wins
    17 Aug 2025IF Brommapojkarna v Sirius2-4
    13 Apr 2025Sirius v IF Brommapojkarna0-3
    29 Jan 2025Sirius v IF Brommapojkarna2-1
    15 Sep 2024Sirius v IF Brommapojkarna3-2
    24 Apr 2024IF Brommapojkarna v Sirius1-1
    21 Oct 2023Sirius v IF Brommapojkarna3-2
    Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 73%
    1.57
    Check odds @ 1.57
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 71%
    1.53
    Check odds @ 1.53
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Sirius to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Allsvenskan

    IF Brommapojkarna15
    Played
    Sirius15
    IF Brommapojkarna1.3
    Avg goals for
    Sirius2.8
    IF Brommapojkarna1.6
    Avg goals against
    Sirius1.1
    IF Brommapojkarna1
    Clean sheets
    Sirius5
    Market aligned with main pickSirius to WinBet365 guide price · Model 70% vs implied 60% · edge +10.1 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Load more odds for this section
    Sirius Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 76%
    1.4
    Check odds @ 1.4
    Season data supports Sirius to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    1Sirius4115132025
    12IF Brommapojkarna1715456-4
    IF Brommapojkarna sit in position 12, while Sirius sit in position 1, so table pressure belongs in the Sirius to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    40%IF Brommapojkarna Over 2.5
    80%Sirius Over 2.5
    4H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: IF Brommapojkarna sit at 40% and Sirius sit at 80% with the H2H average at 4 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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    Betting context

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