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Houston Dynamo crestHouston Dynamo
v
Sporting Kansas City crestSporting Kansas City

Major League Soccer | Sun 27 Sep, 01:30

Houston Dynamo v Sporting Kansas City Stats

Data last updated: Sat 26 Sep 2026, 07:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Houston Dynamo face Sporting Kansas City in a Major League Soccer clash where both teams have contrasting offensive and defensive profiles. Houston Dynamo, sitting second in the standings, have struggled to score consistently, averaging just 0.8 goals per game recently, while Sporting Kansas City, near the bottom, have been more prolific but also leaky at the back, conceding 2.8 goals per game. The match promises open play with Sporting Kansas City's attacking intent and Houston's need to capitalize at home, setting up a contest where both sides are likely to find the net.

BT4Y best bet

Both Teams to Score

  • Sporting Kansas City averages 2 goals per game and concedes 2.8, indicating open matches.
  • Houston Dynamo have a 40% BTTS rate recently, Sporting Kansas City 80%, supporting goals at both ends.
  • Both teams average around 4-4.6 corners per game, showing moderate attacking pressure.
  • Sporting Kansas City's André Luiz is a key attacking threat with over 3 shots and 2.7 shots on target per 90 minutes.
  • Houston Dynamo's Guilherme draws multiple fouls and contributes to attacking momentum.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Both Teams to Score at 66.7% chance, above the implied market chance of 58.8%, indicating positive value. Sporting Kansas City's high goals conceded and scoring rates, combined with Houston Dynamo's home form and attacking players like Guilherme, suggest both sides have opportunities to score. The recent form data shows Sporting Kansas City has an 80% BTTS rate, reinforcing the likelihood of goals at both ends. No data limitations affect in this pick.

Model Chance66.7% model chance vs 58.8% implied (+7.9 pts)
Strong positive
Implied Market Chance66.7% model chance vs 58.8% implied (+7.9 pts)
Positive
Sporting Kansas City BTTS Rate80%
Strong positive
Houston Dynamo BTTS Rate40%
Neutral
Player Attacking ThreatsAndré Luiz & Guilherme key contributors
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Both teams have shown attacking intent and defensive vulnerabilities, especially Sporting Kansas City conceding nearly three goals per game. Houston Dynamo's home advantage and key attackers like Guilherme increase the chance of goals at both ends. This match setup favors Both Teams to Score as a tactical and statistical outcome.

Main risk

Clean-sheet strength on one side can quickly weaken the shared-scoring case.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · BTTS rationale

“Sporting Kansas City's offensive firepower combined with Houston Dynamo's home attacking efforts make Both Teams to Score a compelling angle, reflecting the open nature of recent matches between sides with contrasting defensive records.”

Key Data Signals

Both Teams to Score evidence

Sporting Kansas City averages 2 goals per game and concedes 2.8, indicating open matches.

Houston Dynamo have a 40% BTTS rate recently, Sporting Kansas City 80%, supporting goals at both ends.

Both teams average around 4-4.6 corners per game, showing moderate attacking pressure.

Sporting Kansas City's André Luiz is a key attacking threat with over 3 shots and 2.7 shots on target per 90 minutes.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams to Score notes

  • Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2, indicating moderate scoring.
  • However, recent form shows a trend towards higher scoring games, especially from Sporting Kansas City.
  • The tempo and attacking intent from both sides suggest Over 2.5 Goals is plausible, supporting the BTTS market through increased goal opportunities and open play.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Houston Dynamo0.8
Avg goals scored
Sporting Kansas City2
Houston Dynamo0.8
Avg goals conceded
Sporting Kansas City2.8
Houston Dynamo40%
BTTS rate
Sporting Kansas City80%
Houston Dynamo40%
Over 2.5 goals
Sporting Kansas City100%
Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 59% · edge +7.9 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 49%
2.3
Check odds @ 2.3
Over 1.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 73%
1.18
Check odds @ 1.18
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 55%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
BTTS NoBetfred guide price · model 37%
2.05
Check odds @ 2.05
Recent goal trends show Sporting Kansas City averaging 2 goals scored and 2.8 conceded per game, highlighting open matches. Houston Dynamo's lower scoring and conceding rates suggest a more balanced but still goal-involved profile. Sporting Kansas City's 80% BTTS rate versus Houston's 40% reflects a strong tendency for both teams to find the net, supporting the BTTS pick.
Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 59% · edge +7.9 pts
1.7
Check odds @ 1.7
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Sporting Kansas City Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 58%
1.8
Check odds @ 1.8
Over 3.5 CardsBetMGM guide price · model 59%
1.73
Check odds @ 1.73
Sporting Kansas City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Over 2.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 55%
1.6
Check odds @ 1.6
The 66.7% for Both Teams to Score sits against roughly 58.8% implied by the current price (+7.9 pts). Houston Dynamo show a 40% BTTS rate and Sporting Kansas City show a 80% BTTS rate, which is the right starting point for this market.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Houston Dynamo

DLWDD
Last 51W 3D 1L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 3D 2L
20 Sep 2026H FC Cincinnati2-2
13 Sep 2026A San Jose Earthquakes0-1
10 Sep 2026H Real Salt Lake2-1
06 Sep 2026A Charlotte0-0
30 Aug 2026H San Jose Earthquakes0-0

Sporting Kansas City

LWLLL
Last 51W 0D 4L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 1D 7L
20 Sep 2026H Philadelphia Union3-4
13 Sep 2026H Los Angeles FC3-1
06 Sep 2026A FC Dallas3-4
30 Aug 2026H Vancouver Whitecaps0-3
24 Aug 2026A Atlanta United FC1-2
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBetfred guide price · Model 53% vs implied 40% · edge +13.2 pts
2.5
Check odds @ 2.5
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Sporting Kansas City Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 42%
3.55
Check odds @ 3.55
Home / DrawBetMGM guide price · model 82%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
Sporting Kansas City to WinBetMGM guide price · model 27%
5.75
Check odds @ 5.75
DrawBetMGM guide price · model 26%
4.5
Check odds @ 4.5
Houston Dynamo Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 66%
1.27
Check odds @ 1.27
Houston Dynamo to WinBetUK guide price · model 57%
1.5
Check odds @ 1.5
Recent form data shows Sporting Kansas City scoring and conceding heavily, with a 100% over 2.5 goals rate and 80% BTTS rate, indicating open games. Houston Dynamo's form is more restrained, with 0.8 goals scored and conceded per game and a 40% BTTS rate. The contrast suggests Sporting Kansas City's attacking style will challenge Houston's defense, supporting goals at both ends.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

40%Houston Dynamo Over 2.5
100%Sporting Kansas City Over 2.5
2H2H avg goals
Over the last ten head-to-head matches, the average goals per game is 2, indicating moderate scoring. However, recent form shows a trend towards higher scoring games, especially from Sporting Kansas City. The tempo and attacking intent from both sides suggest Over 2.5 Goals is plausible, supporting the BTTS market through increased goal opportunities and open play.

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