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Hibernian crestHibernian
v
Shkendija crestShkendija

UEFA Europa Conference League | Thu 06 Aug, 20:00

Hibernian v Shkendija Stats

Data last updated: Wed 26 Aug 2026, 21:12 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Hibernian face Shkendija in UEFA Europa Conference League on Thu 06 Aug, 20:00. For David Gray’s team, the priority is clear: use home advantage, establish control and travel to North Macedonia with something meaningful to protect.

BT4Y match pick

Hibernian to win and Both Teams To Score

  • At 5/2, Hibernian to win and Both Teams To Score implies roughly 29%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 27%.
  • A 3-1 scoreline fits the offensive patterns seen in qualifying, with Hibernian's potent frontline and Nathan Lowe's goal average complemented by Shkendija's ability.
  • Shkendija have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Hibernian.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 27% for Hibernian to win and Both Teams To Score sits against roughly 29% implied by the current price. Shkendija have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Hibernian. A 3-1 scoreline fits the offensive patterns seen in qualifying, with Hibernian's potent frontline and Nathan Lowe's goal average complemented by Shkendija's ability.

Model chance vs price27% model chance against roughly 29% implied
Neutral
Shkendija have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points.Visible data support
Positive
A 3-1 scoreline fits the offensive patterns seen in.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Hibernian Win is the preferred angle because a 3-1 scoreline fits the offensive patterns seen in qualifying, with Hibernian's potent frontline and Nathan Lowe's goal average complemented by Shkendija's ability to score away. Shkendija have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Hibernian. That shared experience should give both sides , but it also highlights the danger of allowing this tie to become unnecessarily chaotic.

Main risk

That shared experience should give both sides , but it also highlights the danger of allowing this tie to become unnecessarily chaotic.

Key Data Signals

Hibernian to win and Both Teams To Score evidence

A 3-1 scoreline fits the offensive patterns seen in qualifying, with Hibernian's potent frontline and Nathan Lowe's goal.

Shkendija have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 3 for Hibernian.

Shkendija have the cleaner defensive sample at 0.75 conceded per match, which helps the Hibernian Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

What To Watch In The Data

Hibernian to win and Both Teams To Score notes

    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Hibernian2
    Avg goals scored
    Shkendija2.5
    Hibernian1.5
    Avg goals conceded
    Shkendija0.75
    Hibernian50%
    BTTS rate
    Shkendija50%
    Hibernian50%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Shkendija75%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 63% vs implied 48% · edge +15 pts
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Over 1.5 GoalsBetUK guide price · model 81%
    1.25
    Check odds @ 1.25
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 45%
    3.25
    Check odds @ 3.25
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 42%
    1.95
    Check odds @ 1.95
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickHibernian to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 70% · edge -43.4 pts
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    Hibernian Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.23
    Check odds @ 1.23
    Hibernian to Win is price-sensitive at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Hibernian

    WL
    Last 51W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 101W 0D 1L
    30 Jul 2026H Malisheva4-1
    23 Jul 2026A Malisheva0-2

    Shkendija

    WLWW
    Last 53W 0D 1L
    Last 5 record
    Last 103W 0D 1L
    30 Jul 2026H Bravo3-1
    23 Jul 2026A Bravo1-2
    16 Jul 2026H Europa1-0
    09 Jul 2026A Europa5-0
    Market aligned with main pickHibernian to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 70% · edge -43.4 pts
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Load more odds for this section
    Hibernian Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.23
    Check odds @ 1.23
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
    1.07
    Check odds @ 1.07
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    0Hibernian wins
    0Draws
    0Shkendija wins
    Market aligned with main pickHibernian to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 70% · edge -43.4 pts
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 63%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 63%
    1.85
    Check odds @ 1.85
    There is no strong recent head-to-head sample for Hibernian to Win, which makes current output, injuries and market timing more important than historic meetings.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Season team stats

    UEFA Europa Conference League

    Hibernian5
    Played
    Shkendija6
    Hibernian1.2
    Avg goals for
    Shkendija1.8
    Hibernian0.8
    Avg goals against
    Shkendija0.8
    Hibernian2
    Clean sheets
    Shkendija3
    Market aligned with main pickHibernian to WinBet365 guide price · Model 27% vs implied 70% · edge -43.4 pts
    1.42
    Check odds @ 1.42
    Load more odds for this section
    Hibernian Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 45%
    1.23
    Check odds @ 1.23
    Season data supports Hibernian to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    50%Hibernian Over 2.5
    75%Shkendija Over 2.5
    -H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Hibernian sit at 50% and Shkendija sit at 75%, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Related football research

    Fixture links

    Prediction context

    Hibernian v Shkendija prediction

    Open the full betting preview for the editorial pick, odds context and final selection.

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    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

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