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Hibernian crestHibernian
v
Motherwell crestMotherwell

Premiership | Sun 02 Aug, 16:30

Hibernian v Motherwell Stats

Data last updated: Sat 22 Aug 2026, 23:53 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Hibernian face Motherwell in Premiership on Sun 02 Aug, 16:30. Hibernian lost only three of their 19 home league matches last season, highlighting how difficult they were to defeat at Easter Road. Motherwell have avoided defeat in their last four meetings with Hibernian, recording two victories and two draws.

BT4Y lean · price warning

Both Teams To Score YES

  • Price warning: current odds imply about 64%, above the 43% model chance, so this is a football-led pick rather than a clear value bet; reduce stake or wait for a better price.
  • At 4/7, Both Teams To Score YES implies roughly 64%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 43%.
  • Motherwell may try to keep the opening stages controlled, frustrate the home crowd and allow the hosts’ recent workload to become more noticeable as.
  • Hibernian sit 7 in the table, while Motherwell sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.
Price warning

Both Teams To Score YES is still the main football pick, but the current price is short: the market implies about 64% while the model sits nearer 43% (-20.6 pts). Keep staking reduced or wait for a better price unless final team news strengthens the selection. Better value alternative: BTTS No shows a +5.2 pts edge at 2.05.

Why This Pick Is Price-Sensitive

Football case vs market price

The 43% for Both Teams To Score YES sits against roughly 64% implied by the current price. Hibernian sit 7 in the table, while Motherwell sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. Motherwell may try to keep the opening stages controlled, frustrate the home crowd and allow the hosts’ recent workload to become more noticeable as.

Model chance vs price43% model chance against roughly 64% implied
Negative
Hibernian sit 7 in the table, while Motherwell sit 4.Visible data support
Positive
Motherwell may try to keep the opening stages controlled.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Hibernian Win is the preferred angle because motherwell may try to keep the opening stages controlled, frustrate the home crowd and allow the hosts’ recent workload to become more noticeable as the game develops. Hibernian sit 7 in the table, while Motherwell sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read. Motherwell have controlled this matchup recently, but Hibs have generally been difficult to overcome in Leith.

Main risk

Motherwell have controlled this matchup recently, but Hibs have generally been difficult to overcome in Leith.

Key Data Signals

Both Teams To Score YES evidence

Motherwell may try to keep the opening stages controlled, frustrate the home crowd and allow the hosts’ recent.

Hibernian sit 7 in the table, while Motherwell sit 4, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Both Teams To Score YES notes

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickHibernian to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 44% · edge -1.4 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Hibernian Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Hibernian to Win is fairly priced at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Hibernian-
    Avg goals scored
    Motherwell-
    Hibernian-
    Avg goals conceded
    Motherwell-
    Hibernian-
    BTTS rate
    Motherwell-
    Hibernian-
    Over 2.5 goals
    Motherwell-
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS NoBet365 guide price · Model 54% vs implied 49% · edge +5.2 pts
    2.05
    Check odds @ 2.05
    Load more odds for this section
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 53%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 69%
    1.28
    Check odds @ 1.28
    Over 3.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 33%
    3.4
    Check odds @ 3.4
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    BTTS No is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet; the clean-sheet route needs defensive and away-attacking data to support it.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Hibernian

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Hibernian yet.

    Motherwell

    Last 50W 0D 0L
    Last 5 record
    Last 100W 0D 0L

    No recent match sample is available for Motherwell yet.

    Market aligned with main pickHibernian to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 44% · edge -1.4 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 73%
    1.36
    Check odds @ 1.36
    Hibernian Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    3Hibernian wins
    4Draws
    3Motherwell wins
    16 May 2026Hibernian v Motherwell0-1
    21 Mar 2026Motherwell v Hibernian0-0
    10 Jan 2026Hibernian v Motherwell1-1
    25 Nov 2025Motherwell v Hibernian2-0
    11 Jan 2025Hibernian v Motherwell3-1
    30 Nov 2024Motherwell v Hibernian0-3
    Market aligned with main pickHibernian to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 44% · edge -1.4 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetMGM guide price · model 51%
    1.91
    Check odds @ 1.91
    BTTS YesBetfred guide price · model 50%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Hibernian to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Premiership

    Hibernian2
    Played
    Motherwell2
    Hibernian1.5
    Avg goals for
    Motherwell1
    Hibernian1.5
    Avg goals against
    Motherwell0.5
    Hibernian0
    Clean sheets
    Motherwell1
    Market aligned with main pickHibernian to WinBetMGM guide price · Model 43% vs implied 44% · edge -1.4 pts
    2.25
    Check odds @ 2.25
    Load more odds for this section
    Hibernian Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 54%
    1.7
    Check odds @ 1.7
    Season data supports Hibernian to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    4Motherwell421101
    7Hibernian321010
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    -Hibernian Over 2.5
    -Motherwell Over 2.5
    2.4H2H avg goals
    Motherwell may try to keep the opening stages controlled, frustrate the home crowd and allow the hosts’ recent workload to become more noticeable as the game develops.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.