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Hibernian crestHibernian
v
Falkirk crestFalkirk

Premiership | Sat 13 Mar, 15:00

Hibernian v Falkirk Stats

Data last updated: Mon 09 Nov 2026, 04:23 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Hibernian face Falkirk in Premiership on Sat 13 Mar, 15:00. Six home defeats: Hibs suffered six consecutive home league losses before drawing with Aberdeen. Martin Boyle’s four goals and Callum Wright’s two support Hibs scoring twice, while Falkirk’s repeated late concessions and competitive recent form suggest a close, attacking game.

BT4Y best bet

Is supported by Hibernian’s high shot volume and Falkirk’s defensive fragility, conceding 1

  • At 3/4, Is supported by Hibernian’s high shot volume and Falkirk’s defensive fragility, conceding 1 implies roughly 57%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 63%.
  • Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.
  • The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Hibernian and 60% for Falkirk, so the goals angle is not just a price call.
  • Falkirk are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.6 goals per match, with Hibernian at 1.4.
  • BTTS rates of 60% for Hibernian and 40% for Falkirk show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 63% for Is supported by Hibernian’s high shot volume and Falkirk’s defensive fragility, conceding 1 sits against roughly 57% implied by the current price. The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Hibernian and 60% for Falkirk, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.

Model chance vs price63% model chance against roughly 57% implied
Neutral
The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Hibernian and 60%.Visible data support
Positive
Falkirk are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.6.Visible data support
Positive
Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.Article support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Over that scoring level is the preferred angle because selection: Over 2.5 Goals. The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Hibernian and 60% for Falkirk, so the goals angle is not just a price call. Nevertheless, their inability to convert opportunities remains a concern.

Main risk

Nevertheless, their inability to convert opportunities remains a concern.

Key Data Signals

Is supported by Hibernian’s high shot volume and Falkirk’s defensive fragility, conceding 1 evidence

Selection: Over 2.5 Goals.

The Over 2.5 trend is 60% for Hibernian and 60% for Falkirk, so the goals angle is not just a price call.

Falkirk are carrying more of the scoring load at 2.6 goals per match, with Hibernian at 1.4.

BTTS rates of 60% for Hibernian and 40% for Falkirk show whether the goal expectation is shared or one-sided.

What To Watch In The Data

Is supported by Hibernian’s high shot volume and Falkirk’s defensive fragility, conceding 1 notes

  • Use the last-five and H2H goal samples to judge whether Over 2.5 has a tempo route, not just a historical average.
  • The goal line needs both attacking patterns to create box entries, transitions or set-piece pressure.
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Hibernian1.4
Avg goals scored
Falkirk2.6
Hibernian1.2
Avg goals conceded
Falkirk0.6
Hibernian60%
BTTS rate
Falkirk40%
Hibernian60%
Over 2.5 goals
Falkirk60%

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Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

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Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Hibernian

WDLLL
Last 51W 1D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 102W 2D 6L
07 Nov 2026A Aberdeen4-0
28 Oct 2026A ST Mirren1-1
25 Oct 2026H Celtic1-2
17 Oct 2026H Falkirk1-2
10 Oct 2026A Dundee Utd0-1

Falkirk

WWWWW
Last 55W 0D 0L
Last 5 record
Last 106W 2D 2L
08 Nov 2026A Heart Of Midlothian5-2
01 Nov 2026H Celtic2-0
28 Oct 2026A Aberdeen1-0
24 Oct 2026H Kilmarnock3-0
17 Oct 2026A Hibernian2-1

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Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

60%Hibernian Over 2.5
60%Falkirk Over 2.5
3.1H2H avg goals
The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Hibernian sit at 60% and Falkirk sit at 60% with the H2H average at 3.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

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