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Hammarby FF crestHammarby FF
v
Kalmar FF crestKalmar FF

Allsvenskan | Sun 12 Jul, 13:00

Hammarby FF v Kalmar FF Stats

Data last updated: Sun 13 Sep 2026, 12:59 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Hammarby FF face Kalmar FF in Allsvenskan on Sun 12 Jul, 13:00. Hammarby FF come in with 6 recent points and 1.8 goals per match, while Kalmar FF have 9 points and 1.4 goals per match in the same lens.

BT4Y best bet

Kalmar FF to Win

  • At 7, Kalmar FF to Win implies roughly 14%, while BT4Y rates the chance closer to 29%.
  • Kalmar FF have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Hammarby FF.
  • Kalmar FF have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Kalmar FF to Win angle more than a raw possession edge.
  • Hammarby FF sit 3 in the table, while Kalmar FF sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The 29% for Kalmar FF to Win sits against roughly 14% implied by the current price. Kalmar FF have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Hammarby FF.

Model chance vs price29% model chance against roughly 14% implied
Strong positive
Kalmar FF have the stronger recent points return, taking 9.Visible data support
Positive
Kalmar FF have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded.Visible data support
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

BT4Y analyst view: Kalmar FF Win is the preferred angle because the market is supported by the current team numbers Kalmar FF have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Hammarby FF. Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Main risk

Rotation, motivation and a slow tempo are the main cautions before treating the result price as settled.

Key Data Signals

Kalmar FF to Win evidence

Kalmar FF have the stronger recent points return, taking 9 points from the sample compared with 6 for Hammarby FF.

Kalmar FF have the cleaner defensive sample at 1 conceded per match, which helps the Kalmar FF Win angle more than a raw possession edge.

Hammarby FF sit 3 in the table, while Kalmar FF sit 13, so the standings picture adds pressure context to the result-market read.

What To Watch In The Data

Kalmar FF to Win notes

    Corners, cards and shots

    Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

    Hammarby FF6.8
    Avg corners for
    Kalmar FF3.33
    Hammarby FF10.6
    Avg total corners
    Kalmar FF8.67
    Hammarby FF1.2
    Avg yellow cards
    Kalmar FF0.33
    Hammarby FF19.8
    Avg shots
    Kalmar FF15.67
    Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 56% vs implied 58% · edge -1.8 pts
    1.73
    Check odds @ 1.73
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    Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
    2
    Check odds @ 2
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 9.5 Corners needs a clear match pattern behind it. For corners, that means territory, wide deliveries and blocked shots; for cards, it means duels and transition fouls; for shots, it means repeat box entries rather than harmless possession.
    Goals, BTTS and over/under

    Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

    Hammarby FF1.8
    Avg goals scored
    Kalmar FF1.4
    Hammarby FF1.8
    Avg goals conceded
    Kalmar FF1
    Hammarby FF80%
    BTTS rate
    Kalmar FF20%
    Hammarby FF80%
    Over 2.5 goals
    Kalmar FF60%
    Best odds for this sectionBTTS YesBet365 guide price · Model 67% vs implied 60% · edge +6.8 pts
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
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    Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 87%
    1.12
    Check odds @ 1.12
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 69%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
    2.7
    Check odds @ 2.7
    BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
    2.1
    Check odds @ 2.1
    BTTS Yes is more of a watchlist angle than a must-bet: the BTTS rates are 80% for Hammarby FF and 20% for Kalmar FF, so the price depends on both attacks contributing rather than the clean-sheet story.
    Player stats

    Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

    Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

    Open Match Centre player odds

    Market odds

    Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

    Market aligned with main pickKalmar FF to WinBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 14% · edge +15 pts
    7
    Check odds @ 7
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    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Kalmar FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 40%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 69%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 62%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    Kalmar FF to Win is positive value at the current guide price, but the price only matters if the football route is clear. Use the model-versus-implied gap as the starting point, then check whether the article context, team news and section data actually point towards the same market.
    Recent form

    Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

    Hammarby FF

    WLLLW
    Last 52W 0D 3L
    Last 5 record
    Last 105W 2D 3L
    05 Jul 2026A IF Elfsborg2-1
    31 May 2026A BK Hacken2-3
    24 May 2026H AIK Stockholm1-2
    20 May 2026A Gais0-2
    17 May 2026H Malmo FF4-1

    Kalmar FF

    WLWLW
    Last 53W 0D 2L
    Last 5 record
    Last 104W 1D 5L
    05 Jul 2026H Orgryte IS3-0
    30 May 2026A Gais0-3
    23 May 2026H Degerfors IF2-1
    17 May 2026A IF Brommapojkarna0-1
    10 May 2026H Halmstad2-0
    Market aligned with main pickKalmar FF to WinBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 14% · edge +15 pts
    7
    Check odds @ 7
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    Away / DrawBet365 guide price · model 48%
    3
    Check odds @ 3
    Kalmar FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 40%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Head-to-head

    Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

    6Hammarby FF wins
    2Draws
    2Kalmar FF wins
    03 Mar 2025Hammarby FF v Kalmar FF2-1
    04 Aug 2024Kalmar FF v Hammarby FF1-4
    31 Mar 2024Hammarby FF v Kalmar FF3-1
    20 Aug 2023Kalmar FF v Hammarby FF0-0
    16 Jul 2023Hammarby FF v Kalmar FF3-1
    30 Oct 2022Hammarby FF v Kalmar FF4-2
    Market aligned with main pickKalmar FF to WinBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 14% · edge +15 pts
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Load more odds for this section
    BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
    1.67
    Check odds @ 1.67
    Over 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · model 69%
    1.44
    Check odds @ 1.44
    The head-to-head sample gives context for Kalmar FF to Win, but it should not overrule the current tactical picture. If previous meetings show goals or momentum swings, they support the market only when the present form and line-ups point to the same game state.
    Season team stats

    Allsvenskan

    Hammarby FF20
    Played
    Kalmar FF20
    Hammarby FF2.3
    Avg goals for
    Kalmar FF1.1
    Hammarby FF1
    Avg goals against
    Kalmar FF1.5
    Hammarby FF8
    Clean sheets
    Kalmar FF3
    Market aligned with main pickKalmar FF to WinBet365 guide price · Model 29% vs implied 14% · edge +15 pts
    7
    Check odds @ 7
    Load more odds for this section
    Kalmar FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 40%
    4
    Check odds @ 4
    Season data supports Kalmar FF to Win when the attacking output and defensive control both point towards the same outcome. The useful read is whether those longer-term numbers create a believable route to chances, pressure and game control in this specific match.
    League standings snapshot

    Current table context.

    PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
    3Hammarby FF3720114526
    13Kalmar FF19205411-9
    Hammarby FF sit in position 3, while Kalmar FF sit in position 13, so table pressure belongs in the Kalmar FF to Win assessment.
    Key match trends

    Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

    80%Hammarby FF Over 2.5
    60%Kalmar FF Over 2.5
    4.1H2H avg goals
    The Over 2.5 trend is mixed: Hammarby FF sit at 80% and Kalmar FF sit at 60% with the H2H average at 4.1 goals, so the goals line needs more than one team's recent over rate.

    Next step

    Betting context

    Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.