Football Stats Hub

Hammarby FF crestHammarby FF
v
Kalmar FF crestKalmar FF

Allsvenskan | Sun 12 Jul, 13:00

Hammarby FF v Kalmar FF Stats

Data last updated: Sat 11 Jul 2026, 04:24 UK time

Match Report

Fixture analysis

Hammarby FF hosts Kalmar FF in an Allsvenskan clash where attacking intent and recent scoring trends set the tone. Hammarby FF, sitting second in the league, have shown a potent offense averaging 1.8 goals per game and a high rate of matches exceeding 2.5 goals. Kalmar FF, positioned 12th, have been more conservative but still contribute to open games with a solid defensive record. Both teams' recent form and tactical approaches suggest an open encounter with multiple goal-scoring opportunities, making goal markets particularly relevant for this fixture.

BT4Y best bet

Over 2.5 Goals

  • Hammarby FF averages 1.8 goals per game with 80% of matches over 2.5 goals.
  • Kalmar FF concedes only 1 goal per game, indicating defensive resilience but also involvement in higher-scoring matches.
  • Head-to-head average goals stand at 4.1 across 10 meetings, highlighting historically open games.
  • Hammarby FF and Kalmar FF show contrasting BTTS rates, with Hammarby at 80% and Kalmar at 20%, suggesting asymmetric attacking patterns.
  • Both teams maintain high shot volumes, with Hammarby averaging 19.8 shots and Kalmar 16.6 per game, supporting offensive pressure.

Why The Model Likes This Bet

Chance, price and football numbers

The model rates Over 2.5 Goals at a 68.9% chance, reflecting the attacking strengths and defensive vulnerabilities of both sides. Hammarby FF's high goal output and shot volume combined with Kalmar FF's willingness to engage offensively underpin this probability. The historical head-to-head average of 4.1 goals per game further supports expectations of a high-scoring match. No price warnings apply, and data quality is solid, making this a well-supported selection based on recent form and season-long trends.

Model Probability68.9% chance of Over 2.5 Goals
Strong positive
Hammarby FF Offensive Output1.8 goals per game, 80% Over 2.5 rate
Strong positive
Kalmar FF Defensive Profile1 goal conceded per game, 60% Over 2.5 rate
Positive
Head-to-Head Goals Average4.1 goals per match over last 10 meetings
Strong positive
Shot VolumesHigh shots per game for both teams (Hammarby 19.8, Kalmar 16.6)
Positive

Verdict

BT4Y analyst view

Expect an open game with Hammarby FF pushing forward aggressively and Kalmar FF responding with counter-attacks. The attacking tendencies and historical scoring patterns strongly indicate a match with multiple goals. This selection aligns with both tactical outlook and statistical evidence, making Over 2.5 Goals a compelling choice.

Main risk

The main risk lies in Kalmar FF's lower BTTS rate, which could limit total goals if they adopt a highly defensive approach.

Quote from Expert

BT4Y analyst view · Goal-scoring potential and match tempo

“Hammarby FF's offensive firepower combined with Kalmar FF's occasional defensive lapses create fertile ground for a high-scoring encounter. The teams' shot volumes and previous meetings suggest goals will flow in this Allsvenskan fixture.”

Key Data Signals

Over 2.5 Goals evidence

Hammarby FF averages 1.8 goals per game with 80% of matches over 2.5 goals.

Kalmar FF concedes only 1 goal per game, indicating defensive resilience but also involvement in higher-scoring matches.

Head-to-head average goals stand at 4.1 across 10 meetings, highlighting historically open games.

Hammarby FF and Kalmar FF show contrasting BTTS rates, with Hammarby at 80% and Kalmar at 20%, suggesting asymmetric attacking patterns.

What To Watch In The Data

Over 2.5 Goals notes

  • The last 10 head-to-head matches average 4.1 goals per game, a notably high figure indicating historically open and attacking encounters.
  • This trend, combined with recent form over the last five matches for both teams, suggests a tempo and style conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, with both sides contributing to the goal tally.
Corners, cards and shots

Territory, discipline and chance-volume data.

Hammarby FF6.8
Avg corners for
Kalmar FF5.6
Hammarby FF10.6
Avg total corners
Kalmar FF11
Hammarby FF1.2
Avg yellow cards
Kalmar FF0.8
Hammarby FF19.8
Avg shots
Kalmar FF16.6
Best odds for this sectionOver 9.5 CornersBetfred guide price · Model 67% vs implied 62% · edge +5.1 pts
1.62
Check odds @ 1.62
Load more odds for this section
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
Over 10.5 CornersBet365 guide price
2
Check odds @ 2
Hammarby FF averages 6.8 corners and 1.2 yellow cards per game, reflecting active attacking and moderate aggression. Kalmar FF's 5.6 corners and 0.8 yellows suggest a slightly less aggressive but still engaged style. Both teams generate high shot volumes (19.8 and 16.6), indicating sustained pressure and frequent attacking phases that can lead to set pieces and scoring chances.

Continue the research

Useful next reads

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hubbest bets researchacca fixture filtering
Goals, BTTS and over/under

Scoring profile, tempo and goal-market analysis.

Hammarby FF1.8
Avg goals scored
Kalmar FF1.4
Hammarby FF1.8
Avg goals conceded
Kalmar FF1
Hammarby FF80%
BTTS rate
Kalmar FF20%
Hammarby FF80%
Over 2.5 goals
Kalmar FF60%
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 68% · edge +1.3 pts
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Load more odds for this section
Over 1.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 87%
1.14
Check odds @ 1.14
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 3.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 51%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Under 2.5 GoalsBet365 guide price · model 35%
2.6
Check odds @ 2.6
BTTS NoBet365 guide price · model 37%
2.1
Check odds @ 2.1
Both teams show contrasting BTTS trends: Hammarby FF has an 80% BTTS rate, while Kalmar FF's is only 20%. Despite this, the high average goals per game and head-to-head scoring history point to a match where goals from both sides or at least multiple goals overall are probable. The goal-scoring routes appear open, especially with Hammarby's attacking pressure.
Player stats

Player-level trends, roles and attacking routes.

Player stats are loading separately so the stats page stays fast.

Open Match Centre player odds

Market odds

Top available prices first, with more markets available on demand.

Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 68% · edge +1.3 pts
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Load more odds for this section
Kalmar FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Kalmar FF to WinBet365 guide price · model 55%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
Over 8.5 CornersBet365 guide price · model 73%
1.36
Check odds @ 1.36
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
5
Check odds @ 5
Hammarby FF Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
The Over 2.5 Goals market is well supported by a near 69%, indicating a strong likelihood of multiple goals. Without explicit , this is a data-driven rather than a price-value call. The absence of price warnings suggests this is a standard stake opportunity rather than a value or contrarian play.
Recent form

Results, scoring balance and short-term direction.

Hammarby FF

WLLLW
Last 52W 0D 3L
Last 5 record
Last 105W 2D 3L
05 Jul 2026A IF Elfsborg2-1
31 May 2026A BK Hacken2-3
24 May 2026H AIK Stockholm1-2
20 May 2026A Gais0-2
17 May 2026H Malmo FF4-1

Kalmar FF

WLWLW
Last 53W 0D 2L
Last 5 record
Last 104W 1D 5L
05 Jul 2026H Orgryte IS3-0
30 May 2026A Gais0-3
23 May 2026H Degerfors IF2-1
17 May 2026A IF Brommapojkarna0-1
10 May 2026H Halmstad2-0
Best odds for this sectionAway / DrawBet365 guide price · Model 80% vs implied 36% · edge +44 pts
2.75
Check odds @ 2.75
Load more odds for this section
Kalmar FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · model 64%
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Kalmar FF to WinBet365 guide price · model 55%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
5
Check odds @ 5
Home / DrawBet365 guide price · model 55%
1.11
Check odds @ 1.11
Hammarby FF Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
Hammarby FF to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Recent form data shows Hammarby FF averaging 1.8 goals and Kalmar FF 1.4, with Hammarby involved in 80% of matches over 2.5 goals and Kalmar in 60%. This suggests both teams are currently engaged in relatively high-scoring games, reinforcing the likelihood of Over 2.5 Goals in this match.
Head-to-head

Recent meetings and how much they still matter.

6Hammarby FF wins
2Draws
2Kalmar FF wins
03 Mar 2025Hammarby FF v Kalmar FF2-1
04 Aug 2024Kalmar FF v Hammarby FF1-4
31 Mar 2024Hammarby FF v Kalmar FF3-1
20 Aug 2023Kalmar FF v Hammarby FF0-0
16 Jul 2023Hammarby FF v Kalmar FF3-1
30 Oct 2022Hammarby FF v Kalmar FF4-2
Market aligned with main pickOver 2.5 GoalsBetfred guide price · Model 69% vs implied 68% · edge +1.3 pts
1.48
Check odds @ 1.48
Load more odds for this section
Kalmar FF to WinBet365 guide price · model 55%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
BTTS YesBet365 guide price · model 67%
1.67
Check odds @ 1.67
DrawBet365 guide price · model 26%
5
Check odds @ 5
Hammarby FF to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
The head-to-head record over 10 matches shows an average of 4.1 goals per game, strongly supporting expectations for a high-scoring fixture. This historical data aligns with current attacking trends and suggests that previous tactical matchups have favored open play and goal opportunities.
Season team stats

Allsvenskan

Hammarby FF12
Played
Kalmar FF11
Hammarby FF2.2
Avg goals for
Kalmar FF1.3
Hammarby FF1.2
Avg goals against
Kalmar FF1.4
Hammarby FF3
Clean sheets
Kalmar FF2
Best odds for this sectionKalmar FF Draw No BetBet365 guide price · Model 64% vs implied 26% · edge +38 pts
3.9
Check odds @ 3.9
Load more odds for this section
Kalmar FF to WinBet365 guide price · model 55%
6.5
Check odds @ 6.5
Hammarby FF Draw No BetBetMGM guide price · model 45%
1.24
Check odds @ 1.24
Hammarby FF to WinBet365 guide price · model 29%
1.4
Check odds @ 1.4
Season-long stats reveal Hammarby FF's attack and defense both average 1.8 goals per game, indicating open play. Kalmar FF concedes fewer goals (1 per game) but still participates in matches with a 60% Over 2.5 rate. These profiles support an expectation of a match with multiple goals, driven by Hammarby's offensive consistency and Kalmar's occasional defensive vulnerabilities.
League standings snapshot

Current table context.

PosTeamPtsPWDLGD
2Hammarby FF201262412
12Kalmar FF1311416-1
Hammarby FF's second-place standing with 20 points contrasts with Kalmar FF's 12th place and 13 points, reflecting differing season trajectories. While standings do not dictate match outcome, Hammarby's higher rank and form suggest they will push for goals, increasing the chance of a high-scoring game against a mid-table opponent.
Key match trends

Goal-pattern analysis from recent form and H2H samples.

80%Hammarby FF Over 2.5
60%Kalmar FF Over 2.5
4.1H2H avg goals
The last 10 head-to-head matches average 4.1 goals per game, a notably high figure indicating historically open and attacking encounters. This trend, combined with recent form over the last five matches for both teams, suggests a tempo and style conducive to Over 2.5 Goals, with both sides contributing to the goal tally.

Related football research

Fixture links

Prediction context

Football predictions hub

Find the latest football previews and betting angles from the main predictions hub.

More stats pages

Mjallby AIF v AIK StockholmAllsvenskan · Sat 11 Jul 14:00Orgryte IS v BK HackenAllsvenskan · Sat 11 Jul 16:30Malmo FF v IFK GoteborgAllsvenskan · Sun 12 Jul 13:00Vasteras SK FK v Degerfors IFAllsvenskan · Sun 12 Jul 13:00

Competition and hubs

corners trends hubfootball cards anglesplayer stats betting anglesfootball stats hubfootball hubfootball predictions hub

Next step

Betting context

Start with the clearest numbers above, then check live odds, team news and the full prediction before staking.

View match centre